The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W
Jobs Resources Strategy Engineering Technology Sea Economics Ocean Science Mortality Animals Demographics Rural Industrial Urban Services Labor Land Death Fish Population Growth Population Weather Politics Failure Climate Yield Regeneration Fertility Health Pollution Environment Plants Lifetime

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Guy Lakeman
64
Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See IM-333  for the Simulation model and  IM-2178  for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover  
Clinical Care Business Health Care Work Services

Rich picture version of Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62 See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover

 

Burnout Dynamics CLD rich pic
Geoff McDonnell
13
Multiple control mechanisms applied to a services framework See also Service delivery governance constraints  IM-3542
Control Services Health Care Governance
Multiple control mechanisms applied to a services framework See also Service delivery governance constraints IM-3542
Managing Health Service Use
Geoff McDonnell
Jack Homer's model via ithink and Mark Heffernan.  From Jack's  paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62. See  IM-641  for the Causal loop diagram
Work Health Care Services Clinical Care

Jack Homer's model via ithink and Mark Heffernan.  From Jack's  paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62. See IM-641 for the Causal loop diagram

Burnout Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
3
A simple generic rich picture view of interactions among concerned people with needs services and resources and abilities (including learning), which can be used as a pattern for many individual health care insights.
Capability Learning Needs Health Care Concerns Services Resources Governance
A simple generic rich picture view of interactions among concerned people with needs services and resources and abilities (including learning), which can be used as a pattern for many individual health care insights.
Health & Health Care
Geoff McDonnell
9 3 months ago
The dynamics of health care spending, or why it keeps growing. Adapted from Fig 7.6 p154 of Sauwakon Ratanawijitrasin's PhD thesis SUNY Albany 1993 "The dynamics of health care finance: A feedback view of system behavior."
Health Care Supply Services Governance Funding

The dynamics of health care spending, or why it keeps growing. Adapted from Fig 7.6 p154 of Sauwakon Ratanawijitrasin's PhD thesis SUNY Albany 1993 "The dynamics of health care finance: A feedback view of system behavior."

Health Care Spending Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
5
How many hospital beds will we need over the next 20 years? WIP based on HDWA work esp Compile14. A top down approach from the state level.
Capacity Health Care Planning Regional Hospital Services
How many hospital beds will we need over the next 20 years? WIP based on HDWA work esp Compile14. A top down approach from the state level.
Hospital Network Capacity Planning
Geoff McDonnell
From  ODI paper  . Political constraints and perverse incentives that make development plans not implementable and not implemented. See also Managing health service use  IM-17566 Can you close the loops on cause and effect? Can you make it relevant to your own regional services? Could this be put i
Services Regional Politics Governance Shaping Our Healthier Futures
From ODI paper . Political constraints and perverse incentives that make development plans not implementable and not implemented. See also Managing health service use IM-17566
Can you close the loops on cause and effect? Can you make it relevant to your own regional services? Could this be put into a CMO Framework IM-1713?
Service Delivery Governance Constraints
Geoff McDonnell
4
From Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery , by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov  Paper  from July 2013 System dynamics Conference Cambridge MA and also 2012 Conference  paper   Could be extended by adding dynamics described in  going solid insight
Services Health Care Capacity Clinical Care Patient Flow Work
From Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery, by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov Paper from July 2013 System dynamics Conference Cambridge MA and also 2012 Conference paper  Could be extended by adding dynamics described in going solid insight
Care Service Capacity Adjustment
Geoff McDonnell
10
A generic stock and flow map of Cancer Screening and Treatment. See also IM-1525  for a specific Prostate PSA Map and  Reference   See  IM-107014  for a more detailed prostate cancer specific map 
Services Cancer Health Care Decision Making Clinical Care Screening

A generic stock and flow map of Cancer Screening and Treatment. See also IM-1525 for a specific Prostate PSA Map and Reference  See IM-107014 for a more detailed prostate cancer specific map 

Cancer Stock Flow Map
Geoff McDonnell
4
BEACH Report 41 A decade of Australian general practice activity 2006–07 to 2015–16  book  University of Sydney 2016
Health Care Services Medicare Australia GP Primary Care BEACH Activity Patient Flow
BEACH Report 41 A decade of Australian general
practice activity 2006–07 to 2015–16 book University of Sydney 2016
Primary Care GP Activity Australia
Geoff McDonnell
Rich picture CLD of Tradeoffs in Responses to Work Pressure in the Service Industry by Rogelio Oliva California Mgt Review 2001 43(4) 26-43  paper
Health Care Clinical Care Work Services Systems Science Management

