From Evans RG and Stoddardt GL 1990 paper Soc Sci Med 31(12)1347-63 , also published in a book by Evans, Barer and Marmor, Why are some people healthy and others not?: The determinants of population health. This is a steady state model of IM-424 that ignores deaths and population increase. This is extended in IM-451
Producing Health Consuming Health Care 2 Steady State
Services planning for people with intellectual disability concept map. Stock and FLow model is Insight 668 and RIch Picture is Insight 746
Intellectual Disability Services Concept Map
Clone of IM-10536 WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013, with joined up flows
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance 2
Z212 from System Zoo 1 p142-148
House Heating Dynamics
The current Causal loop diagram
Simplified CLD - Used in simulation
WIP representation of thinking feeling acting and interacting
Clone of Human behaviour
Based on Nate Osgood's CLD in his video on causal loop diagramming 26:09
Neurorelational Framework
Simplest ED Model for Weekend ED Performance with 1 ED area IM-11079 Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by IM-7981) WIP
Clone of ED Flows extended to Ward and Waitlist Flows
From Michael Hiete, Mirjam Merz and Frank Schultmann (2011) Scenario-based impact analysis of a power outage on healthcare facilities in Germany IJDRBE 2,3 p222-244
Power outages Health Care Impacts
From PLOS One Article April 2012 Worni, M et al System Dynamics to Model the Unintended Consequences of Denying Payment for Venous Thromboembolism after Total Knee Arthroplasty
Payment Policy Unintended Consequences
WIP Social determinants of health from Michael Marmot's ABC 2016 Boyer Lectures on Social Justice and the Health Gap See US Data website for data and AIHW website for concepts. See also IM-83417 Marmot Essay 2017
Social Justice and the Health Gap
Based on diagrams in the NAP 2015 Report Improving diagnosis in health care process Compare with IM-885 Clinical judgment to provide context and and Decision Ladder IM-689 to provide decision process task detail
Improving the diagnostic process
From SDR Jan 2012 article and 1988 killian award lectures Youtube
Mental Models of Dynamic Systems
Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version
Clone of Clone of Premier's priority - childhood overweight and obesity
WHO and Unicef Primary health care measurement framework and indicators: monitoring health systems through a primary health care lens publication 28 Feb 2022
Primary Health Care Monitoring and Measurement Framework
From Powers et al 2011 paper and Mansell's video
Perceptual Control Theory
WIP Elements from macroeconomics, neoliberalism and commercial determinants of health frameworks to provide a background to the effects of the universal basic income on health and wellbeing for the first 1000 days. UBI diagram modified from Johnson2021 article Expanded in Insight 2
Employment and Welfare Interventions Effect on the first 1000 days 1
Clone of IM Health Expenditure australia 2015-6 (Table A3 with past year change) with 2015-6 detail added from NH Funding pool annual report website. Also current and emerging IHPA pricing classifications See also combined performance and activity stock flow IM IHPA and NHPA
Public hospital funding 2015-6 detail Australia
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Also applies to finance, conflict and war
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
From Stephen Toulmin's Book The Uses of Argument Cambridge University Press 2003. See wikipedia Also Francis Miller Claim Hexagon 2025 web article
Toulmin and Miller Argument Models
Unfolding WIP of Eric Wolstenholme's explanation of hospital congestion from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version, early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene and Simpler Version IM
Hospital congestion cascading archetypes
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets
Linear Ballistic Accumulator
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding a simple uncalibrated simulation which includes Wards and some simple internal ED feedback effects
Emergency Room and Wards Patient Flow Simulation