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This model aims to show that how Tasmania government's Covid-19 policy can address the spread of the pandemic and in what way these policy can damage the economy.

This model assumes that if the COVID-19 cases are more than 10, the government will take action such as quarantine and lockdown at the area. These policy can indirectly affect the local economy in many different way. At the same time, strict policy may be essential for combating Covid-19.

From the simulation of the model, we can clearly see that the economy of Burine will be steady increase when government successfully reduces the COVID-19 cased and make it spreading slower.

Interesting finding: In this pandemic, the testing rate and the recovery rate are important to stop Covid-19 spreading. Once the cases of Covid-19 less than 10, the government might stop intervention and the economy of Burnie will back to normal.

Model of Covid-19 outbreaks at Burnie (Yingchao Yang,503757)
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системное моделирование
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Агентное моделирование Covid-19
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  • tingkat interaksi fisik : 1-10 orang per hari
  • penerapan prokes 0%-100%
  • penanganan pemerintah : minim (<40%) cukup (40%-70%) baik (>70%)


covid-19
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Системная динамика COVID-19 в США
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COVID-19 cases in Barangay Candawaga, Municipality of Rizal
COVID-19 MODEL2 (OPERIANO, GLIANNE BETH O.)
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New SEIR COVID-19
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School project for data modell of the COVID-19 Virus
Corona - DE
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covid-19
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Агентное моделирование COVID-19 в Китае
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Explanation of the Model

The sample model demonstrate the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania appearing how the government reacts by executing important health approaches and the impacts on the economy of the region

Assumptions

The economic growth rate is subordinate on the extent of the populace who can be exposed. The number of COVID-19 cases adversely impacts the economy. The government arrangement is activated when the COVID-19 cases are 10 or above

Interesting Insights

1. There is a positive relationship between exposure to COVID- 19 and economic growth rate. Since the more individuals go out, the more trade activity takes place and that ultimately results economic growth

2. Expanding the testing rate results
- Higher cases being recognized
- Strict  government intervention
- Less deaths

BMA708_Assignment3_Md Shihabul Islam_548056
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2 өзіндік жұмыс
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Өзіндік жұмыс 2
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Агенттик моделирование. ковид Корея
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Explanation:
Explanation:
This model presents the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie and how the government reacts to it. Moreover, the model also illustrates how the economy in Burnie is impacted by the pandemic. The possible stages of residents when the infectious disease spreads in Burnie can be concluded as Susceptible, Infection and Recovery, which are used as the main data in this model. However, the improvement of decreasing of reported infection rates of this infectious disease and increasing of recovery rates are contributed by the implementation of the Government Health Policy. 

Assumption
The decrease of both infection rate and economic growth are all influenced by the Government Health Policy simultaneously. The Government Health Policy is only triggered when there are 10 cases reported. However, the increase in reporting COVID-19 cases affects economic growth negatively. 

Interesting Insights:
There are two interesting insights that have been revealed from the simulation. First, the death rate continuously increased even though the infection rate goes down. However, the increase in testing rates contributed to the stability of the death rate towards the end of the week. Moreover, higher testing rates also trigger faster government intervention, which can reduce infectious cases.  Second, as the Government Health Policy limited the chance of going out and shopping, the economic growth is negative due to the higher cases. 

BMA708, Assessment 3: Complex system, Burnie Covid-19 outbreak
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This is the third in a series of models that explore the dynamics of infectious diseases. This model looks at the impact of two types of suppression policies. 

Press the simulate button to run the model with no policy.  Then explore what happens when you set up a lockdown and quarantining policy by changing the settings below.  First explore changing the start date with a policy duration of 60 days.
SIRD Epidemic Model with Suppression Policies
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SIR Modeling of Covid-19 in Cameroon
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Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus 

SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19
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Өздік жұмыс(жүйелік модельдеу)
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Das SEIRS(D)-Modell zum Simulieren der COVID-19 - Epidemie.
SEIR - COVID-19 (v.1) von Remigiusz Kinas
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Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.

Самостоятельная работа COVID-19
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COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania Simulation Model

Introduction

This model simulates how COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie and how the government responses influence the economic community.  Government responses are based on the reported COVID-19 cases amount, whcih is considered to be based on testing rate times number of people who are infected minus those recovered from COVID-19 and dead.
Government interventions include the implement of healthy policy, border surveillance, quarantine and travel restriction. After outbreak, economic activities are positively affected by the ecommerce channel development and normal economic grwoth, while the unemployement rate unfortunately increases as well. 

Assumption
  • Enforcing government policies reduce both infection and economica growth.                                                                                                         
  • When there are 10 or greater COVID-19 cases reported, the governmwnt policies are triggered.                                                          
  • Greater COVID-19 cases have negatively influenced the economic activities.                                                                                             
  • Government policies restict people's activities socially and economically, leading to negative effects on economy.                                          
  • Opportunities for jobs are cut down too, making umemployment rate increased.                                                                                   
  • During the outbreak period, ecommerce has increased accordingly because people are restricted from going out.                                  
Interesting insights

An increase in vaccination rate will make difference on reduing the infection. People who get vaccinated are seen to have higher immunity index to fight with COVID-19. Further research is needed.

Testing rate is considered as critical issue to reflect the necessity of government intervention. Higher testing rate seems to boost immediate intervention. Reinforced policies can then reduce the spread of coronvirus but absoluately have negative impacts on economy too.
Mengling Xue 561743 BMA708_Marketing insights into Big Data