Program Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Program”.

Adapted from ​Systems approaches to public health by Alan Shiell and Penny Hawe See also  Health System Efficiency IM  and specific health outcome logic diagram  example IM
Adapted from ​Systems approaches to public health by Alan Shiell and Penny Hawe See also Health System Efficiency IM and specific health outcome logic diagram example IM
From NAP Toward Quality Measures for Population Health and the Leading Health Indicators  Report  with detailed Maternal  Infant and Child Health Example Fig.3-5. Compare with WHO NCD Framework picture and IHI Whole system measures 2.0 (Added Nov 2016) See CLD conversion  insight
From NAP Toward Quality Measures for Population Health and the Leading Health Indicators Report with detailed Maternal  Infant and Child Health Example Fig.3-5. Compare with WHO NCD Framework picture and IHI Whole system measures 2.0 (Added Nov 2016) See CLD conversion insight

This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
 Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují
Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují i na více projektech. Výsledné řešení daného problému ukáže kolik programátorů bude potřeba k úspěšnému dokončení projektu.
 Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují
Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují i na více projektech. Výsledné řešení daného problému ukáže kolik programátorů bude potřeba k úspěšnému dokončení projektu.
A structure used in childhood obesity intervention mechanisms, currently a map WIP which can be enhanced into a simulation
A structure used in childhood obesity intervention mechanisms, currently a map WIP which can be enhanced into a simulation
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
WIP based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies  article  and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency  IM-1163
WIP based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies article and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency IM-1163
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
 Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují
Tajná firma má v úmyslu vylepšovat svoje programy, postupem času je potřeba vylepšovat svoje programy z důvodu aktuálnosti a lepší prodejnosti, nových technologií, úspory času atd. Časový horizont je nastaven na několik týdnů (70). V průběhu řešení vylepšení je ukázáno, že někteří vývojáři pracují i na více projektech. Výsledné řešení daného problému ukáže kolik programátorů bude potřeba k úspěšnému dokončení projektu.
  Justice Reinvestment Program in Bourke NSW & Implications on Local Youth       Background      A small country town in NSW Australia, Bourke records very high youth crime rates and jail population, when compared to the remainder of the country. To tackle the specific causes for such high rates
Justice Reinvestment Program in Bourke NSW & Implications on Local Youth

Background

A small country town in NSW Australia, Bourke records very high youth crime rates and jail population, when compared to the remainder of the country. To tackle the specific causes for such high rates, a Justice Reinvestment Program has been designed, involving all actors of the local community (Police, Education, Local Elders, Community Members) and focusing on prevention rather than repression.

Model Explanation

This simple model aims at depicting patterns in crime and redemption behaviour; and how local actions, investments and resources can impact Bourke youth, positively or negatively. Multiple variables can be manipulated to assess results and outcomes.

Stocks
  • Youth Population – total youth population in the town of Bourke
  • Disengaged Youth – youth showing a Negative Behaviour. They have either left school, are affected by drug and/or alcohol consumption, and/or domestic violence. They need to be taken care of, otherwise they might engage in offences
  • Problem Youth – youth having committed an offence
  • Court Appearance – Problem Youth having been arrested, thanks to local police. Stock is affected by Police Budget variable
  • Jailed – youth having been convicted and sent to prison
  • Youth in Community Programs – youth population either out of prison and repenting; or Problem Youth enrolling in Community Activity
  • Engaged Youth – youth showing a Positive Behaviour. The final objective of this Justice Reinvestment program

Variables
  • School Attendance – a critical factor to re-engage Disengaged Youth
  • Crime Rate – percentage of Disengaged Youth committing offences
  • Police Budget – affects number of Problem Youth being brought to justice. Can be manipulated between 0 (absolutely no police in Bourke) to 100 (local police reinforcement and 24/7 surveillance), both being theoretical options
  • Reoffending Rate – percentage of Youth committing offences again, after their release from Jail
  • Community Programs Funding – amount spent on various community programs, such as training and apprenticeship; counselling; preventive police home visits; learner driver classes; sports; and cultural connections program. Funding impacts 3 types of Youth: 
  1. Disengaged Youth joining back community
  2. Problem Youth entering Community Programs
  3. Youth repenting after being released from Jail, and entering Community Programs 

Assumptions
  • Bourke Youth Population = 1.000
Below coefficients and initial values were arbitrarily chosen but can be modified using sliders, to estimate influence and impact:
  • Crime rate in Disengaged Youth = 70%
  • Reoffending Rate = 30%
  • Police Budget = 40
  • Community Programs Funding = 60

Conclusions

There is no silver bullet solution to the youth crime problem in Bourke NSW. However, with the suggested combination of Police Budget and Community Program Funding, positive results appear from Year 3 onwards: even with the occasional spike of reoffenders and subsequent Problem Youth, overall Engaged Youth population increases, reaching 70% of total Youth Population on Year 4 and increasing.

Community Programs Funding has the biggest impact towards the program objective, as it helps creating positive reinforcement and life opportunities for Bourke youth at different disengagement stages.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
12 months ago
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
This is a simple intervention project/programme planning tool aimed primarily at public health practitioners who want to understand potential impact.
WIP unfolding for trainee modeller AD to provide context and direction for 2018 CCP work and beyond. See also Early Childhood intervention  IM-94482
WIP unfolding for trainee modeller AD to provide context and direction for 2018 CCP work and beyond. See also Early Childhood intervention IM-94482