BCTD Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “BCTD”.

Related tagsUdemyCIwIMSwIM

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.
Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in
Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in place responses to them should they arise.
 To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.  Original Insight (#1366) by Gene Bellinger

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

Original Insight (#1366) by Gene Bellinger

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9
 Borrowed from STW/STiA Certification program to help develop insights regarding situations of interest to New Community Paradigms. There are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

Borrowed from STW/STiA Certification program to help develop insights regarding situations of interest to New Community Paradigms. There are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

A small change in one variable can have a marked impact on multiple variables. Run the model [ quits change ] = 0  and consider the output. What happens if  you change [ quits change ] = 5. Run the model to find out. Was the change what you expected?
A small change in one variable can have a marked impact on multiple variables. Run the model [quits change] = 0  and consider the output. What happens if  you change [quits change] = 5. Run the model to find out. Was the change what you expected?
Are there environmental/physical limits to humanity? Based on the  Are There Limits?  blog post by Tom Fiddaman.
Are there environmental/physical limits to humanity? Based on the Are There Limits? blog post by Tom Fiddaman.
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.  Video  *  Context     LinkedIn ,  YouTube
There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

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This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable " The Boy Who Cried Wolf ."    If you find these contributions meaningful your  sponsorship  would be greatly appreciated.
This model depicts the interactions of Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

If you find these contributions meaningful your sponsorship would be greatly appreciated.
This is a more  Traditional Career Model  of how education works, with an increased lifetime earnings from going to college. The following are links to the other two models in the series.    Loan Cost Model    Savings Model
This is a more Traditional Career Model of how education works, with an increased lifetime earnings from going to college. The following are links to the other two models in the series.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.    If you find these contributions meaningful your  sponsorship  would be greatly appreciated.
The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

If you find these contributions meaningful your sponsorship would be greatly appreciated.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.
If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.
If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.
Rain Barrel Model The purpose of this model is to have the user change the value of stocks, flows and converters to experience a variety of different graphical results. Understanding this generic model is important pre-requisite to learning about intravenous drugs in the body, radioactivity, self-es
Rain Barrel Model
The purpose of this model is to have the user change the value of stocks, flows and converters to experience a variety of different graphical results. Understanding this generic model is important pre-requisite to learning about intravenous drugs in the body, radioactivity, self-esteem, water flowing from a drain and many other basic natural systems.
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...    *  Systems Thinking World Webinars
All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics 
Ch 9     Follow us on  YouTube ,  Twitter ,  LinkedIn  and please support  Systems Thinking World .
Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9

Follow us on YouTube, Twitter, LinkedIn and please support Systems Thinking World.
 This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based

This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj

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The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.
The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.