​From Fig 1.1 p11  Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010)  Evolution: The Extended Synthesis . This is a shift in emphasis from statistical correlation to mechanistic causation (p12), including the conditions for the origin and innovation of traits (p13). It overcomes the  gradualism, externalism and gen

​From Fig 1.1 p11  Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010) Evolution: The Extended Synthesis. This is a shift in emphasis from statistical correlation to mechanistic causation (p12), including the conditions for the origin and innovation of traits (p13). It overcomes the gradualism, externalism and gene centrism of the Modern Synthesis. Non-gradual change is a property of complex dynamical systems. EvoDevo processes generate particular forms of change rather than others.Genes are followers in the evolutionary process that capture the emergent interactions among environment, development and inheritance into genetic-epigenetic circuits, which are passed to and elaborated on in subsequent generations (p14).

This is a stock-flow consistent model, namely a modified version of the simplest (PC) model with money and boonds.   Godley/Lavoie (2006), chapter 4    (I had to change the equation for consumption demand. The disposable income now enters with a time lag of one period. Otherwise the model would be r
This is a stock-flow consistent model, namely a modified version of the simplest (PC) model with money and boonds.

Godley/Lavoie (2006), chapter 4

(I had to change the equation for consumption demand. The disposable income now enters with a time lag of one period. Otherwise the model would be recursive and would not work in Insight Maker. Thanks to Gene for support.)


designed by Dirk Ehnts (blog)
WIP Adding Pragmatism, Critical Realism and Category Theory to  WIlliam Powers' Perceptual Control Theory to explain ways of thinking, with similarities to structure agency theory. Based on help from Gene Bellinger's conversations with Gemini Nov2025, named Unified Cybernetic Realist Model
WIP Adding Pragmatism, Critical Realism and Category Theory to  WIlliam Powers' Perceptual Control Theory to explain ways of thinking, with similarities to structure agency theory. Based on help from Gene Bellinger's conversations with Gemini Nov2025, named Unified Cybernetic Realist Model
17 hours ago
Unfolding causal loop diagram story of hospital congestion from Eric Wolstenholme's more detailed explanation of  hospital congestion IM  from March 2022 Youtube  video  and online stella  presentation . Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu  version ,   early discharge boundaries IM  fo
Unfolding causal loop diagram story of hospital congestion from Eric Wolstenholme's more detailed explanation of hospital congestion IM from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene Bellinger
10 months ago
WIP for planning  some relevant online M&S Learning Communities for Health
WIP for planning  some relevant online M&S Learning Communities for Health
Based on Gene's Enabling a Better Tomorrow Map  IM-2879  this is a Specific Health Care version based on the archived Systemswiki Health Care material. The focus is on Models and Simulation . I am following Gene's   Adventures in Wonderland  framework. Advanced WIP in  IM-57331
Based on Gene's Enabling a Better Tomorrow Map IM-2879 this is a Specific Health Care version based on the archived Systemswiki Health Care material. The focus is on Models and Simulation . I am following Gene's  Adventures in Wonderland framework. Advanced WIP in IM-57331
 Go to  Gene Bellinger's insight version  with video link This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp up

Go to Gene Bellinger's insight version with video link This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 abstract Conference version here

 copied from: Gene Bellinger ( Shifting the Burden Archetype | Insight Maker )    A shifting the burden structure occurs when there are different ways to address a situation. With one approach being easier, faster, and requiring fewer resources, which do you think gets pursued? The problem is that t
copied from: Gene Bellinger (Shifting the Burden Archetype | Insight Maker)

A shifting the burden structure occurs when there are different ways to address a situation. With one approach being easier, faster, and requiring fewer resources, which do you think gets pursued? The problem is that taking the easier path ensures one will have to take the easier path repeatedly, and makes it harder to pursue the long-term better solution. See also Archetypes.
Components of behaviour organised into domains, from NIMH Research Domain Criteria  website  and BMC  paper  and 2013  series  on current controversies in psychiatry.
Components of behaviour organised into domains, from NIMH Research Domain Criteria website and BMC paper and 2013 series on current controversies in psychiatry.
3 11 months ago
NICOLE DESARIO   AP BIOLOGY   JUNE 2013   There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle
NICOLE DESARIO 

AP BIOLOGY 

JUNE 2013


There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle; which make them unfixed variables. 

