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COVID-19 в Китае

Madina Muradova

AT-3

Xuanze Liang

4

Өзіндік жұмыс агенттік

Исақ Назерке

7

Covid-19

Tamires Gomes

Introduction

This model simulates the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie, the government reactions, as well as the economic impact. The government's strategy is based on the number of COVID-19 cases reported and testing rates and recovered.

Assumptions

In the same trend that government policy decreases infection, it also reduces economic growth.

When there are ten or fewer COVID-19 cases reported, government policy is triggered.

The economy suffers as a result of an increase in COVID-19 cases.

Interesting insights

The higher testing rates appear to result in a more quick government response, resulting in fewer infectious cases. However, it has a negative influence on the economy.

Model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania - Xiaoqing Ren 525418

Xiaoqing Ren

2 өзіндік жұмыс

Әшірбек Ақжан

==edited by Prasiantoro Tusono and Rio Swarawan Putra==

Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured in

https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2020spring/mat375/mathematica/SIRModel-MAA.nb
https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death - based on Andrew E Long

prazi.antoro

From Yuan Tian's 2024 paper Early COVID-19 Pandemic Preparedness: Informing Public Health Interventions and Hospital Capacity Planning Through Participatory Hybrid Simulation Modeling and PhD Dissertation 2025 USask Fig 5.1 p96

Hybrid model of early Covid-19

Geoff McDonnell

9 months ago

Modelling the demand for health and care resources resulting from the Covid-19 outbreak using an SEIR model.

Infectious Disease Model (Version 4.0)

Eleanor Jeram

9

System Dynamics

Аида Мухамедиянова

2бөлім 1 тапсырма

kuttykyz ergaliqyzy

3

SEIR Model Covid-19

Rizky Intan Nurlita

Covid-19-rise

Carrick M. Eggleston

2 өзіндік жұмыс

Anarali Abdisattarov

4

Here we have a basic model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

We add simple containment meassures that affect different paramenters.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Hong Kong.

The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.

COVID-19 spread with containment measures