Sales Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Sales”.

 
 
 
 
 
  Leading
  10 retailers' share of the apparel market in the UK 2008-2018
  
  
 
 
  Leading
  retailers' share of the apparel market in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2008 and
  2018
  
  
 
 
  
  2008
  2018*
 
 
  M&S
  9.7
  7.6
 
 
  Primark
  4.4
  7
 
 
  Next
  6.7
  6.6
 
 
  Ar
Leading 10 retailers' share of the apparel market in the UK 2008-2018 Leading retailers' share of the apparel market in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2008 and 2018 2008 2018* M&S 9.7 7.6 Primark 4.4 7 Next 6.7 6.6 Arcadia 5.3 3.8 Asda 3.5 3.5 TK Maxx 2.2 3.1 Tesco 2.5 2.9 JD Sports 1.1 2.7 Debenhams 3.3 2.7 Sports Direct 1.3 2.4





Preliminary modelling of UK retail market. Linking GDP, consumer confidence and retail sales

wolfram alpha:

UK GDP per year =£2.08 trillion

UK GDP per week £38461538461

UK GDP per capita =£31177 per year (exchange rate dependent)

UK GDP per capita = £598.78 per capita per week
average UK salary = £29,009 per year
£557 = average wage per capita per week

Approx 2.5% increase in GDP per year

Retail sales strongly cyclical with 12 month period


27.2 million households

household spending info:

disposable income per household = £29,400 median

for clothing 0.042*[disposableincome]

for £ use  0.106*[disposableincome] for supermarket


0.071*[disposableincome] for deptstore
3 weeks ago
 ​Dieses Modell soll aufzeigen, wie sich ein neues Produkt auf das Kundenverhalten auswirkt. Vorteil von Paketen für z.B. eine Bank ist es, dass die Kunden egal welche Produkte sie haben, immer gleich viel bezahlen und somit die Kosten einfacher Berechnet werden können.  Im Weiteren ist die Administ

​Dieses Modell soll aufzeigen, wie sich ein neues Produkt auf das Kundenverhalten auswirkt. Vorteil von Paketen für z.B. eine Bank ist es, dass die Kunden egal welche Produkte sie haben, immer gleich viel bezahlen und somit die Kosten einfacher Berechnet werden können.

Im Weiteren ist die Administration von einem standarisierten Paket einfacher und günstiger, als die Administration der einzelnen Produkte.

Im Modell kann berechnet werden, wie sich die Attraktivität des Paketes gegenüber den Einzelprodukten (in diesem einfachen Modell nur über den Preis definiert) auf das Wechselverhalten der Kunden auswirkt.

 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
Two loop structure which reflects the reinforcing effects of profits/investment, as well as profits/employee retention.
 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


 Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups     The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of
Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


Simple customer growth stock and flow model that considers the impact of referrals, conversion rate and market size.
Simple customer growth stock and flow model that considers the impact of referrals, conversion rate and market size.
Showing the growth obstacles and opportunities.
Showing the growth obstacles and opportunities.