Update to the original IM-636 from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics Update
Causal loop diagram unfolding story based on Jack Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover
Burnout Dynamics CLD rich pic
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
Biology levels and genetics
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351
Decision Ladder
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
Proceso de contagios en COVID19
Simplest ED Model for Weekend ED Performance with 1 ED area IM-11079 Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by IM-7981) WIP
ED Flows extended to Ward and Waitlist Flows
WIP Mostly a combination of Barone 1998 Advanced Personality book and Charles Hampden-Turner 1982 book Maps of the Mind
Personality Theories
Prenatal, infant and early child development based on The First Thousand Days: early, integrated and evidence-based approaches to improving child health: coming to a population near you? Darling JC, et al. Arch Dis Child 2020;0:1–5. doi:10.1136/archdischild-2019-316929 article
The first 1000 days of Early Child Development Overview
Extension of IM-7981 with dynamics of daily ward discharges and did not waits. For an adjusted bed capacity stock see IM-14144.For backlog and services see IM-8382
WIP ED Boarding - Days
Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Layout of insight IM-855 See also IM-2235 for unfolding version
Catalyzed Reaction (Michaelis Menten) 2
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces. Here we investigate the effect of constrained spaces and ignore any changes in treatment time or staffing effects. Many of the consequences occur before treatment with potential arrivals being turned away and arrivals leaving without being treated.
Emergency Room Patient Flow Model 2 with Treatment Spaces
SD reformulation of jama psychiatry article mason2017 on neurocomputational model of mood instability and reward dysregulation in bipolar disorder
Mood instability in biploar disorder
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance
Medical Sustainability_p3
Revised unfolding story of stock-flow feedback map of suicide prevention
intermediate version focussed on regional mental health services ( according to Mark heffernan's ithink /STELLA simulation model Aug 2017 Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Suicide Dynamics 3
Festinger's theory of cognitive dissonance represented in feedback loops, relevant to defensive behaviours, goal conflict in PCT and mental health From p256 Fig 4.23 of George Richardson (1991) Book Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory,. Book reviewed here
Cognitive Dissonance
A simple generic rich picture view of interactions among concerned people with needs services and resources and abilities (including learning), which can be used as a pattern for many individual health care insights.
Health & Health Care
Kidney replacement therapy dynamics extended to dialysis management
Kidney Dialysis and Transplant CLD Extended
Here we have modified the SIR model of Insight 584 by adding an additional stock of Exposed people, who become Infective after an incubation period.
SEIR Infectious Disease Model
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.
SEIRD 01: COVID-19 spread
Sources of Policy Resistance. From article Sterman, John D. Learning from Evidence in a Complex World Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also fighting complexity IM-1955
Policy Resistance
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for
Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research
Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Implementing Chronic Care Management
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
Climate Stabilization Task - Older
