Exploration of Funding Distribution within Bourke, NSW
This Insight provides a vision of the current crime rate of Bourke and the impact that increases in funding in both community involvement and policing will have. It models this data across 24 months.
Stocks:
General Population of Bourke
This is the general population of Bourke, set by default at the current population of 3000.
Criminals
These are citizens that have been turned to crime due to a lack of community programs and police presence.
Incarcerated Criminals
When a criminal is found to be guilty they are placed in jail for a duration of time before being returned to the general population.
Community Involvement Program Participants
These are members of the public who are engaged with community programs.
Variables:
Size of Police Force
The number of police force members present in Bourke. The value is between 0-1 and represents no funding against full funding.
Funding for Community Programs
This represents the amount of funding committed to community programs. The value is set between 0-1 and represents no funding against full funding.
Description and Assumptions:
This model assumes that even with complete police funding there will never be a complete eradication of crime within Bourke.
Based on statistics gathered from this document:
http://www.aic.gov.au/media_library/publications/tandi_pdf/tandi020.pdf
Most crimes tend to carry with them a jail time of a year or less. As such, this model averages the amount of time spent incarcerated is 9 months.
This model assumes that the funding for these services will remain consistent across the entire period of time.
The model assumes that community programs will likely last 12 months.
Notable Data Points
As can be seen in the model, an increase in police funding causes an
increase in criminals. There is a critical point where an increase in police presence leads to higher incarceration. Prior to this point, there is more crime, but fewer arrests.
An increase in social programs decreases crime overall.
