Inference Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Inference”.

From Stephen Toulmin's Book The Uses of Argument Cambridge University Press 2003. See  wikipedia  
Methods Realist Health Care Inference Reasoning

From Stephen Toulmin's Book The Uses of Argument Cambridge University Press 2003. See wikipedia 

Toulmin's Argument Model
Geoff McDonnell
6 months ago
WIP based on  Kolb  and  Pepper  via John Barton. See also world hypotheses  wikipedia  Compare with  Cultural Risk Theory   Plural Rationalities IM  and  The Educated Mind IM
Methods Inference Culture Learning Knowledge Synthesis Realist
WIP based on Kolb and Pepper via John Barton. See also world hypotheses wikipedia Compare with Cultural Risk Theory Plural Rationalities IM and The Educated Mind IM
The Structure of Learning and Knowledge
Geoff McDonnell
Modified from Sterman (2006) and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351  by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM  and  IM-63975
Inference Health Care Decision Making Methods Virtual Experiment Realist

Modified from Sterman (2006) and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

Virtual Experiments
Geoff McDonnell
3
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference  IM-351  
Methods Decision Making Inference Health Care

Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351 

Decision Ladder
Geoff McDonnell
A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop  IM-351 . Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Inference Decision Making Health Care Methods Behavior

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Ladder of Inference and Cyclical Scientific Process
Geoff McDonnell
3
The cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Science Health Care Methods Decision Making Inference

The cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Cyclical Scientific Process
Geoff McDonnell
Clone of  IM-806  modified to integrate AnyLogic Realworld, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and LAnd Use Modelling approaches. See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM
Virtual Realist Experiment Methods Decision Making Inference Health Care

Clone of IM-806 modified to integrate AnyLogic Realworld, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and LAnd Use Modelling approaches. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM

Real World and Model World
Geoff McDonnell
Clone of  IM-3993  WIP based on 2016 Land Use Science  article  on Causal Analysis by Patrick Meyfroidt
Control Environment Causation Complex Methods Inference PCT

Clone of IM-3993 WIP based on 2016 Land Use Science article on Causal Analysis by Patrick Meyfroidt

Causal Analysis
Geoff McDonnell
An overview of Thomas A Goudge's Book on The Thought of CS Peirce Dover NY 1950 and Thomas Knight's Book Charles Peirce NY 1965
Health Care Realist Methods Logic Inquiry Causation Inference

An overview of Thomas A Goudge's Book on The Thought of CS Peirce Dover NY 1950 and Thomas Knight's Book Charles Peirce NY 1965

The Thought of CS Peirce
Geoff McDonnell
Hoffman and Klein IEEE Intelligent systems 2017-18 series of articles on decision making and computing, including macrocognition 1  theoretical foundations  abstract 2  empirical foundations  abstract 3  causal landscape s abstract 4  deep n ets abstract  See also 2018 Gary Klein  podcast  and 
Concept Methods Decision Making Inference Peirce Causation Cognition Realist Causal Reasoning Data Science
Hoffman and Klein IEEE Intelligent systems 2017-18 series of articles on decision making and computing, including macrocognition
3 causal landscapes abstract
4 deep nets abstract 
See also 2018 Gary Klein podcast and IM-171552
Explaining Explanation
Geoff McDonnell
IM-1175 with computable arguments, based on ideas from Micropublications  paper  about Claims, Evidence, Representations and Context Networks
Methods Learning Health Care Inference Realist Reasoning

IM-1175 with computable arguments, based on ideas from Micropublications paper about Claims, Evidence, Representations and Context Networks

Toulmin's Argument Model and Micropublications
Geoff McDonnell
Overview of Myers Briggs mental preferences based on Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book. Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience and Gary Smith
Decision Making Behavior Explanation Perception Judgment Inference Ability Personality PCT
Overview of Myers Briggs mental preferences based on Jim Rogers MBTI Manual and Gifts Differing Book. Compare with Thinking feeling acting and interacting representation of human behaviour based on BPSD (dementia) work by Victor Vickland, PCT, Sapience and Gary Smith
Psychological MBTI Types
Geoff McDonnell
11 months ago
WIP Based on Sheldrick Implementation science 2016  article  A system dynamics model of clinical decision thresholds for the detection of developmental-behavioral disorders. Vensim model modified to show patterns  
Referral Learning Clinical Reasoning Decision Making ROC Inference Health Care Clinical Care Test
WIP Based on Sheldrick Implementation science 2016 article A system dynamics model of clinical decision thresholds for the detection of developmental-behavioral disorders. Vensim model modified to show patterns

