This model attempts to illustrate a Strong Towns' perspective of municipal financing of our communities based on a development Growth Ponzi Scheme. http://www.strongtowns.org/the-growth-ponzi-scheme/
The communal economic investment by the community to help generate future economic prosperity and improve the community's quality of life.
If the community generates greater economic prosperity as a result of the Near Term Cash either directly through increased Municipal Revenue or indirectly through the enhancement of Community Wealth Generators and Place Making improvements within the community then it is a desirable investment.
If, however, it leads to ever increasing debt and the chasing of outside investments with the community as the means of collateral then it is a Growth Ponzi Scheme and the community needs to create some new paradigms to find a different path.
In CIV4 a City's Health stock is a flourishing yet complex condition which acts as a City attribute intended to limit growth. Positive and negative feedback impacts City Health flow and derives from many sources: city's site, buildings, wonders, civics, resources, population, etc.
What drives this flow? When a cities unhealthiness is greater than its health limit, then for each point of population above the health limit consumes 3 food apiece rather than the standard 2 pieces. This further depletes city resources leading to starvation. In addition the city’s health also affects the rate at which it accumulates food.
For example: too much growth causes overpopulation which leads to an unhealthy city. This unhealthy city leads to less food accumulation thereby resulting in starvation which further compounds the cities unhealthiness.
If private bond holdings are going down and the government is running a big deficit then the central bank has to monetize bonds equal to the deficit plus the decrease in private bond holdings. We don't show the details of the central bank buying bonds here, just the net results.
See blog at http://howfiatdies.blogspot.com for more on hyperinflation, including a hyperinflation FAQ.
A candidate for global adoption in a shared commons model.
A party includes the following types:
A living individual
A living organization
A living enterprise
A living individual would be part of a cooperative in this context the living organization and enterprise relationships are "true".
A stock and flow model which can be copied and local variables applied to aid in economic or community development.
Students are encouraged to start a business or support local economic development in experience based projects.
Students are rewarded in an alternative commerce model through an international cooperative model.
Goal "re-use party records" as an audit requirement from a shared store (global commons candidate) which provides the due diligence required for General Accounting Accepted Practices.
Party Management Systems are closed in the sense of living individuals, organizations and enterprises. The party defines the vector specifics and variables must derive their transactions from the party master record "as is" sourced from the system of record (store) in a service.
Issue: The prescribed use of a party management system intends to reduce the cyber-security threats of a breach systematically.
Measurable outcomes: Reduction of party data collected and stored in living organizations or living enterprises.
from a shared data store, in doing so the segregation of duties component related to management of master records and tables are
The model shows the industry connection and conflict between Forestry and Mountain Tourism in Derby, Tasmania. The objective of this simulation is to find out the balance point for co-exist.
How Does the Model Work?
Both industries can provide economic contribution to Tasmania. Firstly, selling timbers through logging would generate income. Also, spendings from mountain bike riders would generate incomes. However, low tree regrowth rate can not cover up logging, which influences the beautiful vistas and riders' experiences. While satisfaction and expectation depend on vistas and experience, the demand of mountain biking would be influenced through repeat visits and world of mouth as well.
Interesting Insights
Although forestry can provide a great amount of economic contribution to Tasmania, over logging goes against ESG framework as well as creating conflict with mountain tourism. As long as the number of rider visits is stable, tourism can always provide a greater economic contribution compared to forestry. Therefore, the government should consider the balance point between two industries.
Simulation of Derby Mountain Bikes versus Forestry
The macroeconomic ruel: SPENDING = INCOME = OUTPUT, WHICH DRIVES EMPLOYMENT is presented here in a schematic form. Output can be taken to be equivalent to GDP. In order to maintain output it is necessary for all the income earned to be spent. If this is not the case, then companies find they have excess unsold stock on their hands and will cut back on production. This, in time, will lead to an increase in unemployment as companies need fewer employees. The shortfall in spending can be made up by any of the three sectors that contribute to total output. However, in cases where a country has a trade deficit and where the private sector is not spending or investing enough, the only option is for the government to Net Spend i.e. to spend more than it collected in taxes causing a fiscal deficit.
From Greenhalgh et al article 2017 jimr Beyond Adoption: A New Framework for Theorizing and Evaluating Nonadoption, Abandonment, and Challenges to the Scale-Up, Spread, and Sustainability of Health and Care Technologies
Simple model of the global economy, the global carbon cycle, and planetary energy balance.
The planetary energy balance model is a two-box model, with shallow and deep ocean heat reservoirs. The carbon cycle model is a 4-box model, with the atmosphere, shallow ocean, deep ocean, and terrestrial carbon.
The economic model is based on the Kaya identity, which decomposes CO2 emissions into population, GDP/capita, energy intensity of GDP, and carbon intensity of energy. It allows for temperature-related climate damages to both GDP and the growth rate of GDP.
This model was originally created by Bob Kopp (Rutgers University) in support of the SESYNC Climate Learning Project.
The Australian koala population has been in steady decline
since the European settlement of Australia. The reduction of the Koala
population has escalated in the past couple of decades, sounding calls for immediate
action to save the Koala form likely extinction.
The following diagram identifies a number of factors that are related to the population of the koala. By mapping the realtionships it highlights the complexities surrounding
the dwindling Koala population.
References:
Australian Koala Foundation. Policy
and Planning https://www.savethekoala.com/our-work/policy-and-planning
Accessed 8 April 2013
Fynes-Clinton, M. (5 May 2012).Blinky on the brink. Qweekend. 18-25
Hennessey, Carly. 2011 "Road to survival now field of
battle" The Sunday Mail (Brisbane Courier Mail) April 24. p 5.
Koala Crunch Time.
(21 Aug 2012) Four Corners ABC
McAlpine, C. & Adams-Hosking, C. (2013) The koala in the coalmine. The Conversation 13 Feb.
http://theconversation.edu.au/the-koala-in-the-coalmine-11693
Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. Older version cloned at IM-46280
This model was designed from the SIR
model(susceptible, infected, recovered) to determine the effect of the covid-19
outbreak on economic outcomes via government policy.
Assumptions:
The government policy is triggered when the
number of infected is more than ten.
The government policies will take a negative
effect on Covid-19 outbreaks and the financial system.
Parameters:
We set some fixed and adjusted variables.
Covid-19 outbreak's parameter
Fixed parameter: Background
disease.
Adjusted parameters: Infection rate, recovery rate. Immunity loss rate can be
changed from vaccination rate.
Government policy's parameters
Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15
to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social
distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)
Economic's parameters
Fixed parameter: Tourism
Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from
0.3 to 0.5)
Interesting insight
An increased vaccination rate and testing
rate will decrease the number of infected cases and have a little
more negative effect on the economic system. However, the financial system
still needs a long time to recover in both cases.
BMA708_Assignment 3_Nguyen Dang Khoa Vo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Webb. The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Jim Webb POTUS candidate economic policy
