Delusions, false
theories and ideas about the world, can be dangerous when acted upon. I
would count as delusional beliefs, belief in 'creationism', 'market fundamentalism' and also the belief that 'climate change is not anthropogenic'.
The CLD
seeks to illustrate the dynamic that makes it difficult, if not impossible, to
disabuse holders of fanatical beliefs by simply using rational arguments and
facts. The professor of psychology, Jerry Kroth, said that delusions can be seen
as an incipient mental illness. He also said that 'repression' and 'denial' are by-products of delusions. It seems that rational arguments are useless when facts are simply denied: the dynamic shows that trying to refute a strongly held irrational belief merely strengthens it.
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version
From Brown and Heathcote's 2008 Paper on the simplest model of Choice ResponseTime , a Tutorial paper and a Workload capacity paper that estimates drift rate v for individuals with single and multiple targets. With start point variability.
This diagram illustrates the behavioral cycle, which models the sequence of steps that people undergo when responding to situations. The diagram highlights potential risk factors that may lead to problematic behavioral patterns, and may be useful in identifying potential interventions for correcting them.
Disclaimer: this diagram reflects my personal life-practices and understandings and do not constitute professional medical advice.
Love affairs and Differential equations. From Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes,tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Syst. Dyn. Rev. 9 (1) :79-94
in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response. Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from performance.
in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response. Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from performance.
in the beginning, expectations are normal for a new employee. By excelling, the employee builds goodwill, and immunizes self from criticism and accompanying shame. However, as time goes on, expectations rise until they first reach, and then exceed, the level of the employee's performance. This may be due to demands from multiple sources that are unaware of each other. It may also come about as completed projects add a layer of ongoing, and growing, maintenance. At this point, perceived criticism of the employee's performance occurs. Depending on the employee's potential for shame, which is likely high due to his/her use of this perfectionist defense, this criticism triggers shame, which then results in an avoiding (withdrawal, quitting) or controlling (secondary anger, irritability) defensive response. Alternatively, the employee may choose effective action, setting boundaries and beginning to address the shame directly, separating it from performance.
WIP Summary of Joe Henrich's 2020 Book The Weirdest People in the World: How the West became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous wikipedia and Youtube video 2023 Joseph
Henrich: "WEIRD Minds: How Religion and Family Shape Psychology,
Democracy, and Innovation"
The 'Psychobiologicla' model was described and articulated by the Australian psychiatrist Niall McLaren.
It consists of hormone releases, principally testosterone, when challenges arise. These rekeases are genetically governed and create psychological effects. The effects produce moods, feelings, and can provoke aggresssive and dominating behaviour.
The simplified model shows that on the perception of a challenging or threatening situation the testosterone level rises in men. Testosterone is a feel-good hormone that rewards aggression and domination with further releases. This mechanism is self-reinforcing, but can be tempered by personality factors and institutional constraints. As these are primeval processes and effects that are always present when challenges occur, the psychobiological model serves as excellent tool for understanding and interpreting conflicts.
The Causal-Loop-Diagram (CLD) explains
how the concerning, bellicose attitude
adopted by Western countries against
Russia may have arisen and how some claims made by politicians are irreconcilable
with military and geopolitical reality, that now seem to have hardened into an inflexible
ideological stance.
The CLD was developed the LLM, GEMENI, which was instructed to only use
links that indicate a ‘causal’ relationship between variables. The
model shows an escalation of arms supplied by Western countries and how a continuing
commitment to supply arms to Ukraine can be attribute to the psychology effect of
sunk costs and the development of some kind
of kinship arising from the activity of continuous assistance. These factors also led to a gradual hardening
of views to become an ideological narrative.
SUPPORTING EVIDENCE
Evidence for this step-by-step
escalation comes from Germany, (but not only) that initially was prepared to
supply only 5000 helmets and then escalated to advanced systems like the PzH
2000 self-propelled howitzers and Leopard 2 tanks (and is now even considers
the supply Taurus missiles).
PRAGMATIC VALIDATION OF THE
MODEL.
Charles Pierces Pragmatic Maxim says: “Consider
what the conceivable practical consequences would if the word/phrase/concept IS
TRUE.
Following this instruction GEMINI
provided the required observable consequences:
* An increase in military aid
followed by a notable increase in the
political rhetoric justifying that aid.
* A rise in "sunk
cost" arguments directly correlated with demands for further escalation.
* The "red lines"
for aid consistently moving forward, indicating escalating pressure.
* A noticeable shift in
political discourse from pragmatic discussion to highly moralized, ideological
framing.
No CLD can provide the certainty
of its correctness, but a pragmatic assessment can increase significantly the confidence that can be paced on their findings and interventions
they suggest.
WIP Addition of Emotion Regulation IM to Clone of IM-9007 Double loop version of IM-8908 Based on 1990 SDR Article. See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also IM-9273 for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at IM-51900
