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Burnie

Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2

Steven D'Alessandro
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover
AssumptionsGovt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.
Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.
A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights
Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 1 week 4 hours ago

Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania (Yue Xiang 512994)

Yue Xiang
Simple epidemiological model for Burnie, TasmaniaSIR: Susceptible to infection - Infected - Recovery, Government responses and Economic impacts  

Government policy is activated when there are 10 or fewer reported cases of COVID-19. The more people tested, the fewer people became infected. So the government's policy is to reduce infections by increasing the number of people tested and starting early. At the same time, it has slowed the economic growth (which, according to the model,  will stop for next 52 weeks).

COVID-19 Coronavirus SIR Model Government Economy Burnie Tasmania UTAS BMA708

  • 4 days 14 hours ago

Burnie COVID-19 outbreaks and economic impacts_Pui Chu Daisy Cheung 524767

Pui Chu Daisy Cheung
This model shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie and the Government intervention to alleviate the crisis and also how is the intervention affect the economy.
It is assumed that the Government intervention is triggered when the COVID-19 case is equal to or more than 10. 
Government intervention - lock down the state, suppress the development of COVID-19 effectively. It is related to most of people stay at home to reduce the exposure in public area.On the other hand, it also bring the economy of Burnie in the recession, as no tourists, no dining out activities and decrease in money spending in the city.

BMA708 COVID-19 Burnie Economic Impacts

  • 5 days 13 hours ago

Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

Jingting REN

This Model was developed from the SEIR model (Susceptible, Enposed, Infected, Recovered). It was designed to explore relationships between the government policies regarding the COVID-19 and its impact upon the economy as well as well-being of residents. 

Assumptions:

Government policies will be triggered when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less;


Government Policies affect the economy and the COV-19 infection negatively at the same time;


Government Policies can be divided as 4 categories, which are Social Distancing, Business Restrictions, Lock Down, Travel Ban, and Hygiene Level, and they represented strength of different aspects;

 

Parameters:

Policies like Social Distancing, Business Restrictions, Lock Down, Travel Ban all have different weights and caps, and they add up to 1 in total;

 

There are 4 cases on March 9th; 

Ro= 5.7  Ro is the reproduction number, here it means one person with COVID-19 can potentially transmit the coronavirus to 5 to 6 people;


Interesting Insights:

Economy will grow at the beginning few weeks then becoming stagnant for a very long time;

Exposed people are significant, which requires early policies intervention such as social distancing.

COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 SIR Model Economy After Pandemic Well-being

  • 4 days 15 hours ago

Model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie(Yafei Shi 489576)

Yafei Shi
Description:
This is a system dynamics model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie which shows the process of infections and how  government responses, impact on the local economy.  
First part is outbreak model, we can know that when people is infected, there are two situations. One is that he recovers from  treatment, but even if he recovered, the immunity loss rate increase, makes him to become infected again. The other situation is death. In this outbreak, the government's health policies (ban on non-essential trips, closure of non-essential retailers, limits on public gatherings and quarantine )  help to reduce the spread of the COVID-19 new cases. Moreover,  government legislation is dependent on  number of COVID-19 cases and testing rates. 
 Second part: the model of Govt legislation and economic impact. Gov policy can help to reduce infection rate and local economy at same way. The increase of number of COVID-19 cases has a negative impact on local Tourism industry and economic growth rate. On the other hand, Govt legislation also can be change when reported COVID-19 case are less or equal to 10.





COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 4 days 15 hours ago

Model of Covid-19 outbreaks at Burnie (Yingchao Yang,503757)

Mika yang
This model aims to show that how Tasmania government's Covid-19 policy can address the spread of the pandemic and in what way these policy can damage the economy.
This model assumes that if the COVID-19 cases are more than 10, the government will take action such as quarantine and lockdown at the area. These policy can indirectly affect the local economy in many different way. At the same time, strict policy may be essential for combating Covid-19.
From the simulation of the model, we can clearly see that the economy of Burine will be steady increase when government successfully reduces the COVID-19 cased and make it spreading slower.
Interesting finding: In this pandemic, the testing rate and the recovery rate are important to stop Covid-19 spreading. Once the cases of Covid-19 less than 10, the government might stop intervention and the economy of Burnie will back to normal.

COVID-19 Burnie Economy

  • 2 days 12 hours ago

BMA 708, Assessment Tast 3: Complex System, Burnie COVID-19 outbreak, Diprina Shakya-519673

Diprina Shakya
Explanation of the ModelThis is a Model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania which shows the government actions in response to the pandemic COVID-19 and its affects on the Economy. The government health policy changes depending on the reported cases, which is a dependent upon the testing rate. 
AssumptionsLockdown and travel ban were the main factor in government policy. It negatively impacts on the Economic growth as individuals are not going out which is directly affects the business around the world, in this insight 'Burnie'. This reduces the economic growth and the factors positively effecting economic growth such as Tourism.