Rich picture CLD of Tradeoffs in Responses to Work Pressure in the Service Industry by Rogelio Oliva California Mgt Review 2001 43(4) 26-43 paper


Responses to Service Work Pressure
Geoff McDonnell
3 3 weeks ago
WIP example of Services oriented multiscale computable narrative synthesis focussed on Coping carefully with diabetes
Primary Care Body & Self Chronic Disease Health Care Regional Clinical Care Multiscale Services Diabetes
WIP example of Services oriented multiscale computable narrative synthesis focussed on Coping carefully with diabetes
Diabetes Care
Geoff McDonnell
A general model of flows between hospital and the community. An expanded version is at  IM-623
Regional Health Care Patient Flow Hospital Services
A general model of flows between hospital and the community. An expanded version is at IM-623
Hospital Flow Context 1
Geoff McDonnell
See reference in diagram notes. WIP for Environment part of primary care regional model
Health Care Patient Flow Clinical Care Services Regional Demand
See reference in diagram notes. WIP for Environment part of primary care regional model
Clone of The Ecology of Medical Care
Joachim P Sturmberg
10
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Services Health Care Pricing Hospital Performance Regional Patient Flow IHPA
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance
Geoff McDonnell
WIP Simplified Patient Flow map of features in a SD simulation model of performance of a City Hospital over 5 years. Built after a Regional 20 year planning model  IM-10290  The simulation is a large ithink model built by Mark Heffernan
Performance Hospital Regional Health Care Patient Flow Services
WIP Simplified Patient Flow map of features in a SD simulation model of performance of a City Hospital over 5 years. Built after a Regional 20 year planning model IM-10290 The simulation is a large ithink model built by Mark Heffernan
City Hospital Performance over 5 years
Geoff McDonnell
3 months ago
Fig 4.1 p 86 of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works  Book  by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011). Illustration of the relations among variables that contribute to the value experience. See also Effectiveness  IM-2806
Decision Making Services Needs Value Health Care Action

Fig 4.1 p 86 of Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works Book by E Tory Higgins OUP (2011).

Illustration of the relations among variables that contribute to the value experience. See also Effectiveness IM-2806

The Value Experience
Geoff McDonnell
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Health Care Chronic Disease Primary Care Implementation Services Regional Clinical Care
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Implementing Chronic Care Management
Geoff McDonnell
25
Regulation of resource allocation to service in response to service quality. A non-price-mediated resource allocation system. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p172 Fig 5-27
Performance Control Quality Services Health Care Economics Governance

Regulation of resource allocation to service in response to service quality. A non-price-mediated resource allocation system. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p172 Fig 5-27

Service Quality Balancing Loops
Geoff McDonnell
4
WIP Patient Flow improvement strategies for a City Hospital with 3 years historical data and two year planning horizon. Built after a Generic Teaching Hospital Model  IM-10346  A simplified stock flow map is at  IM-399
Hospital Health Care Regional Patient Flow Performance Services
WIP Patient Flow improvement strategies for a City Hospital with 3 years historical data and two year planning horizon. Built after a Generic Teaching Hospital Model IM-10346 A simplified stock flow map is at IM-399
Hospital Seasonal ED and Ward Flow Improvement
Geoff McDonnell
A simple SD model ​From alonge2017 health policy and planning  article
Funding Health Care Services Performance Quality Clinical Care
A simple SD model ​From alonge2017 health policy and planning article
Pay for Performance in Low Income Health Facilities
Geoff McDonnell
Jenny W. Rudolph Nelson P.Repenning Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse Administrative Science Quarterly,47(2002):1-30  paper    
Performance Resilience Services Organization Health Care Stress Work

Jenny W. Rudolph Nelson P.Repenning Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse Administrative Science Quarterly,47(2002):1-30 paper  

Disaster Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
Based on Ransohoff DF, McNaughton Collins M, Fowler FJ. Why is prostate cancer screening so common when the evidence is so uncertain? A system without negative feedback. Am J Med. 2002;113:663-7. See  IM-15991  for a generic Stock Flow Map
Services Health Care Diagnosis Investigation Decision Making Clinical Care Cancer Screening Psa Test

Based on Ransohoff DF, McNaughton Collins M, Fowler FJ. Why is prostate cancer screening so common when the evidence is so uncertain? A system without negative feedback. Am J Med. 2002;113:663-7. See IM-15991 for a generic Stock Flow Map

Prostate Cancer Screening
Geoff McDonnell