Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization Zahra Mohaghegh, Reza Kazemi, Ali Mosleh Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009) 94 5 p1000–1018 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800269X. More detailed part of Insight 1074

Beliefs and practices are missing in the causal loop, as indicated by the disconnected variable. Human capital (cultural and financial) is also disconnected.

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Illustrates moving from a Causal Loop Diagram (scroll to the right) to a stocks & flows representation.  Press Simulate to see graphs. Note that the "pulse" represents something like eating a donut and the graphs show how the body responds.  Which part of the system relates to whether someone may or may not need to take insulin? 

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Capstone Framing

Interacting nested fast and slow adaptive cycles from Panarchy Book  ,Resilience thinking Book Brian Walker and David Salt Island Press 2006 and the http://www.resalliance.org/ Website, See also What is Panarchy at http://bit.ly/H9RFkL

How do drugs affect us on individual and popular levels? Let's take a look at drug addiction as a system and pick it apart based on its biological, financial, mental, and communal effects.

Aim: To gain insight into what map and model representations in applied systems methods in IM-1267 can assist identifying and explaining the improvement strategies (leverage points) described by Donella Meadows Leverage Points Systemswiki . The context is social learning for collective action to improve real world events. Information Sources are adapted from IM-920

To be used to start a Causal Loop Diagram

To be used to start a Causal Loop Diagram

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

From Hieronymi's 2013 Systems Research Paper Understanding Systems Science. Systems Science as one of the clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery using complex decision technologies IM-17952

Based on Nate Osgood's April 2014 Singapore Presentation Youtube video and Lyle Wallis material Gojii at DecisioTech See also Complex Decison Technologies IM as a more polished version

To be used to start a Causal Loop Diagram

To be used to start a Causal Loop Diagram

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?

From Hieronymi's 2013 Systems Research Paper Understanding Systems Science. Systems Science as one of the clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery using complex decision technologies IM-17952

Activity: Use causal loop diagram to represent how the system is supposed to work based on Elmore quote.  Then, according to Elmore, what is missing?  How might the model be modified to include what Elmore says is missing?