Government policies has a negative impact on Exposer of individuals. Moreover, it also has a negative impact on chances of infection when exposed as well as other general infection rate. 
Interesting Insight There is a significant impact of test rating on COVID-19 outbreak. Higher rates increases the government involvement, which decreases cases as well as the total death. In contrast, lower testing rates increase the death rate and cases. 
Tourism which plays a avital role in Tasmanian Economy greatly affects the Economic Growth. The decline of Tourism in parts of Tasmania such as Burnie, would directly decrease the economy of Tasmania.


  

COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania COVID-19 Outbreak Government Policy Economy BMA708

  • 4 days 15 hours ago

COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania (Rajaa Sajjad, 538837)

Rajaa Sajjad

ABOUT THE MODEL

This is a dynamic model that shows the correlation between the health-related policies implemented by the Government in response to COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania, and the policies’ impact on the Economic activity of the area.

 ASSUMPTIONS

The increase in the number of COVID-19 cases is directly proportional to the increase in the Government policies in the infected region. The Government policies negatively impact the economy of Burnie, Tasmania.

INTERESTING INSIGHTS

1. When the borders are closed by the government, the economy is severely affected by the decrease of revenue generated by the Civil aviation/Migration rate. As the number of COVID-19 cases increase, the number of people allowed to enter Australian borders will also decrease by the government. 

2. The Economic activity sharply increases and stays in uniformity. 

3. The death rate drastically decreased as we increased test rate by 90%.


COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 1 week 3 hours ago

Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tamania ( WANTING BAO, 536865)

wanting bao

Introduction;

This model shows COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie have some impact for local economy situation and government policy. The main government policy is lockdown during the spreading period which can help reduce the infected rate, and also increase the test scale to help susceptible confirm their situation.


Variables;

Infection rate, Death rate, Recovery rate, test rate, susceptible, immunity rate, economy growth rate

These variables are influenced by different situation.


When cases over 10, government will implement lockdown policy.


Conclusion;

When cases increase too much , they will influence the economic situation.


Interesting insights:

If the recover rate is higher, more people will recover from the disease. It seems to be a positive sign. However, it would lead to a higher number of recovered people and more susceptible. As a result, there would be more cases, and would have a negative impact on the economic growth. 

COVID-19 Burnie Tamania Economy BMA708 Marketing Insights Into Big Data

  • 3 days 19 hours ago

Complex Systems How Burnie Tasmania dealt with Covid-19 Outbreak BMA708

Kate Elizabeth Craddock
This model is comparing healthy and sick residents in Burnie, Tasmania after the Covid-19 Outbreak in 2020. It will also show how the Burnie economy is effected by the disease, how the Government Health Policies are implemented and how they are enforced.

This model is based on the SIR, Susceptible, Infection, Recovery (or Removed) These are the three possible states related to the members of the Burnie population when a contagious decease spreads.

The Government/Government Health Policy, played a big part in the successful decrease in Covid-19 infections. The Government enforced the following.
- No travel (interstate or international)
- Isolation within the residents homes
- Social distancing by 1.5m
- Quarantine
- Non essential companies to be temporarily closed
- Limitations on public gatherings
- And limits on time and kilometers aloud to travel from ones home within a local community

This resulted in lower reported infection rates of Covid-19 and higher recovery rates.

In my opinion:
When the first case was reported the Government could have been even faster to enforce these rules to decrease the fatality rates further for the Burnie, population.  

Assumption: Government policies were only triggered when 10 cases were recorded.
Also, more cases that had been recorded effected the economic growth during this time.

Interesting Findings: In the simulation it shows as the death rates increases towards the end of the week, the rate of testing goes down. You would think that the government would have enforced a higher testing rate over the duration of this time to decrease the number of infections, exposed which would increase the recovery rates faster and more efficiently.  

Figures have been determined by the population of Burnie being 19,380 at the time of assignment.

Environment Healthcare COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania

  • 3 days 18 hours ago

BMA708 Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie island. Ming Liu 501335

Ming Liu
This model is to explain the COVID-19 outbreak in Brunie Island, Tasmania, Australia, and the relationship between it and the government policies , also with the local economy.

This model is upgraded on the basis of the SIR model and adds more variables.

A large number of COVID-19 cases will have a negative impact on the local economy. But if the number of cases is too small, it will have no impact on the macro economy

Government policy will help control the growth of COVID-19 cases by getting people tested.


COVID-19 SIR Model Government Policy Economy Burnie Tasmania UTAS BMA708

  • 4 days 16 hours ago

BMA708 Task 3 Zijing Zeng 520737

Zijing Zeng
This Model described the outbreak simulation under government policy and impacts on Economics.
Assumptions The social distance policy can reduce 80% of infection.
Interesting InsightsThe story tell the difference when social distance applied or not
Click on View story to start simulations

COVID-19 Tasmania Burnie

  • 4 days 14 hours ago

Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania (Yimeng Yao 448253)

Yao Yimeng

Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

When reported COVID-19 cases begin to show a rapid increase, the government will initiate control policies to deal with the spread.As the number of people tested increases and measures such as isolation and medical assistance are implemented, the number of people infected will decline rapidly.Therefore, the government's policy is to reduce and eliminate sources of transmission by increasing the number of tests and initiating control measures.At the same time, it also shows the negative impact of economic growth, which according to the model will stop in the next 20 weeks.

