WIP integrating Epidemiology Systems Science and Policy making, mainly based on books and AJE articles by Keyes and Galea

Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67

WIP based on Choice modelling and Mark Paich's Book and NZ work focus on Pre-ED Presentation choices, with ED and Post-ED care. Extended based on IM-998 4 hour rule context. Can be replicated to add interventions, as in IM-6167. See IM-9178 for Addition of After hours 'as is' and 'to be' flow models for Medicare Locals

From Tarek KA Hamid's Book Thinking in Circles About Obesity Springer 2009

A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

Minimal model of glucose kinetics by Bergman, used to calculate insulin sensitivity from an Intravenous Glucose Tolerance Test (IVGTT). Plasma insulin I(t) enters a remote compartment X(t) where it is active in accelerating glucose G(t) disappearance into the periphery and liver, and inhibiting hepatic glucose production. Adapted from Minimal Models for Glucose and Insulin Kinetics: A Matlab implementation by Natal van Riel, Eindhoven University of Technology 2004 by Mark Heffernan.

From Jennifer Prah Ruger (2010) Health Capability Conceptualization and Operationalization Am J Public Health 100 p41-49 available from SSRN. Extends Insight 779 with Dahlgren and Whitehead's Sunrise Diagram of Social Determinants of Health added. See also wikipedia Capability Approach

Created in James Madison University's ISAT 341 Simulation and Modeling course by Joseph Straub and Andrew Funkhouser. Based on Mark Heffernan's Glucose-Insulin Insight Maker

Glucose Insulin Model Info:

Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Springer 1998, Ch 24 p255-261, by Mark Heffernan.

This is a simpler version of Insight 649 showing the flow of Older People among the Community Hospital and Aged Care Residences

Clone of IM-11079 ED Model for Daily ED Performance with 2 areas again, as in the previous IM-10571. Focus on shift performance by Specialist.

See stella video for population example WIP Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010)  Improving model understanding using statistical screening WSC paper See also System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87 and earlier 2005 SDR paper with CCtemplateExcel

Base del modelo territorial de Ciudad Hermosa

Una adaptación del URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process at System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) (click here to view full paper). 

Based on Nate Osgood's April 2014 Singapore Presentation Youtube video and Lyle Wallis material Gojii at DecisioTech See also Complex Decison Technologies IM as a more polished version

Addition of glucagon hormone action to control glucose homeostasis extended from IM-586

Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at  CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version

An adaptation of the URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process. System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) Researchgate link  and eolss synopsis based on LA Alfeld and AK Graham's Introduction to Urban Dynamics 1976. Also p 195 (Dynamo Model Listing).

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.

WIP Clone of IM-94482 Early Childhood Intervention with added Women's Health and Violence frorm Montesanti2015 mapping article

WIP for Continuity of care ISO Old Version From Wikipedia Replaced by IM-4008