From Rudolph JW Morrison JB and Carroll JS (2009) The Dynamics of Action-Oriented Problem Solving: Linking Interpretation and Choice. Academy of Management Review 34 (4) p733-756 Available online . This paper won the Forrester Award for 2012 and the presentation talk video is available. The presentation paper abstract is available in System Dynamics Review 2013 here
Clone of Action-Oriented Problem Solving Dynamics
This diagram shows key components of home-based and residential assisted living services, provided by municipalities.
Residential assisted living and support organized by municipal care provider
From Evans RG and Stoddardt GL 1990 paper Soc Sci Med 31(12)1347-63 , also published in a book by Evans, Barer and Marmor, Why are some people healthy and others not?: The determinants of population health. To IM-425 We add impacts of spending and a "Thermostat" setting for population health controlling health spending.
Producing Health Consuming Health Care 3 Spending and Target
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus
MscT CSE - SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19
Model of Buffer Margin from Robert Wears thesis WIP
ED Work Resilience
From Walrave
ISDC2014 paper Counteracting the success trap in publically owned corporations. Similar to the ordinary (efficiency focussed) and dynamic capabilities (explore)
insight described by David Teece
See also evolution and brain control insight
Explore or Exploit
WIP Ideas from Science Special Issue May 2014
Clone of The Science of Inequality
Downstream and upstream responses, from Jack Homer , Gary HIrsch and Bobby Milstein. Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 313-343 (2007). Conference paper available at http://bit.ly/JCO68V
Clone of Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy
From Peter Lacey's Whole Systems Partnership UK NHS ithink model with uncertainty added
End of Life Model with Uncertainty
Prenatal, infant and early child development based on The First Thousand Days: early, integrated and evidence-based approaches to improving child health: coming to a population near you? Darling JC, et al. Arch Dis Child 2020;0:1–5. doi:10.1136/archdischild-2019-316929 article
The first 1000 days of Early Child Development Overview
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for
Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research
Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
Storyboarding design WIP showing some relevant context, mechanisms and outcomes involved in modelling multiscale decision support for improving the health experiences of elderly people with multimorbidity.
Senior Experience Navigator Design Sketch
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation
Clone of Clone of Depression Dynamics
WIP based on Geoffrey Brennan's Selection and the Currency of Reward chapter expanded from IM-396
Scholars and Expedients 2
Summary of several AIHW reports on Aged Care Pathways from 2011-2017
Aged Care Pathways
Modified from Mark Paich et al. 's book: Pharmaceutical product strategy. Fig 4.7 p 69. It formed the basis of a hypertension intervention discussion Aug-Sept 2010
Hypertension Intervention generalised
"Seeing is believing" and "Believing is seeing". How the reduction of doubt can lead to holding on to initially helpful beliefs that later turn out to be false but are difficult to change. Or as I believe Bertrand Russell might once have put it, "The trouble with the world is that fools are so sure of themselves and the wise are so uncertain."
A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the beliefs we develop. A picture version of the parameter version of Insight 351 for an academic audience. Here Consequences, intent and learning loops have been added
Seeing Believing Intent Learning
From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.
See also insight on Boundary Critique
Critical Systems Thinking
From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf
Clone of System Change Value and Ilities
Dynamics of Emergency Department Crowding Initial Simplest Simulation of the View from the waiting room. Start of a simple introductory series which proceeds to IM-338 A simple CLD is at IM-340
Emergency Department Simplest Wait View 1
From A Philosophical Basis of Medical Practice Toward a Philosophy and Ethic of the Healing Professions Edmund D Pellegrino David C Thomasma OUP Oxford 1981 Ch6
The Anatomy of Clinical Judgments p119-152 Note judgments have consequences of action, decisions can separate out the knowledge used.
See also Thinking Like a Nurse IM-703 and Ladder of Inference Assumptions IM-351 and IM-50413 to show diagnostic detail
Clone of Clinical Judgment Structure
Created in James Madison University's ISAT 341 Simulation and Modeling course by Joseph Straub and Andrew Funkhouser. Based on Mark Heffernan's Glucose-Insulin Insight Maker
Glucose Insulin Model Info:
Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Springer 1998, Ch 24 p255-261, by Mark Heffernan.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Glucose-Insulin Model in Type 1 Diabetes
A simple glucose regulation causal loop diagram taken from Richard O. Foster, 1970: The Dynamics of blood sugar regulation, MSc thesis, MIT Dept of Electrical Engineering, available on the MIT System Dynamics Group Literature Collection and in the MIT Electronic Libraries. See IM-587 for Addition of Glucagon
Clone of Glucose regulation CLD 1
Modelo simplificado para ilustrar una epidemia o pandemia, como la del Coronavirus.
Para mostrar el efecto del aislamiento, utilizar el slider para reducir la cantidad de contactos y ver la gráfica que muestra la curva de enfermos para visualizar el aplanamiento de la curva.
Antonio Medrano, Universidad Del Valle de Guatemala
CoronavirusGT