#### Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Guy Lakeman

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

- 11 months 3 weeks ago

#### Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Guy Lakeman

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

- 6 years 4 months ago

#### SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Guy Lakeman

SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

- 6 years 4 months ago

#### Ebola Model v1 with Interventions

##### Parth Patel

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Scratchpad of Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Guy Lakeman

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

updated 16/3/2020 from 5 years ago

Health Care Infection Ebola Epidemic SARS MERS COVID Pandemic

- 11 months 2 weeks ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1

##### Joe LeDoux

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Ebola Model v1

##### Ryan Dunn

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases

##### Guy Lakeman

This model is based on the article Dynamic modeling of Infectious Diseases, An application to Economic Evaluation of Influenza Vaccination Farmacoeconomics 2008, 26(1): 45-56 .

And EBOLA

- 6 years 4 months ago

#### Assessing the Spread of the Ebola Epidemic in West Africa

##### Reid Love

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Ebola Visual Model

##### Bruce Randall

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Main Model

##### Brice

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Trabalho 1 Modelo SR

##### Renan Motta Goulart

- 2 years 10 months ago

#### Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### bora

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 3 years 9 months ago

#### Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Olga Kolchyna

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 6 years 1 month ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1 with Interventions

##### juan manuel nuñez

- 5 years 7 months ago

#### Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Olga Kolchyna

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 6 years 1 month ago

#### Clone of Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Andy Wilbourn

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1

##### John

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Clone of Ebola Model v1 with Interventions

##### Parth Patel

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Parth Patel

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1 with Interventions

##### Ryan Dunn

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1

##### Parth Patel

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Ebola Model v1 with Interventions

##### Ryan Dunn

- 6 years 3 months ago

#### Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

##### Michael Ernst

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

- 6 years 4 months ago