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Tugas Metodologi Penyelesaian Masalah dan Pemodelan:

Wahyu Abdillah

Ribut Aji Kasmiadi

Faqih Zulfikar

Clone of Revised of COVID-19 S&F PT1 Model

Wahyu Abdillah

Covid-19 in Germany

Мадияр Сейтмуратов

Агентская модель болезни COVID-19 в США

Влад Кашин

3 months ago

COVID-19

Gabriel Quevedo

Simulasi persebaran Covid-19 di Provinsi Bali tahun 2020.

Asumsi:

1. Belum ada vaksin karena pada tahun 2020 vaksin belum tersedia.

TA Pemsim - SEIR Covid-19 Model

Luthfi Izzuddin Hanif

6

A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy. Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover

Assumptions

The government has reduced both the epidemic and economic development by controlling immigration.

Yuhao c, BMA708_Marketing insights into Big Data.

Yuhao Chen

Короновирус 2023 Германияда

Tazhieva Altynai

3 8 months ago

Introduction:

This simulation model demonstrates the outbreak of Covid-19 in Burnie, Tasmania and how the corresponding government’s responses affect the spreading of Covid-19. Meanwhile, this model also shows how the economy in Burnie is influenced by the impacts of both Covid-19 and government policies.

Variables:

This simulation contains some relevant variables as follow:

Variables in Covid-19 outbreaks: (1) Infection rate, (2) Recovery rate, (3) Death rate, (4) Immunity loss rate

Variables in Government policies: (1) Vaccination rate, (2) Lockdown, (3) Travel ban, (4)Quarantine

Variables in Economy: (1) E-commerce business, (2) Unemployment rate, (3) Economic growth rate.

Assumption:

Government responses would be triggered when reported Covid-19 cases are at least 10.

The government policies reduce the spreading of Covid-19, but they would also limit economic development at the same time due to the negative impact of the policies on the economy is greater than the positive impact.

The increase in reported Covid-19 cases would negatively affect economic growth.

Interesting Insights:

The first finding is that the death number would keep increasing even though the infection rate has decreased, but with stronger government policies (such as implementing a coefficient over 25%), no more death numbers will occur caused by Covid-19.

The second finding is that as government policies limit business activities, with the increasing number of reported Covid-19 cases, economic growth will suffer a severe blow even if e-commerce grows, it can’t make up for this economic loss.

BMA 708 assignment 3 - simulation model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

Xuanze Liang

Muertes por COVID-19

Mateo Gonzalez

3

[The Model of COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak in Burnie, TAS]

A model of COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from the government with the impact on the local economy and medical supply.

It is assumed that the government policy is triggered and rely on reported COVID-19 cases when the confirmed cases are 10 or less.

Interesting insights

The infection rate will decline if the government increase the testing ranges, meanwhile, the more confirmed cases will increase the pressure on hospital capacity and generate more demand for medical resources, which will promote government policy intervention to narrow the demand gap and affect economic performance by increasing hospital construction with financial investment.

The Model of COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak in Burnie, TAS

Yuxi Wang

Covid-19 Pandemic

Sneha Tirchy Shekar

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

We add simple containment meassures that affect two paramenters, the Susceptible population and the rate to become infected.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.

The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.

The validation process hence becomes critical, and allows to estimate the different parameters of the model from the data we obtain. This simulation approach allows to obtain somethings that is crucial to make decisions, the causality. We can infer this from the assumptions that are implicit on the model, and from it we can make decisions to improve the system behavior.

Yes, simulation works with causality and Flows diagrams is one of the techniques we have to draw it graphically, but is not the only one. On https://sdlps.com/projects/documentation/1009 you can review soon the same model but represented in Specification and Description Language.

SEIRD 02: COVID-19 spread with containment measures

Pengcheng Chen

3

A simple ABM example illustrating how the SEIR model works. It can be a basis for experimenting with learning the impact of human behavior on the spread of a virus, e.g. COVID-19.

SEIR ABM MODEL

Remigiusz Kinas

23

This is a complex model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania. It show the effect of government policy to local economic and the impact of Covid-19.

Assumptions

Government policy can reduce the number of infected, however also would reduce the economic growth.

Interesting insights

Based on changing the value of government policy, it show that the policy can help to reduce on the number of death and infection.

Covid-19 Out break