Simplest ED Model for Daily ED Performance with 1 ED area rather than 2 in IM-10571. Currently runs over a weekend and calibrated roughly to Weekend Data.Ward net discharges are extended in IM-12414. The Master Version of this, with the story added is at IM-11936 Resplit into 2 areas at IM-15023
ED Flows without Separate Areas
Causal loop diagram unfolding story based on Jack Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover
Burnout Dynamics CLD rich pic
An initial stock-flow feedback map with unfolding story about Suicide Prevention that resulted in a national and regional simulation. See revised version insight
Suicide Dynamics 1
version of Suicide 4 insight focussed on PTSD in Veterans
Suicide Dynamics 5
Update to the original IM-636 from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics Update
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation
Depression Dynamics
Extension of IM-7981 with dynamics of daily ward discharges and did not waits. For an adjusted bed capacity stock see IM-14144.For backlog and services see IM-8382
WIP ED Boarding - Days
Gross theory of emotion regulation from Saras Chung ISDC 2015
Abstract See also Tibor Bosse's Computational model paper
Emotion Regulation and Stress
Simplest ED Model for Weekend ED Performance with 1 ED area IM-11079 Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by IM-7981) WIP
ED Flows extended to Ward and Waitlist Flows
Prenatal, infant and early child development based on The First Thousand Days: early, integrated and evidence-based approaches to improving child health: coming to a population near you? Darling JC, et al. Arch Dis Child 2020;0:1–5. doi:10.1136/archdischild-2019-316929 article
The first 1000 days of Early Child Development Overview
Adam Smith's The Invisible Hand: The Feedback Structure of Markets. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p170 Fig 5-26. A price-mediated resource allocation system..
Price control mechanism
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
Proceso de contagios en COVID19
SD reformulation of jama psychiatry article mason2017 on neurocomputational model of mood instability and reward dysregulation in bipolar disorder
Mood instability in biploar disorder
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces. Here we investigate the effect of constrained spaces and ignore any changes in treatment time or staffing effects. Many of the consequences occur before treatment with potential arrivals being turned away and arrivals leaving without being treated.
Emergency Room Patient Flow Model 2 with Treatment Spaces
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351
Decision Ladder
Revisesuicide_prevention
intermediate version according to Mark heffernan's ithink model Aug 2017 focussed on regional mental health services Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Clone of Suicide Dynamics 3
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
Climate Stabilization Task - Older
An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.
Aggression
Revised unfolding story of stock-flow feedback map of suicide prevention
intermediate version focussed on regional mental health services ( according to Mark heffernan's ithink /STELLA simulation model Aug 2017 Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Suicide Dynamics 3
Here we have modified the SIR model of Insight 584 by adding an additional stock of Exposed people, who become Infective after an incubation period.
SEIR Infectious Disease Model
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
Biology levels and genetics
Agent-Based Model Covid-19
