Insight diagram
Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Final Project
Insight diagram

Using the reading assignment from El-Taliawi and Hartley on using a SSM for COVID-19 follow the steps for SSM to include: 1) Describe the Problem (unstructured). 2) Develop a Root Definition for the COVID-19 problem space by identifying the three elements: what, how, why. A System to do X, by (means of) Y, in order to achieve Z. X - What the system does Y - How it does it Z - Why is it being done (see slide 33 in the Systems Thinking Workshop reading)Download Systems Thinking Workshop reading) 3) Identify the Perspectives (CATWOE) 4) Develop a basic Systemigram / Rich Picture to tell the story. Submit your assignment as a Word document or PDF that addresses #1-4.
1) Problem Situation (Unstructured)

The COVID‑19 pandemic represents a complex, ill‑structured problem characterized by uncertainty, rapidly changing conditions, and conflicting stakeholder perspectives. As El‑Taliawi and Hartley emphasize, COVID‑19 is not merely a biomedical crisis but a socio‑technical system failure involving public health, governance, economics, social behavior, and global interdependence. There was no single agreed‑upon definition of “the problem.” For some actors, the problem was viral transmission and mortality; for others, it was economic collapse, civil liberties, misinformation, or institutional trust.

Key features of the unstructured problem include:

  • High uncertainty about the virus’s behavior, transmission, and long‑term effects.

  • Multiple stakeholders with competing values and priorities (health vs. economy, freedom vs. safety).

  • Nonlinear dynamics, where interventions (lockdowns, travel bans, vaccination campaigns) produced unintended consequences.

  • Fragmented governance, with responses varying across nations, states, and institutions.

  • Information overload and misinformation, complicating sense‑making and public compliance.

This ambiguity and plurality make COVID‑19 unsuitable for purely “hard” systems approaches and well suited for Soft Systems Methodology (SSM), which focuses on learning, interpretation, and accommodation rather than optimization.

2) Root Definition (What–How–Why)

A system to coordinate societal responses to the COVID‑19 pandemic (X), by integrating public health expertise, policy decision‑making, communication, and stakeholder engagement under conditions of uncertainty (Y), in order to reduce harm to human life and societal functioning while maintaining legitimacy, trust, and resilience (Z).

  • What (X) — Coordinating societal responses to COVID‑19.

  • How (Y) — Through adaptive governance, expert input, communication, and stakeholder engagement.

  • Why (Z) — To minimize health, social, and economic harm while sustaining trust and resilience.

This root definition reflects SSM’s emphasis on purposeful human activity systems, not technical control systems.

3) Perspectives (CATWOE Analysis)
  • Customers — General public, vulnerable populations, healthcare workers, businesses, future generations affected by long‑term consequences.

  • Actors — Governments, public health agencies (e.g., WHO, CDC), healthcare providers, scientists, media organizations, community leaders.

  • Transformation — A society facing uncontrolled viral spread and systemic disruption is transformed into one that manages risk, adapts behavior, and mitigates impacts.

  • Worldview (Weltanschauung) — COVID‑19 is a complex, evolving crisis requiring learning, adaptation, and pluralistic decision‑making rather than linear control.

  • Owners — National governments, international bodies, and political authorities with the power to authorize or terminate interventions.

  • Environmental Constraints — Scientific uncertainty, political polarization, economic limitations, cultural norms, global interdependence, time pressure.

CATWOE highlights how different worldviews lead to different “valid” problem definitions, reinforcing the need for SSM.

4) Systemigram / Rich Picture (Narrative Description)

The rich picture would depict COVID‑19 at the center as a disruptive force interacting with multiple subsystems. Public health institutions generate evolving scientific knowledge, feeding into government decision‑making. Governments issue policies (lockdowns, mandates, economic relief), which influence public behavior. Public response is shaped by trust, media narratives, misinformation, and social norms. Economic systems react to restrictions, feeding back political pressure on leaders. Healthcare systems experience strain, influencing policy urgency and public fear.

Feedback loops dominate the picture:

  • Policy decisions affect public behavior, which affects transmission rates.

  • Media narratives influence trust, which affects compliance.

  • Economic impacts influence political decisions, sometimes undermining health goals.

The systemigram emphasizes learning loops, delays, conflicts, and unintended consequences rather than linear cause‑effect chains.

If you want, I can translate this directly into a Word‑ready format, tighten it to a specific page limit, or sketch a labeled rich‑picture layout you can redraw by hand or digitally for submission.

translate this directly into a Word‑ready format 5 pages and sketch a labeled rich‑picture layout you can redraw by hand or digitally for submission.
Soft Systems Methodology (SSM) Analysis of the COVID‑19 Pandemic

Based on El‑Taliawi and Hartley

Introduction

The COVID‑19 pandemic represents one of the most complex global crises of the modern era. Traditional “hard” systems approaches, which assume clearly defined problems and measurable objectives, proved insufficient for addressing the pandemic’s intertwined health, social, political, and economic dimensions. El‑Taliawi and Hartley argue that COVID‑19 is best understood as a messy, ill‑structured problem situation, making it well suited for analysis using Soft Systems Methodology (SSM).

SSM does not attempt to “solve” the problem in a technical sense. Instead, it provides a structured learning process to explore multiple perspectives, clarify assumptions, and identify purposeful human activity systems that can improve the situation. This document follows the core SSM steps required in the assignment: (1) describing the unstructured problem, (2) developing a root definition, (3) identifying perspectives using CATWOE, and (4) developing a systemigram / rich picture narrative.

