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d. Si bajo el contexto actual de calentamiento global es esperable que en los próximos 50 años, haya un aumento en las temperaturas extremas que podrían impactar en una mayor demanda atmosférica, realice simulaciones que incrementen la ETP en un 5, 10 y 15%. Realice las simulaciones respectivas y evalúe su impacto sobre la variable de estado.
Bienvenue sur le simulateur du modèle à flux constants.
Ce modèle est basé sur notre cas d'étude simplifié : un groupe de guépards dans un parc national géré, où les entrées et sorties sont contrôlés par les gestionnaires (translocation entre parcs).
Fonctionnement :
Le [Variable d'état] qui représente l'effectif de guépards (le nombre d'individus).
Les [Flux] (B, I, D, E) sont le nombre fixe d'individus qui entrent ou sortent à chaque pas de temps.
Variables forçantes : Les décisions des gestionnaires sont les "variables forçantes" qui rendent ces flux constants.
Votre mission :
Utilisez les curseurs pour régler les conditions et lancez la simulation en cliquant sur le bouton "SIMULATE" en haut à droite, pour observer comment l'effectif évolue sur le graphique !
A look into the population growth in Whitby over the next 100 years. The overall population would exceed the birth and death rate. The model doesn’t account for immigration/emigration and other possible factors.
A Tragedy of the Commons situation exists whenever two or more activities, each, which in order to produce results, rely on a shared limited resource. Results for these activities continue to develop as long as their use of the limited resource doesn't exceed the resource limit. Once this limit is reached the results produced by each activity are limited to the level at which the resource is replenished. See also Archetypes.
Video
This model is part of
And? Understanding Relationships & Their Implications.