WIP based on Raafat Zaini's 2015 Triple Helix article and PhD Colloquium and ISDC 2013  university growth paper ithink models as a starting point for health care systems science modelling growth dynamics

WIP based on right care series in Lancet and OECD Tackling wasteful spending on health book 

Effect of rewards on the selection promotion and retirement of scholars in universities. Based on Geoffrey Brennan's Selection and the Currency of Reward chapter10 in The Theory of Institutional Design ed. RG Goodwin Cambridge University Press 1996 See also IM-2016

Jenny W. Rudolph Nelson P.Repenning Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse Administrative Science Quarterly,47(2002):1-30 paper  

Based on Chris Argyris 2010 Book Organizational Traps Oxford University Press, built around single and double loop learning picture insight 

WIP ​Book Summary see blog entry Also Chuang2009 ISDC P1127 paper, Newman2017 and Edmondson2014 papers

Detail from Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization article. See full overview at  insight 

Rich picture version of causal loop diagram for medication errors, showing the importance of reporting, analyzing and fixing knowledge and process errors. Medication errors will tend to grow due to the use of more medications in more complex patients. This is exacerbated by the loss of staff knowledge by turnover and goal erosion in places with harmful errors.

Business case for investment in national eHealth Infrastructure Programs

WIP based on conversations with Jim Rogers

from Teece's 2007, 2017-19 articles and see wikipedia. See also Panarchy esp Institutional Adaptive Cycles insight

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization article. For more detail of the blue area see performance shaping factors Insight 

Example of cognitive work analysis from Hoffman on eliciting the knowledge of experts with articles around 2005 and 2017 book Minding the weather

WIP Reviewing past work on a dynamic computational version of clinical reasoning and judgment

Adapted from Richard Normann (1991) Service Management Book Wiley Fig 14.6 p163

From Am J Public Health April 2015 Article  Relates to Service Identification in the Health Service Network Improvement Matrix IM

Unfolding WIP of Eric Wolstenholme's explanation of hospital congestion from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene and Simpler Version IM

BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003

Based on G.P. Cimellaro et al. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience Engineering Structures 32 (2010) 3639–3649 paper

From IM-731 to navigate components of ability

Replaced by IM-9781 Clone of IM-752 map for working simulation model This model is derived from "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. An expanded map is at IM-1918.

Causal Loop Rich Picture unfolding from Repenning, N. and J. Sterman (2002). Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. Administrative Science Quarterly, 47: 265 - 295. http://jsterman.scripts.mit.edu/docs/Repenning-2002-CapabilityTraps.pdf

Test Sensitivity and Specificity see ROC wikipedia and Tom Fawcett's 2006 article introduction to ROC Analysis, Can be linked to Brunswik Lens IM-1401