COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania Simulation Model
Introduction:
This model simulates the COVID-19 outbreak situation in Burnie and how the government responses impact local economy. The COVID-19 pandemic spread is influenced by several factors including infection rate, recovery rate, death rate and government's intervention policies.Government's policies reduce the infection spread and also impact economic activities in Burnie, especially its tourism and local businesses.
Assumptions:
- This model was built based on different rates, including infection rate, recovery rate, death rate, testing rate and economic growth rate. There can be difference between
this model and reality.
- This model considers tourism and local business are the main industries influencing local economy in Burnie.
- Government's intervention policies will positive influence on local COVID-19 spread but also negative impact on local economic activity.
- When there are more than 10 COVID-19 cases confirmed, the government policies will be triggered, which will brings effects both restricting the virus spread and reducing local economic growth.
- Greater COVID-19 cases will negatively influence local economic activities.
Interesting Insights:
Government's vaccination policy will make a important difference on restricting the infection spread. When vaccination rate increase, the number of deaths, infected people and susceptible people all decrease. This may show the importance of the role of government's vaccination policy.
When confirmed cases is more than 10, government's intervention policies are effective on reducing the infections, meanwhile local economic activities will be reduced.
