Clone of IM-10536 WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013, with joined up flows

A general model of flows between hospital and the community with workshop elements. See also IM-3200 for focus on frequent presenters with mental health issues

BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003

From Evans RG and Stoddardt GL  1990 paper Soc Sci Med 31(12)1347-63 , also published in a book by Evans, Barer and Marmor, Why are some people healthy and others not?: The determinants of population health. This is a steady state model of IM-424 that ignores deaths and population increase. This is extended in IM-451

WIP representation of thinking feeling acting and interacting

Prochaska's transtheoretical model (TTM) of behavior change. See also Agent Based VersionIM-11578

Based on diagrams in the NAP 2015 Report Improving diagnosis in health care process Compare with IM-885 Clinical judgment to provide context and and Decision Ladder IM-689 to provide decision process task detail

WHO and Unicef  Primary health care measurement framework and indicators: monitoring health systems through a primary health care lens publication 28 Feb 2022

Based on Nate Osgood's CLD in his video on causal loop diagramming  26:09

Based on G.P. Cimellaro et al. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience Engineering Structures 32 (2010) 3639–3649 paper

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

updated 16/3/2020 from 5 years ago

From SDR Jan 2012 article  and 1988 killian award lectures Youtube

Main Page for Resilience

ithink example from isee systems using receptors

From Stephen Toulmin's Book The Uses of Argument Cambridge University Press 2003. See wikipedia  Also Francis Miller Claim Hexagon 2025 web article

From Michael Hiete, Mirjam Merz and Frank Schultmann (2011) Scenario-based impact analysis of a power outage on healthcare facilities in Germany IJDRBE 2,3 p222-244

WIP based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies article and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency IM-1163

From PLOS One Article April 2012 Worni, M et al System Dynamics to Model the Unintended Consequences of Denying Payment for Venous Thromboembolism after Total Knee Arthroplasty

Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at  CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version

Clone of  IM Health Expenditure australia 2015-6 (Table A3 with past year change) with 2015-6 detail added from NH Funding pool annual report website. Also current and emerging IHPA pricing classifications See also combined performance and activity stock flow IM IHPA and NHPA

WIP Elements from macroeconomics, neoliberalism and commercial determinants of health frameworks to provide a background to the effects of the universal basic income on health and wellbeing for the first 1000 days. UBI diagram modified from Johnson2021 article Expanded in Insight 2

Base del modelo territorial de Ciudad Hermosa

Una adaptación del URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process at System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) (click here to view full paper).