A work in progress model for ED daily average flows based on reported statistics by triage category with all triage categories aggregated. Based on a hospital performance report from  http://www.bhi.nsw.gov.au/publications/hospital_quarterly_3 

This is a simpler version of Insight 649 showing the flow of Older People among the Community Hospital and Aged Care Residences

A general model of flows between hospital and the community with workshop elements. See also IM-3200 for focus on frequent presenters with mental health issues

Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at  CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version

From SDR Jan 2012 article  and 1988 killian award lectures Youtube

A structure used in childhood obesity intervention mechanisms, currently a map WIP which can be enhanced into a simulation

Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Springer 1998, Ch 24 p255-261, by Mark Heffernan.

WIP representation of thinking feeling acting and interacting

A  Medical Imaging view of Patient Flows through ED Imaging Workup from IM-374 , now modified by the Emergency Department's internal and external review procedures.

Main Page for Resilience

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

Clone of IM-10536 WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013, with joined up flows

Clone of  IM Health Expenditure australia 2015-6 (Table A3 with past year change) with 2015-6 detail added from NH Funding pool annual report website. Also current and emerging IHPA pricing classifications See also combined performance and activity stock flow IM IHPA and NHPA

Kidney replacement therapy dynamics: causal loop diagram of the kidney dialysis and transplant model extended to Chronic Kidney Disease from MOTOHASHI and NISHI Int. J. Epidemiology1991; 20: 1032-1036

BUilt on IM-12140 to illustrate Strategic (blue) Tactical (orange) and Operational (yellow) time scales of decisions affecting Regional Renal Services Performance, including Workforce. Also informed by IM-318 and IM-1003

WIP for Continuity of care ISO Old Version From Wikipedia Replaced by IM-4008

From Powers et al 2011 paper and Mansell's video

Simple exposition of going solid article by Cook and Rasmussen 2005 after reading p156 section 4.1 of Modelling in Healthcare by CSMG See also Resilience Cs IM

Rich picture version of causal loop diagram for medication errors, showing the importance of reporting, analyzing and fixing knowledge and process errors. Medication errors will tend to grow due to the use of more medications in more complex patients. This is exacerbated by the loss of staff knowledge by turnover and goal erosion in places with harmful errors.

Arthur Kleinman's book p228 the remaking of moral life

This model shows the dynamics of use of a new medical technology based on its scope of use and perceived relative benefit. The technology needs cumulative usage to fix its glitches, and the benefits will be diluted  as the scope of use widens.