1. Description of the Problem Situation (Unstructured)

The COVID‑19 pandemic emerged rapidly and evolved unpredictably, creating a situation characterized by ambiguity, disagreement, and uncertainty. At the outset, there was no shared understanding of the nature or scale of the threat. Scientific knowledge about transmission, severity, and long‑term effects developed incrementally, often changing public guidance and policy decisions. This uncertainty undermined confidence and complicated coordinated action.

The problem situation extended far beyond public health. Governments faced competing pressures to protect lives, preserve economic stability, and maintain civil liberties. Healthcare systems experienced surges in demand, shortages of personnel and equipment, and moral distress among frontline workers. Businesses and workers faced closures, unemployment, and financial insecurity. Social isolation measures disrupted education, mental health, and community cohesion.

Multiple stakeholders framed the “problem” differently. For public health officials, the primary concern was reducing transmission and mortality. For political leaders, the challenge included maintaining legitimacy and public compliance. For citizens, the problem often centered on personal risk, economic survival, and trust in institutions. Media organizations and social platforms amplified both accurate information and misinformation, shaping public perception and behavior.

Covid-19 HW
4 months ago
Insight diagram
This model illustrates the current practice and consequences of government spending. Following the direction of the arrows from right to left the model shows the following sequence based on current practice:

Government Spending at a certain point leads to spending in excess of tax receipts. This will automatically lead to the issue of treasuries in the belief that the excess spending must be financed by borrowing (although the government has the capacity to create  money). This in turn will increase the national debt.

 Consequences that follow from this practice:

1) That national debt increases whenever the government spends in excess of tax receipts.

2) That the government must pay interest on the debt issued, which in turn increases and reinforces the need for government spending.

3) That the interest paid on treasuries will increase private sector income.

There is an alternative view, supported by Modern Monetary Theory, of how government spending can proceed. Please see this  Insight: 

https://insightmaker.com/insight/19954

Government Spending (Current Practice)
Insight diagram
Economic Loop D7
10 months ago
Insight diagram
This model is made to illustrate how price, through profit, can inform investment decisions.
Investment through a price increase
Insight diagram
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Ben Carson's economic policy based on the information at:<!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->

https://www.bencarson.com/issues/tax-reform/

       <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->https://www.bencarson.com/issues/balanced-budget-amendment/<!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 10]> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:8.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:107%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 10]> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:8.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:107%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} <![endif]-->       The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA) available: ​ http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Ben Carson economic policy
Insight diagram
SImplified causal loop diagram of The system dynamics approach for a global evolutionary analysis of sustainable development 2024 article on the Earth4All model
Global sustainable development
4 months ago
Insight diagram
Part 2 of Lab 1
Van Dusen_Energy Economics and Fossil Fuel
Insight diagram

Economic capital growth in a system constrained by a non-renewable resource, Figure 37 from Thinking in Systems by Donella H. Meadows

Clone of REM 221 Figure 37. Economic capital
Insight diagram
School dropout
Insight diagram
WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's Book Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy 
Killing the Host
Insight diagram
COVID Systemigram
Insight diagram
Environmental, social, and economic strategy integration for better business ideas
Insight diagram
Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Wrong Q2 Final Project w/ socio-economic
Insight diagram

Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen's illustration of Hyman Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis "stability begets instability". This can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.

Minsky Financial Instability Model
Insight diagram
BAM economic model
Insight diagram
Clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery. Includes Forrester quotes on statistical vs SD methods and the Modeller's dilemma. Simplified version of IM-14982 combined with IM-17598 and IM-9773
Complex Decision Technologies
Insight diagram
integratrated solar  energy  economics  for  northeast brazil depend   consultant engs
Solar Energy - Efficiency economic s
Insight diagram
Energy-Economic Modeling Info/Funding Flows
Insight diagram
Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Final Project - McKee
Insight diagram
Peak oil will occur when it is too expensive to bring oil to the surface and not when reserves reach their limit. Companies must make a profit to be able to extract oil and stay in the oil business.  However, that endeavour is becoming more and more difficult because of diminishing returns. They have to dig ever deeper to get to the oil  at ever increasing costs, and the oil they find deep down is of a lesser quality.  We have now reached a point where the price needed by oil companies to make a profit and stay in business is far higher than the price  the market can bear. That price is probably about $ 100 per barrel - and rising every year! A market price o $ 100 will almost certainly cause a sharp recession and cause the price of oil to fall back beyond the point of profitability. For example, the combined profit of ExxonMobile, Chevron and Conocophillips fell from 80.4 billion in 2011 to only 3.7 billon in 2016 - see URL below. What the market can bear depends on the spending power of the mass of non-elite workers. The CLD shows the negative feedback loops that prevent oil prices to rise above the level of  affordability. If non-elite workers cannot afford the goods and services offered,  then there will be no demand for them and by extension for oil.  In this situation the market price will not the cover the cost that oil companies need to extract oil. Oil supplies will decline and so will economic activity!

https://srsroccoreport.com/the-blood-bath-continues-in-the-u-s-major-oil-industry/

THE PRICE TRAP AND PEAK OIL
Insight diagram
Goodwin Model:
This is a basic version of the Goodwin Model based on Kaoru Yamagushi (2013), Money and Macroeconomic Dynamics, Chapter 4.5 (link)

Equilibrium conditions:
  • Labor Supply = 100
Devation from the equilibrium conditions generates growth cycles.
Goodwin Model
Insight diagram
Bt resistance systems map
Insight diagram
Economic Cost-Benefit Analysis- Roadkill Mitigation