Suicide Prevention stock flow and feedback map with unfolding story, revised with ideation, intent and lethality and multiple attempts (according to Mark Heffernan's ithink model May 2016) and an initial person as agent centred view added See Initial version and next version 3
Suicide Dynamics 2
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.
SEIRD 01: COVID-19 spread
Cardiovascular disease dynamics
Adam Smith's The Invisible Hand: The Feedback Structure of Markets. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p170 Fig 5-26. A price-mediated resource allocation system..
Price control mechanism
From Jack Homer , Gary HIrsch and Bobby Milstein. Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 313-343 (2007)
Chronic Illness Stocks and Flows
Some AnyLogic Hybrid Model methods and examples taken from Nate Osgood's Bootcamps around 2017 See Nate's AnyLOgic Examples page and links to hybrid examples for more recent videos and examples
Hybrid Health Modeling Strand
OASIS SOA Reference Architecture represents views from the perspectives of using, building, owning and managing the means for exchanging value, particpants claims of ownership and the rules of engagement. From http://bit.ly/wpI1yo
SOA Reference Architecture
From MIT ESD work (de Weck Ilities ) esp on Survivability (Medecki) http://bit.ly/HVsceb and Unarticulated Value (Ross) 2006 PhD pdf
System Change Value and Ilities
From Greenhalgh et al article 2017 jimr Beyond Adoption: A New Framework for Theorizing and Evaluating Nonadoption, Abandonment, and Challenges to the Scale-Up, Spread, and Sustainability of Health and Care Technologies
NASSS Technology Adoption Framework
Sources of Policy Resistance. From article Sterman, John D. Learning from Evidence in a Complex World Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also fighting complexity IM-1955
Policy Resistance
A stock flow structure used to show the unit of analysis, scope of study and context of the ED Four hour rule project, cloned from im-399 monthly flows
Four hour rule project and context
Proceso de contagios en COVID19
A generic stock and flow map of Cancer Screening and Treatment. See also IM-1525 for a specific Prostate PSA Map and Reference See IM-107014 for a more detailed prostate cancer specific map
Cancer Stock Flow Map
A model of thermostat action including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. See also, after this model, how the concept map of a thermostat at IM-735 changed to the concept map at IM-736
Thermostat
BEACH Report 41 A decade of Australian general
practice activity 2006–07 to 2015–16 book University of Sydney 2016
Primary Care GP Activity Australia
A model of the ladder of inference which shows how we short circuit reality based on the assumptions and beliefs we develop IM-351. Combined with the cyclical scientific process described by Gary An.
Ladder of Inference and Cyclical Scientific Process
WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys
IM-4008 with split off
patient and professional statecharts See
IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and
IM-6913 for ED Physician INteraction
Clinical Process with Patient and Professional States
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
Climate Stabilization Task - Older
Jenny W. Rudolph Nelson P.Repenning Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse Administrative Science Quarterly,47(2002):1-30 paper
Disaster Dynamics
Critical Systems Heuristics Boundary critique from Ulrich See also Critical Systems Thinking Insight
Critical Systems Heuristics
Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.
Diffusion of Innovation Bass Model
An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.
Aggression
From fighting lions (fight or flight) to fighting feedbacks in complex systems. A single person cutting the Gordian knot to the dynamic complexity of rubik's cube. Think of multiple players with multiple misperceptions of the faces on the cube and conflicting goals about what the desired solution is. Worse still, without an accepted framework we dont even know if it's a cube or another structure. See also policy resistance IM-697
Fighting complexity
Rich Picture Version of Insight 386 The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1976 ISBN 0-88410-132-0. See also Services Intro IM
Human Service Delivery Dynamics rich picture