Adapted from Fig.1. and 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011)  Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research  Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634   http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Adapted from Fig.1. and 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634  http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
WIP based mostly on Jan
Toporowski  2013 vol 1  and  2018 vol 2  books on Michal Kalecki: An Intellectual Biography   Layout Consistent with  David Wheat MacroEconomic model CLD Insight  by Gene Bellinger  
WIP based mostly on Jan Toporowski 2013 vol 1 and 2018 vol 2 books on Michal Kalecki: An Intellectual Biography  
Layout Consistent with David Wheat MacroEconomic model CLD Insight by Gene Bellinger  
Since the mid-eighteenth century, new jobs have emerged then vanished throughout successive revolutions (Industrial, Technological, Digital) due to a combination of globalisation and automation. Now a fourth revolution (the joining of technologies like artificial intelligence, gene editing, and adva
Since the mid-eighteenth century, new jobs have emerged then vanished throughout successive revolutions (Industrial, Technological, Digital) due to a combination of globalisation and automation. Now a fourth revolution (the joining of technologies like artificial intelligence, gene editing, and advanced robotics) threatens 4.4 million knowledge work jobs in the UK (“Transformed by AI – how generative artificial intelligence could affect work in the UK”, IPPR, March 2024).

By contrast, jobs that are hyper-local and personalised are not only sustainable, but also valued by customers, rewarding to suppliers, and contribute to antifragility. Suppliers are close to customers personally so can evolve their services rapidly in response to new needs ("Advancing a hyperlocal approach to community engagement in climate adaptation", Harrison, T.R., et al, 2022) and are motivated to train their own replacements.
NICOLE DESARIO   AP BIOLOGY   JUNE 2013   There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle
NICOLE DESARIO 

AP BIOLOGY 

JUNE 2013


There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle; which make them unfixed variables. 

Definition: OSTEOPOROSIS (Also known as degenerative bone disease) - "is a disease of bones that leads to an increased risk of fracture. In osteoporosis, the bone mineral density (BMD) of an individual is reduced, bone micro-architecture deteriorates, and the amount and variety of proteins in bone and variety of proteins in bone are altered. Osteoporosis is defined by the World Health Organization as a bone mineral density of 2.5 standard deviations or more below the mean peak bone mass (average of young healthy adults)."

NON-MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Age: Increased age increases likelihood of developing osteoporosis

Sex: Females are more likely to experience osteoporosis fragility fractures

Race: Osteoporosis is more common in people of European and Asian decent

Frame: Thin-framed individuals do not stress their bones as much as heavier-set individuals, and therefore do not have as "thick" bones, and are more likely to develop fragile bones (osteoporosis) 

Family history: 30 genes are linked to development of osteoporosis, so an individual can be anywhere between 25 and 80% more likely to develop osteoporosis if it exists in the family. (my mother has it, so I am very likely to develop it if I don't actively make the efforts to protect my bones from degenerating over time.)

Insufficient Prenatal Care: During development in the womb if a fetus does not receive appropriate nutrition, it may develop malnutrition-related deficiency diseases.

(POTENTIALLY) MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Smoking/Drinking: Excessive use could lead to increased risk because alcohol use decreases your ability to absorb nutrients. It interferes with the absorption of calcium and Vit D (stomach, pancreas and liver affected). Alcohol also kills osteoblasts, the bone-making cells. It also increases bone-damaging hormones cortisol and parathyroid hormone 

Medication Use: Some medications increase risk of osteoporosis however discontinuing use of said medications is often impossible, and therefore the modifiable risk is non-modifiable at times.

Dietary Habits: Majority of bone development happens before an individual reaches the age of 20, so if dietary requirements of calcium, vitamin D, and phosphorus are insufficient, there will be a greater chance of osteoporosis later in life. 

Hormone Levels: In females, estrogen deficiency following menopause or oophorectomy is correlated with rapid reduction in bone mineral density, while in men, a decrease in testosterone levels has a comparable (but less pronounced) effect.

Sedentary Lifestyle: Staying active and stressing your bones decreases chances of osteoporosis because it encourages osteoblastic activity, if an individual is extremely sedentary, (coupled with a thin frame possibly) they are very susceptible to osteoporosis, and should consider getting active. Also, an individual with more sun exposure absorbs more Vit D.

Fractures: Increased breakage of bones creates weak points where BMD cannot recover to what it was prior to the fracture. Individuals should stay out of fights, reduce falling, and avoid clumsy behavior.
We want to know the estimated projected Earnings before tax of a 5 year project. For this we have modeled Sales Growth, Cost of goods sold and Admin. expenses applying sensitivity testing by using probability distributions.
We want to know the estimated projected Earnings before tax of a 5 year project. For this we have modeled Sales Growth, Cost of goods sold and Admin. expenses applying sensitivity testing by using probability distributions.
 Modified from Sterman (2006)  article  and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions  IM-351  by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM  and  IM-63975

Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

3 9 months ago
 
 Limite ao crescimento é o arquétipo mais comum e gerador da conhecida curva "S". É um dos  arquétipos sistêmicos  citado na Quinta Disciplina de Peter Senge, na Série  Perspectivas Sistêmicas  de Gene Bellinger, No livro Pensamento Sistêmico - 25 Aplicações Práticas (João Gratuliano et al.) e em

Limite ao crescimento é o arquétipo mais comum e gerador da conhecida curva "S". É um dos arquétipos sistêmicos citado na Quinta Disciplina de Peter Senge, na Série Perspectivas Sistêmicas de Gene Bellinger, No livro Pensamento Sistêmico - 25 Aplicações Práticas (João Gratuliano et al.) e em muitas outras fontes. Original version in english Limits to Growth.

Unfolding causal loop diagram story of hospital congestion from Eric Wolstenholme's more detailed explanation of  hospital congestion IM  from March 2022 Youtube  video  and online stella  presentation . Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu  version ,   early discharge boundaries IM  fo
Unfolding causal loop diagram story of hospital congestion from Eric Wolstenholme's more detailed explanation of hospital congestion IM from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene Bellinger
11 months ago