Medical Sustainability_p3
Overview of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011). See also the value experience IM-2804 and Regret IM-15680
Effectiveness and Value
A stock flow structure used to investigate interventions to improve the monthly patterns of patient flows through hospitals. Simplest structure to explain IM-10386 Expanded in IM-13966
Hospital flows monthly pattern
The effects of subsidies and incentives for private health insurance on the mix of public and private hospital use. The central role of adverse selection/moral hazard on private health insurance sustainability. See also updated version around 2017
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics
Detail from Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization article. See full overview at insight
Performance shaping factors
Addition of Incident Reporting and Prevention Interventions to a simple error chain of medication errors for patients in hospital IM-10113
Medication error with incident reporting
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation
Depression Dynamics
Agent-Based Model Covid-19
A work in progress model for ED hourly arrival flows based on reported statistics by triage category with individual triage categories dis-aggregated using vectors. Based on a hospital performance report from http://www.bhi.nsw.gov.au/publications/hospital_quarterly_3
Split of IM-2166
ED flows by triage categories with hourly arrival
Showing how multiple effect loops for private patients in public hospitals can be represented as a causal loop diagram (CLD)
Causal loop diagram for loops of public private hospital funding
Update to the original IM-636 from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics Update
WIP Patient Flow improvement strategies for a City Hospital with 3 years historical data and two year planning horizon. Built after a Generic Teaching Hospital Model IM-10346 A simplified stock flow map is at IM-399
Hospital Seasonal ED and Ward Flow Improvement
Addition of glucagon hormone action to control glucose homeostasis extended from IM-586
Glucose regulation CLD 2
WIP Based on TAble 1 Jackson 2014 article
Applying COM-B to medication adherence
WIP Mostly a combination of Barone 1998 Advanced Personality book and Charles Hampden-Turner 1982 book Maps of the Mind
Personality Theories
WIP Simplified Patient Flow map of features in a SD simulation model of performance of a City Hospital over 5 years. Built after a Regional 20 year planning model IM-10290 The simulation is a large ithink model built by Mark Heffernan
City Hospital Performance over 5 years
An initial stock-flow feedback map with unfolding story about Suicide Prevention that resulted in a national and regional simulation. See revised version insight
Suicide Dynamics 1
From Margaret Stringfellow's PhD thesis from Nancy Leveson's Engineering a Safer World
Process Control Structure
Prenatal, infant and early child development based on The First Thousand Days: early, integrated and evidence-based approaches to improving child health: coming to a population near you? Darling JC, et al. Arch Dis Child 2020;0:1–5. doi:10.1136/archdischild-2019-316929 article
The first 1000 days of Early Child Development Overview
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
Biology levels and genetics
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
From Jennifer Prah Ruger (2010) Health Capability Conceptualization and Operationalization Am J Public Health 100 p41-49 available from SSRN Extended slightly in IM-791 so use of this is deprecated.
Health Capability Map
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces. Here we investigate the effect of constrained spaces and ignore any changes in treatment time or staffing effects. Many of the consequences occur before treatment with potential arrivals being turned away and arrivals leaving without being treated.
Emergency Room Patient Flow Model 2 with Treatment Spaces
Extension of IM-7981 with dynamics of daily ward discharges and did not waits. For an adjusted bed capacity stock see IM-14144.For backlog and services see IM-8382
WIP ED Boarding - Days