There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.

There are about a dozen known systems archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.

Yesterday's actions are responsible for the world we experience today. And today's actions are responsible for the world that we will experience tomorrow. The "Creating the Future" model is intended to provide a better sense of the common process associated with the unexpected unfolding of the future..

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.

Balancing Loop with Stock & Flow Diagram.

Are there environmental/physical limits to humanity? Based on the Are There Limits? blog post by Tom Fiddaman.

To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in place responses to them should they arise.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9

If we pay close attention to our actions and the typical outcomes of those actions it would be evident that there are frequently occurring patterns that develop. And there is a relation between the patterns.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Clone of IM-752 map for working simulation model This model is derived from "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. An expanded map is at IM-1918.

Joe P. is currently managing a project that's behind schedule and he's experiencing substantial pressure to get the project back on track.

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9

Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman's Business Dynamics Ch 9