WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles
Adaptive Cycles Stock Flow
Michael Marmot's Eur J Epidemiol Essay 2017 See also IM-62760 Social determinants of health from Michael Marmot's ABC 2016 Boyer Lectures on Social Justice and the Health Gap
Social Justice, Epidemiology and Health Inequalities
Expansion of IM-399 A stock flow structure through hospitals with high value activities linked by transitions. Based on the project described by IM-10386 Compare with IM-622 Context
Hospital flows with value and transitions
version of Suicide 4 insight focussed on PTSD in Veterans
Suicide Dynamics 5
From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf
System Change Value and Ilities
Simple rich picture causal loop diagram of single and double loop learning including experiential learning concepts. Launchpad for Learning
Individual Learning
Overview of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011). See also the value experience IM-2804 and Regret IM-15680
Effectiveness and Value
Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map by J LeFevre http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2004/SDS_2004/PAPERS/379LEFEV.pdf
See also IM-857 and IM-2235 for more detail
Michaelis Menten Enzyme Metabolic Map
Here we have modified the SIR model of Insight 584 by adding an additional stock of Exposed people, who become Infective after an incubation period.
SEIR Infectious Disease Model
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation
Depression Dynamics
Revisesuicide_prevention
intermediate version according to Mark heffernan's ithink model Aug 2017 focussed on regional mental health services Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Clone of Suicide Dynamics 3
The effects of subsidies and incentives for private health insurance on the mix of public and private hospital use. The central role of adverse selection/moral hazard on private health insurance sustainability. See also updated version around 2017
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics
WIP representation of thinking feeling acting and interacting
Human behaviour
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance
WIP ideas for group model building representation
Alcohol harms overview NSW
Gross theory of emotion regulation from Saras Chung ISDC 2015
Abstract See also Tibor Bosse's Computational model paper
Emotion Regulation and Stress
A work in progress model for ED hourly arrival flows based on reported statistics by triage category with individual triage categories dis-aggregated using vectors. Based on a hospital performance report from http://www.bhi.nsw.gov.au/publications/hospital_quarterly_3
Split of IM-2166
ED flows by triage categories with hourly arrival
Extension of IM-14124 with an adjusted bed capacity stock. For backlog and services see IM-8382
Hospital Emergency and Elective Admission Interaction Simulation 3
An initial stock-flow feedback map with unfolding story about Suicide Prevention that resulted in a national and regional simulation. See revised version insight
Suicide Dynamics 1
A stock flow structure used to investigate interventions to improve the monthly patterns of patient flows through hospitals. Simplest structure to explain IM-10386 Expanded in IM-13966
Hospital flows monthly pattern
Revised unfolding story of stock-flow feedback map of suicide prevention
intermediate version focussed on regional mental health services ( according to Mark heffernan's ithink /STELLA simulation model Aug 2017 Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Suicide Dynamics 3
Black and white Unfolding Stock and flow map version of IM 1498
Clone of Extreme weather events effects on hospitals
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
Climate Stabilization Task - Older
From fighting lions (fight or flight) to fighting feedbacks in complex systems. A single person cutting the Gordian knot to the dynamic complexity of rubik's cube. Think of multiple players with multiple misperceptions of the faces on the cube and conflicting goals about what the desired solution is. Worse still, without an accepted framework we dont even know if it's a cube or another structure. See also policy resistance IM-697
Fighting complexity
