COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania Simulation Model
Introduction
This model simulates how COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie and how the government responses influence the economic community. Government responses are based on the reported COVID-19 cases amount, whcih is considered to be based on testing rate times number of people who are infected minus those recovered from COVID-19 and dead.
Government interventions include the implement of healthy policy, border surveillance, quarantine and travel restriction. After outbreak, economic activities are positively affected by the ecommerce channel development and normal economic grwoth, while the unemployement rate unfortunately increases as well.
Assumption
- Enforcing government policies reduce both infection and economica growth.
- When there are 10 or greater COVID-19 cases reported, the governmwnt policies are triggered.
- Greater COVID-19 cases have negatively influenced the economic activities.
- Government policies restict people's activities socially and economically, leading to negative effects on economy.
- Opportunities for jobs are cut down too, making umemployment rate increased.
- During the outbreak period, ecommerce has increased accordingly because people are restricted from going out.
Interesting insights
An increase in vaccination rate will make difference on reduing the infection. People who get vaccinated are seen to have higher immunity index to fight with COVID-19. Further research is needed.
Testing rate is considered as critical issue to reflect the necessity of government intervention. Higher testing rate seems to boost immediate intervention. Reinforced policies can then reduce the spread of coronvirus but absoluately have negative impacts on economy too.
