Early Modifications to  IM-875  WIP for Continuity of care dynamic model derived from ISO  http://bit.ly/p0LJn4  See also  IM-4008  for later versions

Early Modifications to IM-875 WIP for Continuity of care dynamic model derived from ISO http://bit.ly/p0LJn4 See also IM-4008 for later versions

 An example of why it's so critical to understand where the boundaries are when considering a system. (developed from Eric Wolstenholme's Archetype examples by Gene Bellinger)   YouTube Video
An example of why it's so critical to understand where the boundaries are when considering a system. (developed from Eric Wolstenholme's Archetype examples by Gene Bellinger)
2 months ago
WIP map of ebola in west Africa based on African Affairs  Article  and SEIR framework
WIP map of ebola in west Africa based on African Affairs Article and SEIR framework

 A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003
BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003
This agent based model attempts to simulate the health status of an employee population and compare alternative wellness programs for their cost effectiveness.
This agent based model attempts to simulate the health status of an employee population and compare alternative wellness programs for their cost effectiveness.
 A causal loop diagram of thermostat action  including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. (Insight 394) extended to include fiddling with the thermostat controls based on differential house and outside temperatures. The simulation model is at Insightmaker 393.

A causal loop diagram of thermostat action  including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. (Insight 394) extended to include fiddling with the thermostat controls based on differential house and outside temperatures. The simulation model is at Insightmaker 393.

 Update to the original  IM-636  from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia 

Update to the original IM-636 from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia 

 Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pi

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800269X. More detailed part of Insight 1074

 System Zoo Z111 H Bossel p47 a variant of Michaelis Menten Enzyme Kinetics. See also  IM-854  for Hannon and Ruth and  IM-855  for receptor version and  IM-856  for a bond graph view

System Zoo Z111 H Bossel p47 a variant of Michaelis Menten Enzyme Kinetics. See also IM-854 for Hannon and Ruth and IM-855 for receptor version and IM-856 for a bond graph view

 Published (Robert Wears) simple model representation described as a capacitated processing model, modified to separate Patient Flow from workflow. See also  IM-8382  for more recent model

Published (Robert Wears) simple model representation described as a capacitated processing model, modified to separate Patient Flow from workflow. See also IM-8382 for more recent model

 The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 3
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100.  From Sterman, John D. (2008)  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
 Rich Picture CLD from Yaman Barlas and Hakan Yasarcan (2008) A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations:Setting, Evaluation and Revision in Complex Decision Making Theory and Practice H. Qudrat-Ullah J.M. Spector P.I. Davidsen (Eds.) Springer 2008 available  online paper

Rich Picture CLD from Yaman Barlas and Hakan Yasarcan (2008) A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations:Setting, Evaluation and Revision in Complex Decision Making Theory and Practice H. Qudrat-Ullah J.M. Spector P.I. Davidsen (Eds.) Springer 2008 available online paper

 Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman   This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to inf

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

 Australian Health Care Funding Flows, adapted from the National Hospitals and Health Reform Commission Report. Expanded in  IM-78418

Australian Health Care Funding Flows, adapted from the National Hospitals and Health Reform Commission Report. Expanded in IM-78418

Rich picture version of causal loop diagram for medication errors, showing the importance of reporting, analyzing and fixing knowledge and process errors. Medication errors will tend to grow due to the use of more medications in more complex patients. This is exacerbated by the loss of staff knowled
Rich picture version of causal loop diagram for medication errors, showing the importance of reporting, analyzing and fixing knowledge and process errors. Medication errors will tend to grow due to the use of more medications in more complex patients. This is exacerbated by the loss of staff knowledge by turnover and goal erosion in places with harmful errors.
Adapted from Richard Normann (1991) Service Management  Book  Wiley Fig 14.6 p163
Adapted from Richard Normann (1991) Service Management Book Wiley Fig 14.6 p163
3 3 weeks ago
 Rich Picture Version of  Insight 386  The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1976 ISBN 0-88410-132-0. See also  Services Intro IM

Rich Picture Version of Insight 386 The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1976 ISBN 0-88410-132-0. See also Services Intro IM

A basic conceptual model to evaluate Government regulation of the food industry on community health and health & social costs. Would regulation have a negative impact on the overall budget in the short and longer term?
A basic conceptual model to evaluate Government regulation of the food industry on community health and health & social costs. Would regulation have a negative impact on the overall budget in the short and longer term?
 Extension of  IM-1401  to clinical judgments of risk and decisions to act  See medical decision making 2016 article  abstract

Extension of IM-1401 to clinical judgments of risk and decisions to act  See medical decision making 2016 article abstract

Summary of evolution and the modern synthesis with genetics. See also the more recent extended synthesis  IM-2099
Summary of evolution and the modern synthesis with genetics. See also the more recent extended synthesis IM-2099