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Агент модель
Өзіндік жұмыс 2
4 9 months ago
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Modelo SEIR in Covid-19
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Introduction;

This model shows COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie have some impact for local economy situation and government policy. The main government policy is lockdown during the spreading period which can help reduce the infected rate, and also increase the test scale to help susceptible confirm their situation.


Variables;

Infection rate, Death rate, Recovery rate, test rate, susceptible, immunity rate, economy growth rate

These variables are influenced by different situation.


When cases over 10, government will implement lockdown policy.


Conclusion;

When cases increase too much , they will influence the economic situation.


Interesting insights:

If the recover rate is higher, more people will recover from the disease. It seems to be a positive sign. However, it would lead to a higher number of recovered people and more susceptible. As a result, there would be more cases, and would have a negative impact on the economic growth. 

Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tamania ( WANTING BAO, 536865)
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Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil:
A System Dynamics Approach

Villela, Paulo (2020)
paulo.villela@engenharia.ufjf.br

This model is based on Crokidakis, Nuno. (2020). Data analysis and modeling of the evolution of COVID-19 in Brazil. For more details see full paper here.

Clone of Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil: A System Dynamics Approach
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The model here shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie Tasmania, which has impacted in the local economy. the relationship between COVID-19 and economic situation has been shown in the graph. Based on the susceptible and exposed rate, the period of spreading can be controlled by lockdown policy. 

Susceptible can be exposed by go out.  resident has a possibility to infect and be infected by others. The infection rate, new cases, immunity rate as well as doing exercise can effect the recovery rate. The economy situation is proportionate to the recovery rate. If there are more recovery rate from the pandemic, the economy situation will recover as well.   


BMA 708--Assignment 3
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КОРОНАВИРУС - ӨЗІНДІК ЖҰМЫС
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Pemodelan COVID-19
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COVID-19 Model
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Ausbreitung von SARS-CoV-19 in verschiedenen Ländern
- bitte passen Sie die Variablen über die Schieberegler weiter unten entsprechend an

Italien

    ältere Bevölkerung (>65): 0,228
    Faktor der geschätzten unentdeckten Fälle: 0,6
    Ausgangsgröße der Bevölkerung: 60 000 000
    hoher Blutdruck: 0,32 (gbe-bund)
    Herzkrankheit: 0,04 (statista)
    Anzahl der Intensivbetten: 3 100


Deutschland

    ältere Bevölkerung (>65): 0,195 (bpb)
    geschätzte unentdeckte Fälle Faktor: 0,2 (deutschlandfunk)
    Ausgangsgröße der Bevölkerung: 83 000 000
    hoher Blutdruck: 0,26 (gbe-bund)
    Herzkrankheit: 0,2-0,28 (Herzstiftung)
   
Anzahl der Intensivbetten: 5 880


Frankreich

    ältere Bevölkerung (>65): 0,183 (statista)
    Faktor der geschätzten unentdeckten Fälle: 0,4
    Ausgangsgröße der Bevölkerung: 67 000 000
    Bluthochdruck: 0,3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
    Herzkrankheit: 0,1-0,2 (oecd)
   
Anzahl der Intensivbetten: 3 000


Je nach Bedarf:

    Anzahl der Begegnungen/Tag: 1 = Quarantäne, 2-3 = soziale Distanzierung , 4-6 = erschwertes soziales Leben, 7-9 = überhaupt keine Einschränkungen // Vorgabe 2
    Praktizierte Präventivmassnahmen (d.h. sich regelmässig die Hände waschen, das Gesicht nicht berühren usw.): 0.1 (niemand tut etwas) - 1 (sehr gründlich) // Vorgabe 0.8
    Aufklärung durch die Regierung: 0,1 (sehr schlecht) - 1 (sehr transparent und aufklärend) // Vorgabe 0,9
    Immunitätsrate (aufgrund fehlender Daten): 0 (man kann nicht immun werden) - 1 (wenn man es einmal hatte, wird man es nie wieder bekommen) // Vorgabe 0,4


Schlüssel

    Anfällige: Menschen sind nicht mit SARS-CoV-19 infiziert, könnten aber infiziert werden
    Infizierte: Menschen sind infiziert worden und haben die Krankheit COVID-19
    Geheilte: Die Menschen haben sich gerade von COVID-19 erholt und können es in diesem Stadium nicht mehr bekommen
    Tote: Menschen starben wegen COVID-19
    Immunisierte: Menschen wurden immun und können die Krankheit nicht mehr bekommen
    Kritischer Prozentsatz der Wiederherstellung: Überlebenschance ohne spezielle medizinische Behandlung



SARS-CoV-19 Modell von Lucia Vega Resto
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covid-19
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SD MODEL COVID-19
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​Tugas 3 Pemodelan Transportasi Laut 
 
STUDI KASUS : Simulasi Penyebaran Virus Corona atau COVID-19 di Indonesia dengan aplikasi Insight Maker
TUGAS 3_IGedeBagusIndraDanendra_04411740000036_Pemodelan Transportasi Laut
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Өзіндік жұмыс агент
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Covid-19 Pandemic
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A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover

Assumptions
Govt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.

Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.

A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights

Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2
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Atakan Han 150501024 

During the Covid-19 Outbreak Model
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covid 19 in itale пример
6 2 months ago
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The System Dynamics Model presents the the COVID-19 status in Puerto Princesa City
Ауру Динамикасы COVID-19
10 months ago
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The Binary Adder:

Andy Long
Spring, 2020 - Year of Covid-19​

Having constructed a working example of a finite state machine (FSM), from Gersting's 7th edition (p. 730, Example 29), I decided to create a more useful one -- a binary adder (p. 732). It works!

Subject to these rules:
  1. Your two binary numbers should start off the same length -- pad with zeros if necessary. Call this length L.
  2. Now pad your two binary numbers with three extra 0s at the end; this lets the binary-to-decimal conversion execute.
  3. numbers are entered from ones place (left to right).
  4. In Settings, choose "simulation start" as 1, your "simulation length" as L+2 -- two more than the length of your initial input number vectors. (I wish that the Settings issues could be set without having to explicitly change it each time -- maybe it can, but I don't know how.)
Be attentive to order -- start with 1s place, 2s place, 4s, place, etc., and your output answer will be read in the same order.

To understand why we need three additional inputs of 0s:
  1. For the useless first piece of output -- so n -> n+1
  2. For the possibility of adding two binary numbers and ending up with an additional place we need to force out: 111 + 111 = 0 1 1 1
  3. For the delay in computing the decimal number: it reads the preceding output to compute the decimal value.
Mat385 Finite State Machine (Binary Adder)
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Кредит 4 дз
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Cameroon COVID-19
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This model can be used to investigate how government interventions affect transmission and mortality associated with COVID-19 during an outbreak, and how these interventions impact on the economic activities in Burnie, Tasmania.

Assumptions can be made that effective government intervention can reduce the number of people infected, whereas the local economy is severely impacted.

Insights:
1. When COVID-19 case are more than 10, government policy will be triggered.

2. Testing rate is very crucial to understanding the spread of the pandemic and responding appropriately.


BMA708_Marketing insights_Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania_Jing XU