Definition: OSTEOPOROSIS (Also known as degenerative bone disease) - "is a disease of bones that leads to an increased risk of fracture. In osteoporosis, the bone mineral density (BMD) of an individual is reduced, bone micro-architecture deteriorates, and the amount and variety of proteins in bone and variety of proteins in bone are altered. Osteoporosis is defined by the World Health Organization as a bone mineral density of 2.5 standard deviations or more below the mean peak bone mass (average of young healthy adults)."

NON-MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Age: Increased age increases likelihood of developing osteoporosis

Sex: Females are more likely to experience osteoporosis fragility fractures

Race: Osteoporosis is more common in people of European and Asian decent

Frame: Thin-framed individuals do not stress their bones as much as heavier-set individuals, and therefore do not have as "thick" bones, and are more likely to develop fragile bones (osteoporosis) 

Family history: 30 genes are linked to development of osteoporosis, so an individual can be anywhere between 25 and 80% more likely to develop osteoporosis if it exists in the family. (my mother has it, so I am very likely to develop it if I don't actively make the efforts to protect my bones from degenerating over time.)

Insufficient Prenatal Care: During development in the womb if a fetus does not receive appropriate nutrition, it may develop malnutrition-related deficiency diseases.

(POTENTIALLY) MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Smoking/Drinking: Excessive use could lead to increased risk because alcohol use decreases your ability to absorb nutrients. It interferes with the absorption of calcium and Vit D (stomach, pancreas and liver affected). Alcohol also kills osteoblasts, the bone-making cells. It also increases bone-damaging hormones cortisol and parathyroid hormone 

Medication Use: Some medications increase risk of osteoporosis however discontinuing use of said medications is often impossible, and therefore the modifiable risk is non-modifiable at times.

Dietary Habits: Majority of bone development happens before an individual reaches the age of 20, so if dietary requirements of calcium, vitamin D, and phosphorus are insufficient, there will be a greater chance of osteoporosis later in life. 

Hormone Levels: In females, estrogen deficiency following menopause or oophorectomy is correlated with rapid reduction in bone mineral density, while in men, a decrease in testosterone levels has a comparable (but less pronounced) effect.

Sedentary Lifestyle: Staying active and stressing your bones decreases chances of osteoporosis because it encourages osteoblastic activity, if an individual is extremely sedentary, (coupled with a thin frame possibly) they are very susceptible to osteoporosis, and should consider getting active. Also, an individual with more sun exposure absorbs more Vit D.

Fractures: Increased breakage of bones creates weak points where BMD cannot recover to what it was prior to the fracture. Individuals should stay out of fights, reduce falling, and avoid clumsy behavior.
This is a stock-flow consistent model, namely the simplest (SIM) model with government money. I have added imports and exports and an exchange rate which has an influence on consumption demand via real disposable income and real foreign demand.   Godley/Lavoie (2006), chapter 3    (I had to change t
This is a stock-flow consistent model, namely the simplest (SIM) model with government money. I have added imports and exports and an exchange rate which has an influence on consumption demand via real disposable income and real foreign demand.

Godley/Lavoie (2006), chapter 3

(I had to change the equation for consumption demand. The disposable income now enters with a time lag of one period. Otherwise the model would be recursive and would not work in Insight Maker. Thanks to Gene for support.)


designed by Dirk Ehnts (blog)
Integrating other Double Loop Learning and Clinical Reasoning Concepts with Klein's Macrocognition and Lintern's Decision Ladder. May need to add capability
Integrating other Double Loop Learning and Clinical Reasoning Concepts with Klein's Macrocognition and Lintern's Decision Ladder.
May need to add capability