Insight diagram
Өзіндік жұмыс 2
Insight diagram

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19
Insight diagram
This model shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie and the Government intervention to alleviate the crisis and also how is the intervention affect the economy.

It is assumed that the Government intervention is triggered when the COVID-19 case is equal to or more than 10. 

Government intervention - lock down the state, suppress the development of COVID-19 effectively. It is related to most of people stay at home to reduce the exposure in public area.
On the other hand, it also bring the economy of Burnie in the recession, as no tourists, no dining out activities and decrease in money spending in the city.
Burnie COVID-19 outbreaks and economic impacts_Pui Chu Daisy Cheung 524767
Insight diagram
The model is built to demonstrates how Burnie Tasmania can deal with a new COVID-19 outbreaks, taking government policies and economic effects into account.
The susceptible people are the local Burnie residents. If residents were infected, they would either recovered or dead. However, even they do recover, there is a chance that they will get infected again if immunity loss occurs.
From the simulation result we can see that with the implementation of local government policies including travel ban and social distancing,  the number of infected people will decrease. The number of recovered people will increase in the first 5 weeks but then experience a decrease.
In addition, with the implementation of local government policy, the economic environment in Burnie will be relatively stable when the number of COVID-19 cases is stable.
How Burnie, Tasmania can deal with a new outbreak of COVID-19
Insight diagram
Системная динамика COVID-19 в США
Insight diagram
Check how different times of recovery and deths in cases of covid-19 infulence 2 key mortality indicators:
Overall mortalityr ate (ratio of all deaths to all cases)
Resolved cases mortality rate (ratio of all deaths to recovered cases)

Assumed delays are:
5 weeks for recovery cases
2 weeks for death cases
Delays are built into conveyor stocks, so cannot be adjusted by slider

keep in mind Insigth uses similar but made-up numbers and linear flow of new cases (in opposition to exponential in real world)  
Understanding Covid-19 mortality
Insight diagram
Агент модель
Өзіндік жұмыс 2
Insight diagram
Өзіндік жұмыс (3-бөлімге)
Өзіндік жұмыс Агент
24 6 months ago
Insight diagram
covid 19 South Korea
Insight diagram
New SEIR COVID-19
Insight diagram
SIR Modeling of Covid-19 in Cameroon
Insight diagram
covid-19
Insight diagram
Explanation of the Model

The sample model demonstrate the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania appearing how the government reacts by executing important health approaches and the impacts on the economy of the region

Assumptions

The economic growth rate is subordinate on the extent of the populace who can be exposed. The number of COVID-19 cases adversely impacts the economy. The government arrangement is activated when the COVID-19 cases are 10 or above

Interesting Insights

1. There is a positive relationship between exposure to COVID- 19 and economic growth rate. Since the more individuals go out, the more trade activity takes place and that ultimately results economic growth

2. Expanding the testing rate results
- Higher cases being recognized
- Strict  government intervention
- Less deaths

BMA708_Assignment3_Md Shihabul Islam_548056
Insight diagram
A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover

Assumptions
The government has reduced both the epidemic and economic development by controlling immigration.




Yuhao c, BMA708_Marketing insights into Big Data.
Insight diagram
Агентская модель болезни COVID-19 в США
Агентская модель болезни COVID-19 в США
Insight diagram
Somulacion clase 2, retroalimentación + y - , primer versión
Modelo Covid-19 Co
Insight diagram
Propagación y recuperación Covid-19
Insight diagram
This model aims to show that how Tasmania government's Covid-19 policy can address the spread of the pandemic and in what way these policy can damage the economy.

This model assumes that if the COVID-19 cases are more than 10, the government will take action such as quarantine and lockdown at the area. These policy can indirectly affect the local economy in many different way. At the same time, strict policy may be essential for combating Covid-19.

From the simulation of the model, we can clearly see that the economy of Burine will be steady increase when government successfully reduces the COVID-19 cased and make it spreading slower.

Interesting finding: In this pandemic, the testing rate and the recovery rate are important to stop Covid-19 spreading. Once the cases of Covid-19 less than 10, the government might stop intervention and the economy of Burnie will back to normal.

Model of Covid-19 outbreaks at Burnie (Yingchao Yang,503757)
Insight diagram
COVID-19 в Китае
Insight diagram
Өздік жұмыс(жүйелік модельдеу)
Insight diagram
Atakan Han 150501024 

During the Covid-19 Outbreak Model