Here we have a basic model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
We add simple containment meassures that affect different paramenters.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Hong Kong.
The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.
