Insight diagram
System Modeling 4
Insight diagram
Unfolding story of a fuller picture based on the history, uses and abuses of the term as covered in wikipedia, with system dynamics work on fisheries and climate change
Tragedy of the commons and dynamic complexity
11 months ago
Insight diagram
Gene Bellinger's Certified Systems Thinker  course requires several causation models to be developed. This is my second sheet of such models.
Clone of Certified Systems Thinker #2
Insight diagram

This model contains components supporting the Fire the Bunch example for Systemic Perspective Development Guide.


Challenge the assumptions around aging AR symptoms 

1. The named issues are potential problem statements-in my experience these are the least likely cause.  

2. We can conclude the same lower probability and unlikely to be the actual source of the problem.   

In high tech or industries with products and services we can assume the introduction of stronger controls around software and management of the software when forced into a product model.   The primary threat for most ADVANCED or medium risk.  
While some cases may have the probability to be simply resource performance or lack of.  

The most common problem which has been associated with the complaints or problem targets in this model have more to do with understanding the different revenue triggers in an offer.

Serious again AR reports with specific customers of higher dollar amounts, two distinct patterns identified

1. High Dollar large Enterprise or Global Customer

AND 

2. Aging beyond 90 days

In the situations where both 1 & 2 are true; assume a different problem.  Large customers typically do not buy boxes.  These customers can buy in bulk at discounted rates.  

If a customer purchased from you and you are not a large distribution house or similar sized strategic partner with other large customers.  You are far more likely to be moving from boxes to solutions.   The growing pains tend to be greatest around unpaid invoices in AR.  

Not having a resource or business model to support the solution concept?  Dig deeper-3rd party service providers may be doing the work.  

Custom solutions are always new-as these models are never straightforward and no two solution providers have managed to deliver in the same way.  

Prevent

The highway analogy was designed specifically for this purpose.  

See the "offer type" to aid in the way you might distinguish between the various growing pains.   

See the two sections near the end of the prezi which supply the context for comparing inputs from supplier expenses to inputs from revenue.   
http://prezi.com/zermje-isahd/1-design-strategy-and-value-for-your-new-coaching-business/

Each lane corresponds to the low=Fast lane, medium=middle and high = Slow lane

Solutions

In the North Bound direction, you can assume payment upon reaching the final destination. In some cases we are talking about a year.  

If not a solution - then you are likely dealing with other problems such as...
Do partial shipments prompt an invoice?   

Customers will most often pay when all components are shipped and actually mark your organization lower for making their effort higher to check in each part or the components individually.   

The customers warehouse moves often throughout the day, the chances of losing components are greater and problematic. In the voice of the customer you will find many customers know the problem can be avoided if your process shipped all components upon the full orders readiness.    

Does the invoice issue based on shipment of product or software?  

A server without the license admin - cannot be billed until registration of the software.  

Hardware must be loaded to download or load from CD an admin server seat.  

No clients nor the Server admin can be invoiced until the various hardware components are complete and tested.  

Revenue recognition on the hardware may be the price for a server and all components.  The customer can dispute the invoice until the point of registration of the server admin.  

Drop ship from supplier to customer initiates an invoice?
When drop ship prompts an invoice the process must be redefine to align with the appropriate risk type.   

Auditors will eventually realize your invoice issue and ability to accurately

Highway Model Revenue Transaction Capability
Insight diagram

The calorie reduction by Gene, copied so I can include stress, high intensity exercise, sleep and carb restriction.

Clone of Weight Loss System
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System Modeling 4: Mapping Protein formation
6 days ago
Insight diagram
Week4M
6 days ago
Insight diagram
Protein production is a distributed, compartmentalized system that depends on both information flow (DNA → mRNA) and material flow (amino acids → protein). Some material contributes to functional protein, while other material is lost through degradation or quality control and exits the system.
Mapping Protein
6 days ago
Insight diagram
Clone of Gene Bellinger's simulation insight  ( This is one of the few foundation archetypes., the others being the growth structure and independent growth at insight  foundation trilogy. separated out so one could work with it in isolation. See also ArchetypesVideoTrilogy ); Health examples relevant to the audience are in the notes (which may be changed)
Clone of Independent Growth (for Health)
Insight diagram
Insecticide Resistance In Mosquitoes
Insight diagram
SM4
7 days ago
Insight diagram
My Insight
7 days ago
Insight diagram

The calorie reduction by Gene, copied so I can include stress, high intensity exercise, sleep and carb restriction.

Clone of Weight Loss System
Insight diagram
From lund lancet psychiatry article april 2018
Social determinants of mental disorders
Insight diagram

 Learning THread for hybrid models including Grimm's ODD and Nate Osgood's ABM Modeling Process and Courses

Clone of Dynamic Models Learning Content
Insight diagram

The calorie reduction by Gene, copied so I can include stress, high intensity exercise, sleep and carb restriction.

Clone of Weight Loss System
Insight diagram
Protein Formation
7 days ago
Insight diagram
CIVE: Progress Report 1
Insight diagram

Use a savings account model to investigate the manner in which inflows and outflows govern the quantity of a stock. Extend the structure to create and investigate the relathionships of a growth producing reinforcing loop.

PCN Notes: change structure so that <time> is not needed in equation for interest, and share with Gene.

Clone of Clone of Savings Account (Part 1)
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Week 4 Model
last week
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The Moran process: the simplest possible selection process in a population of two traits A and B. In each generation, a random part of the population is chosen to reproduce at the expense of the opposite trait.

The take-home message is this: random genetic drift always leads to one species supplanting another, but only if the drift is sufficiently particulate. As the drift becomes more and more continuous, so the duration of the fixation process approaches infinity.

To test this, start with mu=1 and notice that the simulation quickly runs to fixation (either A or B equal to 10). mu is the quantity of population that mutate between A and B in a single generation. For mu=1, this means all individuals in either the A or B population transfer to the other side in the first generation, so clearly fixation occurs in the first generation.

But now reduce mu to 0.5, and notice that fixation takes a little longer. Then try mu = 0.25, 0.2, 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01 and notice how long fixation takes.

This was Gregor Mendel's great insight: genes are particulate. If they were not, traits would not fixate, but would instead smear over time into averaged trait values.
Moran
Insight diagram
This currently links to Gene's more generic Enabling a Better Tomorrow This will be the entry point for the Shaping Our Healthier Futures thread. If you haven't previously reviewed the Adventures in Wonderland concept please do so as wandering in this environment is likely to make a lot more sense afterwards.
Clone of Clone of Enabling a Better Tomorrow