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Clone of  IM Health Expenditure australia 2015-6 (Table A3 with past year change) with 2015-6 detail added from NH Funding pool annual report website. Also current and emerging IHPA pricing classifications See also combined performance and activity stock flow IM IHPA and NHPA

Public hospital funding 2015-6 detail Australia
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Effect of rewards on the selection promotion and retirement of scholars in universities. Based on Geoffrey Brennan's Selection and the Currency of Reward chapter10 in The Theory of Institutional Design ed. RG Goodwin Cambridge University Press 1996 See also IM-2016

Scholars and Expedients 1
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eHealth Project Development Roadmap from Center for eHealth Research and Disease Management http://www.ehealthresearchcenter.org/wiki/index.php/Main_Page

eHealth Framework CEHRES
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IPCC Extreme weather events combined context diagrams  FBE WIP

Adaptation and disaster risk managment approaches for a changing climate
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Assessing the Spread of the Ebola Epidemic in West Africa
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Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

updated 16/3/2020 from 5 years ago

Scratchpad of Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
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ithink example from isee systems using receptors

Michaelis Menten Kinetics
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Unfolding WIP of Eric Wolstenholme's explanation of hospital congestion from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene and Simpler Version IM
Hospital congestion cascading archetypes
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From Michael Hiete, Mirjam Merz and Frank Schultmann (2011) Scenario-based impact analysis of a power outage on healthcare facilities in Germany IJDRBE 2,3 p222-244

Power outages Health Care Impacts
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Modelling prevention and treatments to mitigate mortality from cardiovascular disease.
Cardiovascular Disease
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DIabetes incidence from population inflow, with undiagnosed and diagnosed stocks

Diabetes Progression 3 stock
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Dynamic system underlying project life cycles From Roberts Edward B The Dynamics of Research and Development p5 Harper & Row NY 1964

Clone of The dynamics of R&D
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Unfolding linked concepts story summary of C A Soper's 2018 Book : Human mismatch between the emotional brain and the thinking brain generated evolutionary mechanisms to avoid suicide; reframed as perceptual control theory.
The Evolution of Suicide
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Simplified version of IM-852  Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents (ESA) Dosing in Anemia due to Renal Failure from Jim Rogers See Stock Flow Map  Insight 810 

ESA Dosing in Renal Anemia Simple Simulation
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A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.

SIR model with herd immunity and isolation
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A model of thermostat action including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. See also, after this model, how the concept map of a thermostat at IM-735 changed to the concept map at IM-736
Thermostat
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WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles

Clone of Clone of Adaptive Cycles Stock Flow
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Benefits and context described in Atkinson S et al (2000) Going down to the local: incorporating social organisation and political culture into assessments of decentralised health care Social Science & Medicine 51(4) 619-636 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0277-9536(00)00005-8 in Gilson L, ed. (2012). Health Policy and Systems Research: A Methodology Reader Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research, World Health Organization p166-183

Decentralised management of health care
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Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at  CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version
Clone of Clone of Premier's priority - childhood overweight and obesity
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A restatement of the ISDC Nijmegen 2006 paper Exploring the Political and Economic Dimensions of Health Policy This may benefit from simplification and using cultural theory. See IM-57161 for extension
Political Economy of Health Services
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From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf

Clone of System Change Value and Ilities
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WIP based on Nate Osgood's Motivation for Dynamic Simulation Models in System Science Lecture see Youtube video at 20:34
Clone of Explaining and Intervening in Complex Systems
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Love affairs and Differential equations. From Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes,tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Syst. Dyn. Rev. 9 (1) :79-94 

Clone of Romeo and Juliet
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Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) abstract See IM-1008 for a stock flow version. Click the Start Story feature at the bottom left.



Coping but not coping CLD