The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 9781 for a simulation of this model.

There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

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To develop insights regarding a situation of interest there are a number of things should be considered to ensure a view of the relevant influences.

We create the future as a result of the manner in which we choose to engage with situations which concern us. There is a also a video for this insight.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

There are limits to what one can infer from a qualitative model.

All the following have a common characteristic.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

This is a model depicting the interactions of the Aesop's Fable "The Boy Who Cried Wolf."

CLD of Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) See IM-1008 for a stock flow version.

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

While these pictures represent very different things there is a common essence.

The interaction of a population of Moose and Wolves.

Little Red Riding Hood walking through the woods to Grandma's house. How long will it take?

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

This model is derived from the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. See Insight 752 for a causal loop version of this model.

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When endeavoring to develop an understanding of the nature of something it is generally useful to create a model of some type to aid in surfacing that understanding.

Based on a sound realization of reality we need an effective approach to dealing with situations which promotes the requisite understanding to develop a strategy that deals appropriately with the situation. A strategy which also is explicitly designed to minimize unintended consequences and puts in place responses to them should they arise.

All you wanted to do was put a bird feeder in your yard to attract birds and make for a more pleasant morning. And...

Introduce the concept of modeling and simulation.

There are about fifteen known archetypes with an interesting set of relationships among them.

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