Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.

On the occasion of th G20-meeting in Toronto, the German Economics minister Herr Schaüble said that without restoring confidence it would not be possible to get consumer spending and business investment going. Similar remarks were made by David Cameron and Señor Zapatero of Spain. All maintain that confidence is a pre-requisite to get growth going and that, therefore, it was imperative to reduce fiscal deficits. Reducing the fiscal deficit will restore confidence at first. However, reducing the deficit very quickly will introduce a dynamic that may cause the economy to decline - and perhaps depress  consumers demand even further.  It will actually destroy confidence: few businesses are inclined to invest in a shrinking economy. Cutting the deficit too rapidly or too steeply can lead to a confidence trap.

NOTE: A big experiment is now taking place in the UK - the government has cut public spending severely! Will this lead to hardship and, perhaps, social unrest? 

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.

An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.

An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.

The purpose of this model intends to supply common methods of measuring a population in a formal structure or known delivery model (as is). 


WICKED - student in an experienced based project
Ideally, a new education offer where students can model their community needs based on the population grouped in age appropriate sectors. 

Various needs are currently aggregated by these groups and therefore mapping the current offer to the new offers might be done by creating the vector or variables on either side of the stock and flow link. 

The model can best show the way a zip code maps the specific values into a city, county, state or nation. 

• How many people are located in Geographical Information Systems? 
• How many people are located in a zip code? 

The insight maker tool offers a host of simulation methods or adding in the details about the population allows the modeler an opportunity to simulate proposed changes.  

If we assume the stock and flow diagram is staged by any high school student in advanced courses, community college, university student or professional development program. Ideally, credits and nominal wages are paid to increase the economic development of those with the greatest need. 

Supporting the community wellness to happiness can be measured based on

Using a simulation model with generic variables enables others who adopt the model to expand upon the generic for local preferences with the assumption that the definitions are not altered at the generic layer.  

The outputs from the models must be retained for ongoing use as a national input (international if agreements can be attained) for the social responsibility metric and gauge of equal balance within the education systems.  

Those with the greatest need can be identified by the population density by zip code as done in 1998 in Escutia legislation for California.  

Zip Codes are static-population density by various variables are dynamic by Nation, State, County, City and school. 

Modeling the formal to informal education model in an open system modeling tool. 

Policy decisions which enable state or national networks of schools that work are an option for transforming schools.
Rocket ship education reached a landmark decision to open 20 new charter schools over a 3 year period. 

• In cases where a district spans more than one district or city we must adopt the county metric.  

From Jay Forrester 1988 killian lectures youtube video describing system dynamics at MIT. For more detailed biography See Jay Forrester memorial webpage For MIT HIstory see IM-184930 For Applications se IM-185462

I made this model to simulate how a companies revenue will change depending on the lifetime of the appliances it manufactures, in combination with the ratio of repair costs and price. It also shows the accumulation of e-waste.

Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.

Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen's illustration of Hyman Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis "stability begets instability". This can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.