A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Effect of rewards on the selection promotion and retirement of scholars in universities. Based on Geoffrey Brennan's Selection and the Currency of Reward chapter10 in The Theory of Institutional Design ed. RG Goodwin Cambridge University Press 1996 See also IM-2016

Kidney replacement therapy dynamics simple model

Interacting nested fast and slow adaptive cycles from Panarchy Book  ,Resilience thinking Book Brian Walker and David Salt Island Press 2006 and the http://www.resalliance.org/ Website, See also What is Panarchy at http://bit.ly/H9RFkL

Fig 4.1 p 86 of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011).

Illustration of the relations among variables that contribute to the value experience. See also Effectiveness IM-2806

Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Layout of insight IM-855 See also IM-2235 for unfolding version

From FIg.2 Past the Tipping Point:THe Persistence of Firefighting in Product Development by Nelson Repenning, Paulo Goncalves and Laura Black. Calif. Mgt. Review 43(4) p44-63 (2001). Also  From William E. Novak and  Linda Levine CMU SEI Sept 2010 Success in Acquisition: Using Archetypes to Beat the Odds paper and see webpage

Adapted from Fig.5, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634  http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Extension of IM-14124 with an adjusted bed capacity stock. For backlog and services see IM-8382

Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Alternate Layout of insight IM-857 Here Join and Split Flows are unfolded rather than using folders around the Stocks.

This is the Concept map at IM-735  modified to reflect the learning after system dynamics modeling at IM-393, 

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them