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COVID-19 Kazakstan Abdrakhman
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COVID-19 in Brazil
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COVID-19 Systemigram Model Building Exercise
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Description:

Model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

This model was designed from the SIR model(susceptible, infected, recovered) to determine the effect of the covid-19 outbreak on economic outcomes via government policy.

Assumptions:

The government policy is triggered when the number of infected is more than ten.

The government policies will take a negative effect on Covid-19 outbreaks and the financial system.

Parameters:

We set some fixed and adjusted variables.

Covid-19 outbreak's parameter

Fixed parameter: Background disease.

Adjusted parameters: Infection rate, recovery rate. Immunity loss rate can be changed from vaccination rate.

Government policy's parameters

Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15 to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)

Economic's parameters

Fixed parameter: Tourism

Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from 0.3 to 0.5)

Interesting insight

An increased vaccination rate and testing rate will decrease the number of infected cases and have a little more negative effect on the economic system. However, the financial system still needs a long time to recover in both cases.

BMA708_Assignment 3_Nguyen Dang Khoa Vo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy
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This Agent-based Model was an idea of Christopher DICarlo "Disease Transmission with Agent Based Model' aims to present the COVID cases in Puerto Princesa City as of June 3, 2021

Insight author: Pia Mae M. Palay

ABM Model of COVID-19 in Puerto Princesa City
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Simulación Covid-19
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Өзіндік жұмыс 2
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The model represents the interaction between influenza and SARS-CoV-2. The data used is for Catalonia region.
Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 interaction v1
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covid 19 China
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Simula las condiciones para una población de 1 millón de habitantes
Covid-19
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Coronavirus, COVID-19
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COVID-19: description des types de population
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Demo_Group3_COVID-19
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This stock-flow simulation model is to show Covid-19 virus spread rate, sources of spreading and safety measures followed by all the countries affected around the world.
The simulation also aims at predicting for how much more period of time the virus will persist, how many people could recover at what kind of rate and also about the virus toughness dependence based on its excessive speed, giving rise to bigger numbers day-by-day.
covid-19 in France
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COVID-19 THAILAND
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HW5 Version 1: Spread of COVID-19 in Cameroon
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A sample model for class discussion modeling COVID-19 outbreaks and responses from government with the effect on the local economy.  Govt policy is dependent on reported COVID-19 cases, which in turn depend on testing rates less those who recover

Assumptions
Govt policy reduces infection and economic growth in the same way.

Govt policy is trigger when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less.

A greater number of COVID-19 cases has a negative effect on the economy.  This is due to economic signalling that all is not well.

Interesting insights

Higher testing rates seem to trigger more rapid government intervention, which reduces infectious cases.  The impact on the economy though of higher detected cases though is negative. 




Clone of Clone of Burnie COVID-19 outbreak demo model version 2
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Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.

We add simple containment meassures that affect two paramenters, the Susceptible population and the rate to become infected.

The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.

The questions that we want to answer in this kind of models are not the shape of the curves, that are almost known from the beginning, but, when this happens, and the amplitude of the shapes. This is crucial, since in the current circumstance implies the collapse of certain resources, not only healthcare.

The validation process hence becomes critical, and allows to estimate the different parameters of the model from the data we obtain. This simulation approach allows to obtain somethings that is crucial to make decisions, the causality. We can infer this from the assumptions that are implicit on the model, and from it we can make decisions to improve the system behavior.

Yes, simulation works with causality and Flows diagrams is one of the techniques we have to draw it graphically, but is not the only one. On https://sdlps.com/projects/documentation/1009 you can review soon the same model but represented in Specification and Description Language.

SEIRD 02: COVID-19 spread with containment measures
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Системная динамика COVID-19 в Казахстане в 2020 году
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COVID-19 в Бразилии за 2020-2024 года (динамика заболеваний)
6 months ago
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инсайдт2
last month
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Model di samping adalah model SEIR yang telah dimodifikasi sehingga dapat digunakan untuk menyimulasikan perkembangan penyebaran COVID-19.
SEIR Model for COVID-19 in Indonesia (Revised V2)
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Simulasi persebaran Covid-19 di Provinsi Bali tahun 2020.

Asumsi:
1. Belum ada vaksin karena pada tahun 2020 vaksin belum tersedia.
TA Pemsim - SEIR Covid-19 Model