Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator
Accelerated Global Warming
Entropy and Negative Feedback may stop Growth soon
Economic growth cannot go on forever, although politicians and most economist seem to think so. The activity involved in economic growth necessarily generates entropy (disorder and environmental degradation). Entorpy in turn generates powerful negative feedback loops which will, as a response from nature, ensure that economic activity will eventually grind to a complete halt. In these circumstances organised society cannot persist and will collapse. The negative feedback loops shown in this graph have already started to operate. The longer economic growth continues unabated, the more powerful these negative feedback loops will become. How long can economic growth continue before it is overwhelmed? It may not be very far in the future.
DOES THIS DYNAMIC SPELL THE END OF CAPITALISM
WHEN THIS LOOP CLOSES SOME WILL SUFFER BADLY
Story Telling - Deer Management Under Climate Change
CLIMATE CHANGE INERTIA
Climate-Change Movements: Influence on public opinion and government
Daisy World v5a
Temperature Stress Mortality Simulator V2.1
THE WORDS 'CLIMATE CHANGE' GENERATE A POWERFUL DYNAMIC
If all Americans believed that extreme weather events, droughts and wildfires are primarily caused by climate change they would soon react and demand immediate action from their political leaders. It is likely that this will happen fairly soon because of the dynamic hidden in the phrase 'Climate Change'. Wolfgang von Goethe the famous German poet and scientist said ''we only see what we know". Cognitive psychology largely agrees and says that we only understand what we see - and give importance to it - if we have a schema (mental model) for what we are looking at. As the terms 'Climate Change' become more widely used people will try to understand what they mean and start to construct schemas. As a result of this process they will soon see extreme weather events and wild fire in a different light as the occur again and again - after all, climate scientists told us that their numbers and severity would increase as a result of climate change. This simple CLD tries to illustrate this dynamic. It suggests that if you want to speed up this process, a good strategy would be to point out at every occasion possible that an increase of extreme weather events and droughts is precisely what climate scientists predicted!
SYSTEMIC BLINDNESS AND CAPITALISM
Yamuna River Restoration and Climate Change
Cross-impact matrix of Global Warming
The dynamic that prevents confronting climate change
The fact that we all strive to reduce psychologically inconsistent thoughts is a well-researched phenomenon. When we hold two conflicting thoughts in our heads we feel an overwhelming desire to reduce this conflict. This desire can be a powerful driver in the way we behave. Most of us are aware at some level that if we took the threat of climate change seriously we would need to completely change our routines and the way we behave. Flying off on holiday would be out of the question. Swimming pools would be a past luxury. Most of us would need to give up our cars and become vegetarians. The list can be extended almost endlessly. Very often, subconsciously, we try to reduce troubling and inconvenient facts by minimizing, ignoring or even by denying them. Could this be why we hardly talk about climate change even in the face of increasingly frequent extreme weather events and obvious signs that it is occurring now?
This subject needs to be openly talked about between us and in the press. The seriousness of global warming makes it a necessity. Only when this happens will politicians have the space and incentive to act on our behalf. But before this can happen we need to be aware of the reason why we avoid talking about this subject – this graph tries to illustrate the harmful dynamic that could be responsible for it.