Details:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->This
model shows the effect of ‘reinvestment program ‘or the expenditure on policing
and community development affects the cycles of petty-crime and youth
detention, and domestic violence and jail.
More details:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]--> Bourke is a town of 3000 people in the North West of
New South Wales, about 750Km from Sydney. See the map:
https://goo.gl/maps/VgNqgMNzJ7H2. It’s nowhere and there’s not much to do there
if you’re young. So, a lot of kids get into mischief, and a lot of adult’s
drink. Sometimes they’re violent.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->http://www.justreinvest.org.au/justice-reinvestment-in-bourke/
Assumption:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Bourke Funding consist of Law enforcement
funding and Community Development funding only
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Bourke budget only has $400,000
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Juvenile detention stay last for 6 months
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->There is only 2 options as a Youth, commit petty
crime or engage in Youth development programs
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->1 unit of Police, Juvenile and Educational
program HR and Equipment is = 0.25
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->1 unit increase results in an 0.25 effectiveness
increase
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Sport clubs, educational programs and social
programs are comprised into Youth Development Program as 1 stock.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Juvenile support relies on encouraging youth who
are in detention centers to join youth development programs, if not they will
reoffend.
Stocks:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Home
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Youth Development program
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Discharged
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Juvenile detention center
<!--[if !supportLists]-->o
<!--[endif]-->Petty Crime
Variable:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Reinvestment
Allocation – ranges from 0 – 1 , law enforcement investment allocation is 1
– reinvestment allocation. Slide the
slider through 0 to 1 to change the reinvestment allocation by 10% l
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Bourke funding budget is fixed to make it seem
more realistic (imagine employing a whole army of teachers or police, it
wouldn’t make sense)
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Youth
Population varies , from 1000 to
10,000 for realism along with its time period (4 years). Slider the the slider
to increase or decrease the population by 1,000s
Juvenile support
effectiveness rate, Youth development program effectiveness rate, conviction
rate, Police HR/ equipment, Juvenile Support HR/ equipment, Youth Development
program HR/ equipment
Interrelationship and
reinforcing loops
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->The youth population starts as as Neutral (Home)
then leans towards alienation and connectedness
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Alienation
Reinforcing Loop - Alienation has
Conviction rate as a factor as conviction rate increase Alienation increase.
This is because as youths get arrested, meaning they’ll have to stay in
Detention centers, their friends are more likely to follow on due to them
getting ‘bored’.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Connectedness
Reinforcing Loop - The opposite exist with Connectedness, as educational
program effectiveness increase so as Connectedness. This follows onto the same
assumption that youth will always follow peer pressure. The more friends they
have in the program, the more likely they will join aswell.
Analysis:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->1. <!--[endif]-->Which loop is the youth in?
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Once the allocation slider is used with its
minimum or maximum value, the loop at which majority of the youth population is
‘stuck in’ becomes obvious. E.g. Once allocation = 1, the entire youth is stuck
between educational program and their home, showing the effectiveness of
community development funding. On the other hand, once allocation = 0, the
entire youth loops around from doing Petty Crimes, spending their time in
Juvenile detention centers, then getting discharged to only commit petty crimes
again.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->2. <!--[endif]-->Alienation vs. Connectedness
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Set the allocation slider on 0.8, The massive
difference between the youth of population feeling connected with their
community and youth being alienated can be seen. The increase in Reinvestment,
the increase in connectedness. Try the extremes as well, 100% reinvestment
funding results in 0 Alienation rate.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->3. <!--[endif]--> What is
the Youth Engaged in ? Educational Programs or Petty Crime ?
<!--[if !supportLists]-->·
<!--[endif]-->Leaving the slider on 0.8, it can be seen that
the there are more youth engaged into educational programs than petty crime.
This shows that reinvestment and petty crime has a negative relationship .
<!--[if !supportLists]-->4. <!--[endif]-->More police = safer ?
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Set the slider on 0.1 , it can be seen that
Conviction which has police as a factor is positively correlated to Crime. This
means that an increase in conviction rate is equivalent to more youth being
alienated and committing crime. Therefore, more police less safer.
Have fun!