COVID-19 Government Economy Burnie Tasmania UTAS BMA708

  • 3 days 15 hours ago

How Burnie, Tasmania can deal with a new outbreak of COVID-19

Jie Sun
The model is built to demonstrates how Burnie Tasmania can deal with a new COVID-19 outbreaks, taking government policies and economic effects into account.The susceptible people are the local Burnie residents. If residents were infected, they would either recovered or dead. However, even they do recover, there is a chance that they will get infected again if immunity loss occurs.
From the simulation result we can see that with the implementation of local government policies including travel ban and social distancing,  the number of infected people will decrease. The number of recovered people will increase in the first 5 weeks but then experience a decrease.
In addition, with the implementation of local government policy, the economic environment in Burnie will be relatively stable when the number of COVID-19 cases is stable.

Burnie COVID-19 Jie Sun 502312

  • 4 days 14 hours ago

The Model of COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak in Burnie, TAS

Yuxi Wang
[The Model of COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak in Burnie, TAS]
A model of COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from the government with the impact on the local economy and medical supply. 
It is assumed that the government policy is triggered and rely on reported COVID-19 cases when the confirmed cases are 10 or less. 
Interesting insightsThe infection rate will decline if the government increase the testing ranges, meanwhile,  the more confirmed cases will increase the pressure on hospital capacity and generate more demand for medical resources, which will promote government policy intervention to narrow the demand gap and  affect economic performance by increasing hospital construction with financial investment.

COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 4 days 14 hours ago

BMA708_Marketing insights_Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania_Jing XU

Jing Xu
This model can be used to investigate how government interventions affect transmission and mortality associated with COVID-19 during an outbreak, and how these interventions impact on the economic activities in Burnie, Tasmania.
Assumptions can be made that effective government intervention can reduce the number of people infected, whereas the local economy is severely impacted.
Insights:
1. When COVID-19 case are more than 10, government policy will be triggered.
2. Testing rate is very crucial to understanding the spread of the pandemic and responding appropriately.


COVID-19 Government Health Policy Economic Burnie

  • 4 days 14 hours ago

Burnie Covid Model, Zilin Huang 533476

Zilin Huang

This model is designed for the local government of Burnie, Tasmania, aiming to help with balancing COIVD-19 and economic impacts during a possible outbreak. 

The model has been developed based upon the SIR model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) model used in epidemiology. 

It lists several possible actions that can be taken by the government during a COVID-19 outbreak and provide the economic impact simulation. 

The model allow users to Change the government policies factors (Strength of Policies) and simulate the total economic impact.

Interestingly, the government plicies largely help with controlling the COVID outbreak. However, the stronger the policies are, the larger impact on local economy

Burnie Tasmania COVID

  • 4 days 19 hours ago

The model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania

Anni Chen
This model demonstrates the relationship between the covid-19 outbreak, government policy, and economic impacts. This model was developed based on SIR model (Susceptible, Infection, Recovery). The model also outlines the policies been implemented by the government to cope with Covid-19 pandemic and it also indicate its economic impact. Interesting insights
This model indicates the government policies have had positive influence on economic impact and it reduce its negative effects on the economy.

Burnie Tasmania COVID-19

  • 3 days 19 hours ago

Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2

Mika yang
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover
AssumptionsGovt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.
Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.
A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights
Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 1 week 5 days ago

Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model

LU JIN
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover
AssumptionsGovt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.
Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.
Interesting insights
Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  




COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 3 weeks 1 day ago

Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2

Mika yang
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover
AssumptionsGovt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.
Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.
A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights
Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 1 week 6 days ago

Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2

Zijing Zeng
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover
AssumptionsGovt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.
Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.
A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights
Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 Economy

  • 1 week 2 days ago

Clone of Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania (Yue Xiang 512994)

Xuexiao Zhang
Simple epidemiological model for Burnie, TasmaniaSIR: Susceptible to infection - Infected - Recovery, Government responses and Economic impacts  

Government policy is activated when there are 10 or fewer reported cases of COVID-19. The more people tested, the fewer people became infected. So the government's policy is to reduce infections by increasing the number of people tested and starting early. At the same time, it has slowed the economic growth (which, according to the model,  will stop for next 52 weeks).

COVID-19 Coronavirus SIR Model Government Economy Burnie Tasmania UTAS BMA708

  • 1 week 4 days ago

Clone of Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

Jingting REN

This Model was first developed from the SIR model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered). It was designed to explore relationship between the government policies regarding the COVID-19 and its influences on the economy as well as well-being of local residents. 

 

Assumptions:

Government policies will be triggered when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less;

Government policies reduces the infection and economic growth at the same time.

 


Interesting Insights:

In the first two weeks, the infected people showed an exponential growth, in another word, that’s the most important period to control the number of people who got affected. 

 

COVID-19 Burnie Tasmania BMA708 SIR Model Economy After Pandemic Well-being

  • 1 week 14 hours ago

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