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A Model for COVID-19 outbreak
AT3
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Stakeholder Stock & Flow
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This is a mitigated model showing the potential spread of COVID-19 across the healthcare system.

COVID phased community model (RC)
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Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

ECM-Training - SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19
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COVID-19 in India
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A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity

COVID-19 Delta Variant Spread Among Emory Students
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COVID-19 in Jakarta
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covid 19 in china 1
4 7 months ago
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Өзіндік жұмыс агенттік
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Covid-19 Modell
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Wolstenholme & Moya in COVID-19 reducing infection
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In this activity show the system dynamics model or the SDM, we can see the covid-19 flows and transition or links.
SD MODEL FINAL COVID-19
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Here we have a basic model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

We add simple containment meassures that affect different paramenters.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Hong Kong.

The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.

COVID-19 spread with containment measures
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SARS-CoV-19 spread in different countries
- please adjust variables accordingly

Italy
  • elderly population (>65): 0.228
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
  • starting population size: 60 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
  • heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
  • free intensive care units: 3 100

Germany
  • elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
  • starting population size: 83 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
  • heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
  • free intensive care units: 5 880

France
  • elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
  • estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
  • starting population size: 67 000 000
  • high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
  • heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
  • free intensive care units: 3 000

As you wish
  • numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
  • practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
  • government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
  • Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4

Key
  • Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
  • Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
  • Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
  • Dead: People died because of COVID-19
  • Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
  • Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment
SARS-CoV-19 model
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Propagación y recuperación Covid-19
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Agent based Modeling Simulation for Pandemic COVID-19 Disease
Агентская модель
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COVID-19 в Китае
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Агентное моделирование Индия Covid-19
11 months ago
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Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)
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өзіндік жұмыс
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From Yuan Tian's 2024 paper Early COVID-19 Pandemic Preparedness: Informing Public Health Interventions and Hospital Capacity Planning Through Participatory Hybrid Simulation Modeling and  PhD Dissertation 2025 USask Fig 5.1 p96 
Hybrid model of early Covid-19