BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

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Based on  1990 SDR Article . Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't pr
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights.
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable " The Boy Who Cried Wolf ."    If you find these contributions meaningful your  sponsorship  would be greatly appreciated.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

If you find these contributions meaningful your sponsorship would be greatly appreciated.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable " The Boy Who Cried Wolf ."    An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights. Register at  http://www.systemswiki.org/
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
9 months ago
Rich Pictures, Causal Loop Diagrams and Stock & Flow Simulation Models are the three types of models most commonly used. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Rich Pictures, Causal Loop Diagrams and Stock & Flow Simulation Models are the three types of models most commonly used.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable " The Boy Who Cried Wolf ."    An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights. Register at  http://www.systemswiki.org/
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/
 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)   Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance .  Science
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilize at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable " The Boy Who Cried Wolf ."    If you find these contributions meaningful your  sponsorship  would be greatly appreciated.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

If you find these contributions meaningful your sponsorship would be greatly appreciated.
This  Loan Cost Model  is the second in the series. It takes into account the potential cost of student loans in the case that the student does not manage to graduate college or does not succeed in their career.    Traditional Career Model    Savings Model    @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
This Loan Cost Model is the second in the series. It takes into account the potential cost of student loans in the case that the student does not manage to graduate college or does not succeed in their career.
Based on  1990 SDR Article . Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't pr
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances.
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a  video  for this insight which is a component of the  Effective Problem Solving Learning Program .    *  Systems Thinking Webinars
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a video for this insight which is a component of the Effective Problem Solving Learning Program.

OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a  video  for this insight which is a component of the  Effective Problem Solving Learning Program .    *  Systems Thinking Webinars
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a video for this insight which is a component of the Effective Problem Solving Learning Program.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a  video  for this insight which is a component of the  Effective Problem Solving Learning Program .    *  Systems Thinking Webinars
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a video for this insight which is a component of the Effective Problem Solving Learning Program.

 This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based

This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj

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The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.
Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in
Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in place responses to them should they arise.
All the following have a common characteristic. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
All the following have a common characteristic.
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a  video  for this insight which is a component of the  Effective Problem Solving Learning Program .    *  Systems Thinking Webinars
OK, we have a problem. Yet do we really know what the problem is? There is a also a video for this insight which is a component of the Effective Problem Solving Learning Program.