A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
SIR model with waning immunity
This is reproduction of the tutorial exercise 1, Disease Dynamics.
Tut1-diseaseDynamics
Tutorial model of disease dynamics using ABM
Clone of Clone of Agent-Based Disease Dynamics
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please
adjust variables accordingly
Italy
- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100
Germany
- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880
France
- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000
As you wish
- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4
Key
- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
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Factors are based on daily choices.
Clone of Human Body Systems Efficiency
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Clone of SIR Model
A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Clone of Clone of SIR model with waning immunity
A normal zombie outbreak simulator!
Future change will be added.
:]
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A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with herd immunity and isolation policies.
Clone of SIR model with herd immunity and isolation
A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
Clone of CS558 Agent-Based Spatially Aware Disease Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
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A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
Clone of Spatially Aware SIR Diseasse Model
El Salvador
- Tamaño población inicial: 6,400,000
- Unidad de cuidados intensivos disponibles: 2000
- Casos confirmados hasta 13/10/2020: 30,480
- Casos fallecidos hasta 13/10/2020: 899
Fuente: https://covid19.gob.sv/
CORONAVIRUS EL SALVADOR
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of Clone of SIR Model
A simple Susceptible - Infected - Recovered disease model.
Clone of SIR Model
A spatially aware, agent based model of disease spread. There are three classes of people: susceptible (healthy), infected (sick and infectious), and recovered (healthy and temporarily immune).
@LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube
Clone of Spatially Aware SIR Disease Model