This model is an extension of the System Thinking Certification courseNetwork Magic Growing Pains segment and the Strategies for Enabling a Better Tomorrow model, which served as the blueprint for this model.
This model is intended to become part of an online learning platform which includes the with the Pathways to New Community Paradigms Blog, Pathways to New Community Paradigms Wiki and a number of other Internet based resources to explore what is termed here 'new community paradigms' which are a transformational change brought about by members of a community.
Butler, K. (n.d.). How America's favorite baby-goat club is helping Big Ag take over farming in Africa. Retrieved January 16, 2016, from http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/11/4h-africa-farming-dupont-hybrid-seeds
Two Sources:
-Economic impacts of genetically modified crops on the agri-food sector. (n.d.). Retrieved January 16, 2016, from http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/publi/gmo/execut.htm
-Randall, R. (2014, December 15). Are African farmers in danger of becoming slaves to patented seeds? | Genetic Literacy Project. Retrieved January 16, 2016, from https://www.geneticliteracyproject.org/2014/12/15/are-african-farmers-in-danger-of-becoming-slaves-to-patented-seeds/
This model was designed from SIR model(susceptible, infected, revovered) to find out the effect of covid-19 outbreak into economic outcomes via government policy.
Assumptions
The government policy is triggered when number of infected is more than ten.
The government policies will take negative effect into Covid-19 outbreaks and financial system
Adjusted parameter: Immunity loss rate can be change from vaccination rate.
Government policy's parameters
Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15 to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)
Economic's parameters
Fixed parameter: Tourism
Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from 0.3 to 0.5)
Interesting insight
Increase vaccination rate and testing rate will decrease the number amount of infected case and a little bit more negative effect to economic system. However economic system still need a long time to recover in both cases.
BMA708_Assignment 3_ndkvo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy
This high-level
simulation model presented by Jay Forrester in his book World Dynamics, simulates
socio-economic-environmental world system. The world Model was created in a
time where pollution and other negative effects of industrialization and
economic growth started to become recognized in 1970. For this exam purpose, we have
rebuilt the model to do some experiments and analyze the results.
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Gilmore's
economic policy based on the information at: http://www.gilmoreforamerica.com/jims-growth-code/ The method used is Integrative
Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
