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Deforestation and Economic Development in an Underdeveloped County
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Unfolding story based on Emery Roe's 2013 book Making the Most of Mess, revised in 2026. See also Dynamics in Action IM-3239 for more on behavior and The Art of the State IM-11962 for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory
Managing Mess
4 2 months ago
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My Insight
12 6 months ago
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Based on oid 2016 report to be compared with the Just Justice Framework WIP insight
Overcoming Indigenous Disadvantage
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I made this model to simulate how a companies revenue will change depending on the lifetime of the appliances it manufactures, in combination with the ratio of repair costs and price. It also shows the accumulation of e-waste.
Simulatie apparaten
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Health Determinants
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Green lines: positive relationships
Red lines: negative relationships

Spill
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Archetype:  Success to the successful
The more pioneer seed being sold, the more corn is grown.  As more corn is grown, the more pioneer seeds are needed for the next harvest.  More people began using the pioneer seeds, less people used the Ghanaian seeds.  However, the pioneer seed is expensive, so not everyone could buy the pioneer seed.  The more people using Ghanaian corn seeds, less people were using pioneer seeds.  

Way out: 
The best way out of this would probably be to lower the price of the pioneer seed.  The pioneer seed produces more corn that is sweeter.  People prefer this corn over the corn from the Ghanaian seeds.  More people are using the pioneer seeds, so gradually Ghanaian seeds will no longer be used.  Lowering the price of pioneer seeds will make it available to more farmers.  This way, less farmers will go out of business from trying to compete with more sweeter corn.  

Sources:
 Randall, R. (2014, December 15). Are African farmers in danger of becoming slaves to patented seeds? | Genetic Literacy Project. Retrieved January 18, 2016, from https://www.geneticliteracyproject.org/2014/12/15/are-african-farmers-in-danger-of-becoming-slaves-to-patented-seeds/

Is 4-H trying to hook African farmers on costly seeds? (2014, November 17). Retrieved January 18, 2016, from http://grist.org/food/is-4-h-trying-to-hook-african-farmers-on-costly-seeds/

Butler, K. (n.d.). How America's favorite baby-goat club is helping Big Ag take over farming in Africa. Retrieved January 18, 2016, from http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/11/4h-africa-farming-dupont-hybrid-seeds 
4-H Club in Africa - Economical
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Current and proposed Structure of CCP and related Models expanding on the details provided in the Project Completion plan IM-101760
Structure of the CCP Models
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WIP Based on Steve Keen's Inaugural Kingston Lecture Youtube video slides models and data all at his blog
Is Capitalism Doomed to Crises
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Very basic stock-flow diagram of compound interest with table and graph output in interest and savings development per year. Initial deposit, interest rate, yearly deposit and withdrawal can all be modified.
Stock-Flow diagram of savings account
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Prosperity Loop v1.0
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Economic Systems
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This is the summary of lecture ​1 of my Course about StartUps. It's an intro to the startup ecosystem and the different stakeholders that can interact with your new enterprise at different stages of its evolution and growth. -version 1 - for info or suggestions: bonato.pietroz@gmail.com
StartUp ecosystem
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​WIP Summary of 2020 article Monetary Sovereignty: Nature, Implementation, and Implications by Eric Tymoigne
Eric Tymoigne Monetary Sovereignty
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​Summary of Hermans Scale dynamics of grassroots innovations through parallel pathways of  transformative change Ecological Economics 2016 article (paywalled) This is applied to health in a subsequent insight
Multiscale innovation dynamics
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This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Chris Christi's economic policy based on the information at: https://d70h9a36p82zs.cloudfront.net/Ccpres2016/base/assets/1-0-1/production/Chris-Christie-TheEconomy.pdf   The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA) available: ​ http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Chris Christi economic policy
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This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Rick Perry's economic policy based on the information at: https://rickperry.org/issues/​ The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA) available: ​ http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Rick Perry economic policy
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Economic model
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Economical Factors of Science: C8
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Model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

This model was designed from SIR model(susceptible, infected, revovered) to find out the effect of covid-19 outbreak into economic outcomes via government policy.

Assumptions

The government policy is triggered when number of infected is more than ten.

The government policies will take negative effect into Covid-19 outbreaks and financial system

Parameters

We set some fixed and adjusted variables.
Covid-19 outbreak's parameter
Fixed parameters: Infection rate, Background disease, recovery rate.
Adjusted parameter: Immunity loss rate can be change from vaccination rate.

Government policy's parameters
Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15 to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)

Economic's parameters
Fixed parameter: Tourism
Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from 0.3 to 0.5)

Interesting insight

Increase vaccination rate and testing rate will decrease the number amount of infected case and a little bit more negative effect to economic system. However economic system still need a long time to recover in both cases.
BMA708_Assignment 3_ndkvo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy
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Circular equations WIP for Runy.

Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. 
Circularity in Economic models 1
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Economic model
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241004_economic growth model structure_SFD