This model looks at changes in ED attendances/ GP referrals over time and then calculates the expected level of emergency admissions/ bed days that would result.
The model is split into different age groups as they have different seasonality patterns and growth rates
Urgent care bed model (UHP)
Flows between acute hospital and aged care for older people. See IM-1012 for a simpler version
Aged Care and Hospital Flows
Clone of IM-91683 from jacqui and vincy Summary of paper map produced by participants at the compelling case for prevention workshop 6 june 2017.
Current premier version containing Story Steps and text for vincy to update.
This is clone of 97129 via Vincy.
FINAL Clone of Concept Map produced by CCP Workshop 1
DIabetes incidence inflow, Prevalence stock and deaths outflow
Diabetes Progression 1 stock
Rich picture CLD of Tradeoffs in Responses to Work Pressure in the Service Industry by Rogelio Oliva California Mgt Review 2001 43(4) 26-43 paper
Responses to Service Work Pressure
The current Causal loop diagram
Clone of Simplified CLD - Used in simulation
Business case for investment in national eHealth Infrastructure Programs
National eHealth Program Benefits
Opiod dependence and overuse
Fixes That Fail (1)
Business case for investment in national eHealth Infrastructure Programs
Clone of National eHealth Program Benefits
Changing Organization Structures and Behaviours based on Paul Holmstrom's work . Link to CLDs
Organization Structure (HealthCare Managers)
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets. With start point variability.
Linear Ballistic Accumulator with start point variability
Addition of glucagon hormone action to control glucose homeostasis extended from IM-586
Clone of Clone of Glucose regulation CLD 2
Adapted from Richard Normann (1991) Service Management Book Wiley Fig 14.6 p163
Service Management Moments of Truth
Insight synthesis of exchanges to better understand the basis of this decision. Unstructured additions from GMcD
- SystemsWiki Focus Page
- LinkedIn VSI Discussion
Clone of PSA Test Decision
Plan for CCP project completion see IM-102242 for WIP detail of the structures of the related models
CCP Project Scope Deliverables and Extensions
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.
Also applies to finance and war
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Rich picture version of causal loop diagram for medication errors, showing the importance of reporting, analyzing and fixing knowledge and process errors. Medication errors will tend to grow due to the use of more medications in more complex patients. This is exacerbated by the loss of staff knowledge by turnover and goal erosion in places with harmful errors.
Clone of Medication error CLD
From Padgett and Powell's Draft Book Chapter 2003 Figure F Dynamic interaction of actors products and relations. See also their 2012 book on The Emergence of Organizations and Markets
Dynamic Feedbacks in the Life Sciences
Adapted from Fig 8.1 p.310 of the Book: James A. Forte ( 2007), Human Behavior and The Social Environment: Models, Metaphors and Maps for Applying Theoretical Perspectives to Practice Thomson Brooks/Cole Belmont ISBN 0-495-00659-9
Psychodynamic Theory Map
Reported services via medicare statistics and healthy communities (hc) PHN reports
MBS Statistics Financial Year
P20082 GP Workforce 2000-17
See reports icon for more details
Primary Care Activity and Linkages
Extension of IM-14124 with an adjusted bed capacity stock. For backlog and services see IM-8382
Clone of Hospital Emergency and Elective Admission Interaction Simulation 3
From Cultural Worldview and Preference for Childhood Vaccination Policy PSJ Article Nov 2014
Vaccine Attitudes and Cultural Theory
Model of Factors Affecting Ebola
Main Model
感染係数: ウイルスの感染しやすさ
致死係数: 重症患者の死にやすさ
初期潜伏感染者: 初めの潜伏感染者数
政策閾値: 緊急事態宣言を出す判断を行う陽性判定数
政策日数: 政策の長さ
政策病床数: 政策によって追加されるホテル病床数
政策外出率: 政策期間の外出率
バグ:
病床使用率が1を超える
陽性判定数が発症者の係数倍
政策による効果の粒度が粗い
メディア効果、病床数効果あり感染モデル
