WIP based on WHO Decade of Healthy Ageing baseline report 2020 Annex
WHO Healthy Ageing
感染係数: ウイルスの感染しやすさ
致死係数: 重症患者の死にやすさ
初期潜伏感染者: 初めの潜伏感染者数
政策閾値: 緊急事態宣言を出す判断を行う陽性判定数
政策日数: 政策の長さ
政策病床数: 政策によって追加されるホテル病床数
政策外出率: 政策期間の外出率
バグ:
病床使用率が1を超える
陽性判定数が発症者の係数倍
政策による効果の粒度が粗い
メディア効果、病床数効果あり感染モデル
From SDR Jan 2012 article and 1988 killian award lectures Youtube
Mental Models of Dynamic Systems
WIP example of Services oriented multiscale computable narrative synthesis focussed on Coping carefully with diabetes
Clone of Diabetes Care
Clone of IM-806 modified to integrate AnyLogic Realworld, Model World with Van de Ven Engaged Scholarship and LAnd Use Modelling approaches. See also Complex Decision Technologies IM
Clone of Real World and Model World
This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 Conference version at http://bit.ly/HlxtZj See IM 1769 for updated simpler version without serialization of the downstream stock
Clone of Swamping Insight Initial Serialised Version of IM1769 TEST
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here
Clone of Depression Dynamics
Extension of IM-13989 to include the tension between disease guideline checklist and holistic medicine within the clinical encounter in primary care See also moments of truth IM-2275
Clinical Encounter Time Pressures
Based on Norbari APHA presentation 2016 An agent-based model to examine the impact of unaffordable housing on obesity risk in early childhood, via Kurt Kreuger
Housing and Food in Childhood Obesity
The effects of subsidies and incentives for private health insurance on the mix of public and private hospital use. The central role of adverse selection/moral hazard on private health insurance sustainability. See also updated version around 2017
Clone of Health Insurance and Service Dynamics
From Greenhalgh et al article 2017 jimr Beyond Adoption: A New Framework for Theorizing and Evaluating Nonadoption, Abandonment, and Challenges to the Scale-Up, Spread, and Sustainability of Health and Care Technologies
Clone of NASSS Technology Adoption Framework
Published (Robert Wears) simple model representation described as a capacitated processing model, modified to separate Patient Flow from workflow. See also IM-8382 for more recent model
ED Resilience SD
WIP detail of ED Clinical processes with focus on Stabilising and Deciding how to Admit or Discharge safely, the Disposition decision. For more aggregated views see IM-8237 for flows and IM-6913 for Physician Delegate Agent Interactions
ED Clinical Care Processes
A thermostat analogy used by Evans and Stoddardt in Producing Health Consuming HealthCare to explain why healthcare spending increases. This concept map is based on the Insight IM-736 Thermostat example
Health Care Thermostat Concept Map
WIP to explain risk factors and burden of disease
RIsk factors and Burden of Disease
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.
Also applies to finance and war
Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Broad and detailed Linked concept version of Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model, with the addition of clinical reasoning cycle concepts from T Levett-Jones et al Nurse Education Today 30 (2010) 515-520 and Kathie Lasater (2007) Clinical Judgment Development: Using Simulation to Create an Assessment Rubric. Journal of Nursing Education 46(11)p 496-503
Thinking like a nurse concept map
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here
Clone of Depression Dynamics
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets. With start point variability.
Linear Ballistic Accumulator with start point variability
Expanded version of IM-639 based on Health Expenditure Australia 2014-5 Table A3. See also IM-93836 for additional 2015-6 Table A3 added
Health Care Funding Flows Detail
Extension of IM-14124 with an adjusted bed capacity stock. For backlog and services see IM-8382
Clone of Hospital Emergency and Elective Admission Interaction Simulation 3
Kidney replacement therapy dynamics: causal loop diagram of the kidney dialysis and transplant model
Kidney Dialysis and Transplant CLD
From Peter Lacey's Whole Systems Partnership UK NHS ithink model
End of Life Cohort Model
Nurse workforce ageing chain showing effects of parenting, quits and enrollments on nurse numbers by age and average age.
Nurse Workforce
