Model of Buffer Margin from Robert Wears thesis WIP

Linked concept version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model used as a scaffolding to start modeling managing the deteriorating patient.

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

WIP to explain risk factors and burden of disease

This is a high level system dynamics model which is built to determine the dynamic relationships of the FSA and Followups capacity. Therefore, it can help clinicians to find out the optimistic method in order to reduce the waiting list. At past clinicians were seeing more FSA patients, however, after few months, the followups patients overwhelmed the clinics. Therefore waiting list has been built up again. By running this model, clinicians can find out the balanced leverage point(s).

From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

Causal loop diagram patient centric version of Insight 691, unfolding the complexity of medication management.

Test Sensitivity and Specificity see ROC wikipedia and Tom Fawcett's 2006 article introduction to ROC Analysis, Can be linked to Brunswik Lens IM-1401

Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation

Mindmap (tree) version of thermostat concept map

From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys

IM-4008 with split off patient statechart See IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and IM-4031 for additional professional statechart

from Teece's 2007, 2017-19 articles and see wikipedia. See also Panarchy esp Institutional Adaptive Cycles insight

"Seeing is believing" and "Believing is seeing". How the reduction of doubt can lead to holding on to initially helpful beliefs that later turn out to be false but are difficult to change. Or as I believe Bertrand Russell might once have put it, "The trouble with the world is that fools are so sure of themselves and the wise are so uncertain."

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the beliefs we develop. A picture version of the parameter version of Insight 351 for an academic audience. Here Consequences, intent and learning loops have been added

Population Model

From the Plausibility of life book esp p 220-227

WIP for Continuity of care ISO Old Version From Wikipedia Replaced by IM-4008

SIR model with herd immunity - Metrics by Guy Laekman

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity

Flows between acute hospital and aged care for older people.

Published (Robert Wears) simple model representation described as a capacitated processing model, modified to separate Patient Flow from workflow. See also IM-8382 for more recent model

Rich Picture CLD from Yaman Barlas and Hakan Yasarcan (2008) A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations:Setting, Evaluation and Revision in Complex Decision Making Theory and Practice H. Qudrat-Ullah J.M. Spector P.I. Davidsen (Eds.) Springer 2008 available online paper

Simple stock-flow and feedback representation based on Fig 9.3 in Monica Erikson's chapter in the 2nd Edition of Mittelmark's 2022 Handbook of Salutogenesis

WIP based on Raafat Zaini's 2015 Triple Helix article and PhD Colloquium and ISDC 2013  university growth paper ithink models as a starting point for health care systems science modelling growth dynamics