The story tell the difference when social distance applied or not

Insigh: Luis Felipe Dias Lopes - UFSM

            Carlos HeitorMoreira - UFSM

            Paulo Villela - ITA

Italian data [link], as of Mar 28

Incubation estimation [link] 

Model focuses on outbreak dynamics and control, this version ignores symptom onset to hospital admission and the rest of recovery dynamics.

This is an example of a finite state machine (FSM), from Gersting's 7th edition (p. 730, Example 29).

It's the first time I've used vectors (for input); and there are a few interesting twists on models that are different for the Finite State Machine.

So it's been an interesting learning experience for me....

 

It works!

Andy Long

Spring, 2020

Year of Covid-19​

Simple epidemiological model for Burnie, Tasmania

Government policy is activated when there are 10 or fewer reported cases of COVID-19. The more people tested, the fewer people became infected. So the government's policy is to reduce infections by increasing the number of people tested and starting early. At the same time, it has slowed the economic growth (which, according to the model,  will stop for next 52 weeks).