NSW Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “NSW”.

  Exploration of Funding Distribution within Bourke, NSW       This Insight provides a vision of the current crime rate of Bourke and the impact that increases in funding in both community involvement and policing will have. It models this data across 24 months.        Stocks:         General Popula
Exploration of Funding Distribution within Bourke, NSW

This Insight provides a vision of the current crime rate of Bourke and the impact that increases in funding in both community involvement and policing will have. It models this data across 24 months.

Stocks:

General Population of Bourke
This is the general population of Bourke, set by default at the current population of 3000.

Criminals
These are citizens that have been turned to crime due to a lack of community programs and police presence.

Incarcerated Criminals
When a criminal is found to be guilty they are placed in jail for a duration of time before being returned to the general population.

Community Involvement Program Participants
These are members of the public who are engaged with community programs.

Variables:

Size of Police Force
The number of police force members present in Bourke. The value is between 0-1 and represents no funding against full funding.

Funding for Community Programs
This represents the amount of funding committed to community programs. The value is set between 0-1 and represents no funding against full funding.


Description and Assumptions:

This model assumes that even with complete police funding there will never be a complete eradication of crime within Bourke.

Based on statistics gathered from this document:
http://www.aic.gov.au/media_library/publications/tandi_pdf/tandi020.pdf
​Most crimes tend to carry with them a jail time of a year or less. As such, this model averages the amount of time spent incarcerated is 9 months.

This model assumes that the funding for these services will remain consistent across the entire period of time.

The model assumes that community programs will likely last 12 months.

Notable Data Points

As can be seen in the model, an increase in police funding causes an increase in criminals. There is a critical point where an increase in police presence leads to higher incarceration. Prior to this point, there is more crime, but fewer arrests.

An increase in social programs decreases crime overall.
Bourke Town Restoration  ---  The main problem with the people of Bourke is loneliness, and the population. Since the population is too less, it is very difficult to give more exposure to its people and create a cultural and health environment. In the system shown, The main  STOCKS  are the Communit
Bourke Town Restoration 
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The main problem with the people of Bourke is loneliness, and the population. Since the population is too less, it is very difficult to give more exposure to its people and create a cultural and health environment. In the system shown, The main STOCKS are the Community Development and Less/Slow Community Development. 

1. Community Development
- Main Reasons (Variables)
a. People
b. ALS 
c. Education
---
When Bourke's people will get proper education, and there is a greater involvement of the council/ALS/Police in lifting the living standards of people, then they will feel developed and will lead to an overall community development. 
With the Stock and Variable people, there is a two way relation because both are inter-dependent. For this assessment's purpose, the education rate is kept as 70% which is that there should be > 70% population who is educated. 

Convertors 
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For the people, it is necessary that from the day the child is born till the day he/she ages well, he/she should be trained properly to uplift their standards. 

ALS/Council is responsible to carry out the activities that are listed in the KPMG Report in order to make the community development. 

In the STATE Educated, it means that if the people are educated, they will be able to do more work, more employment and eventually, more community development. 

2. Less Development 
This is the present scenario. People are lonely, there is not much education, unemployment rate is high and which is leading to more crimes. This at the end is leading to lesser development and which made sure the Bourke's name is in the most dangerous places to live on the earth! 

Unemployment and Loneliness are the leading factors to crimes


The STATE is Binary which is either 0 or 1. If the people are not educated enough, they will commit crime. 

..
SIMULATION

There are two Simulation. 
a. Community Development
b. Less Development

The initial one is the one with the factors leading to community development. The latter one is the one with the factors leading to lesser development.