 

Clinical Decision Threshold Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
Inference Robustness Assessment entails demonstrating that the ways a model differs from the real world do not affect model based inferences. From Jim Koopman's work on Infection Transmission Science esp  Biological Networks Book  Ch 13 p 453-4 and this accessible  paper  pdf
Causation Methods Inference Realist
Inference Robustness Assessment entails demonstrating that the ways a model differs from the real world do not affect model based inferences. From Jim Koopman's work on Infection Transmission Science esp Biological Networks Book Ch 13 p 453-4 and this accessible paper pdf
Inference Robustness Assessment
Geoff McDonnell
7 months ago
WIP R. Willamo et al. / Ecological Modelling 370 (2018) 1–13  article  Learning how to understand complexity and deal with sustainability challenges – A framework for a comprehensive approach and its application in university education
Course Complexity Synthesis Holon Thinking Methods Sustainability Explanation Qualitative Systems Science Inference
WIP R. Willamo et al. / Ecological Modelling 370 (2018) 1–13 article Learning how to understand complexity and deal with sustainability challenges – A framework for a comprehensive approach and its application in university education
Comprehensive thinking GHH framework
Geoff McDonnell
WIP Summary of recent IEEE Computer graphics article  (abstract)  which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Complexity Methods Theory Foundations Causation Understanding Simulation Inference Visualization Realist Systems Science Computation
WIP Summary of recent IEEE Computer graphics article (abstract) which could be applied to almost any chronic persistent health or social problem
Building useful theory on solid foundations
Geoff McDonnell
WIP Reviewing past work on a dynamic computational version of clinical reasoning and judgment
Clinical Care Diagnosis Behavior Inference Decision Making Health Care Cognition Performance Knowledge Learning
WIP Reviewing past work on a dynamic computational version of clinical reasoning and judgment
Dynamic Clinical Decision Making
Geoff McDonnell
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see  Youtube video  at 20:34
Motivation Methods Causation Systems Science Health Care Intervention Inference Complexity
WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see Youtube video at 20:34
Explaining and Intervening in Complex Systems
Geoff McDonnell
3
WIP Integrating other Double Loop Learning and Clinical Reasoning Concepts with Klein's Macrocognition and Lintern's Decision Ladder. May need to add capability
Clinical Care PCT Decision Making Platform Inference Judgment Learning Ethics Wiser Health Decisions Behavior
WIP Integrating other Double Loop Learning and Clinical Reasoning Concepts with Klein's Macrocognition and Lintern's Decision Ladder.
May need to add capability
Learning Clinical Reasoning and MacroCognition
Geoff McDonnell
Diagrams on generalized knowledge claims and workflow processes from Magliocca 2018 Global Environmental Change  article
Knowledge Synthesis Environment Argument Causation Inference
Diagrams on generalized knowledge claims and workflow processes from Magliocca 2018 Global Environmental Change article
Closing global knowledge gaps
Geoff McDonnell
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to assessing individual patient causal mechanisms contributing to deficits in wellbeing from fava guidi sturmey and ethicsfor judging value from barbosa 2012
Wellbeing Decision Making Inference Ethics Judgment Clinical Care Psychology
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to assessing individual patient causal mechanisms contributing to deficits in wellbeing from fava guidi sturmey and ethicsfor judging value from barbosa 2012
Wellbeing Problem Formulation Case Examples
Geoff McDonnell
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to representing causal mechanisms linking genes to diseases from darden2018 MecCog article  and 2017 Product to Process  article
Inference Causation Clinical Care Biomedical Decision Making Mechanism Judgment
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to representing causal mechanisms linking genes to diseases from darden2018 MecCog article and 2017 Product to Process article
Mechanistic Reasoning from Genotype to Phenotype
Geoff McDonnell
Peircean process approach to Causation from Menno Hulswit's  article . See also Peirce  IM-1376  
Logic Causation Inquiry Inference Philiosophy Methods Realist

Peircean process approach to Causation from Menno Hulswit's article. See also Peirce IM-1376 

Peircean Causation and Causality
Geoff McDonnell
Diagrams from Chen2011 IEEE Computer  Article   From Data Analysis and Visualization to Causality Discovery
Inference Technology Platform Causation Complexity Explanation Decision Making
Diagrams from Chen2011 IEEE Computer Article 

From Data Analysis and Visualization to Causality Discovery

Causal Reasoning Platform
Geoff McDonnell