What do activities of these images have in common?

When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

This is a more Traditional Career Model of how education works, with an increased lifetime earnings from going to college. The following are links to the other two models in the series.

• Loan Cost Model
• Savings Model

Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in place responses to them should they arise.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

All the following have a common characteristic.

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.

The model construction process is actually a balancing loop which endeavors to employ an abstract version of real events to form a model which produces conclusions and behavior which mimic the real events.

This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj

What do activities of these images have in common?

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.

There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

LinkedIn, YouTube

When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

Rain Barrel Model

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

The Home Heating System can be used to demonstrate how we get caught in dilemmas and become victims of ourselves.