BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

Insight diagram
What do activities of these images have in common?
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Clone of Essence Property # 3
Insight diagram
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Clone of Rabbit Population
Insight diagram
There are three types of models most commonly used.
Clone of Three Types of Models
Insight diagram
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
Insight diagram
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
Insight diagram
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Video

The Essence of And?

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Clone of Moose and Wolves
Insight diagram
There are about a dozen known systems archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.
Context
Clone of Archetypes
Insight diagram

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

Clone of Systemic Strategy
Insight diagram
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Rabbit Population
Insight diagram
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Clone of Essence Property # 1
Insight diagram
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

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Clone of Bird Feeder Dilemma
Insight diagram
All the following have a common characteristic.
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Clone of Essence Property # 2
Insight diagram

This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj

Clone of Swamping Insight
Insight diagram
Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Clone of Clone of Sustaining the Forest
Insight diagram
What do activities of these images have in common?
Clone of Essence Property # 3
Insight diagram
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Video * Context

And? It's All Connected

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Clone of Moose and Wolves
Insight diagram
The structure responsible for rabbit population growth.
Clone of Clone of Rabbit Population
Insight diagram

This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.

Clone of Credit Never Happened Simulation
Insight diagram
There's actually more to filling a swimming pool with water than you might realize.
Clone of Filling a Swimming Pool
Insight diagram
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."
Clone of The Boy Who Cried Wolf
Insight diagram
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
Clone of Innovation Diffusion
Insight diagram
All the following have a common characteristic.
Clone of Essence Property # 2
Insight diagram
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
Clone of Home Heating System
Insight diagram
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights
Clone of Double Loop Control Theory by William T Powers