The macroeconomic ruel: SPENDING = INCOME = OUTPUT, WHICH DRIVES EMPLOYMENT is presented here in a schematic form. Output can be taken to be equivalent to GDP. In order to maintain output it is necessary for all the income earned to be spent. If this is not the case, then companies find they have excess unsold stock on their hands and will cut back on production. This, in time, will lead to an increase in unemployment as companies need fewer employees. The shortfall in spending can be made up by any of the three sectors that contribute to total output. However, in cases where a country has a trade deficit and where the private sector is not spending or investing enough, the only option is for the government to Net Spend i.e. to spend more than it collected in taxes causing a fiscal deficit.
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system! (governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)
The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed
The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks
See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)
This is an economic growth and collapse model based on the Seneca model described by Ugo Bardi. In this implementation, however, direct positive feedback of existing pollution level on pollution increase is replaced with direct positive feedback of existing pollution level on economic loss (i.e. pollution drags down the economy)
Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. Older version cloned at IM-46280
This model was designed from the SIR
model(susceptible, infected, recovered) to determine the effect of the covid-19
outbreak on economic outcomes via government policy.
Assumptions:
The government policy is triggered when the
number of infected is more than ten.
The government policies will take a negative
effect on Covid-19 outbreaks and the financial system.
Parameters:
We set some fixed and adjusted variables.
Covid-19 outbreak's parameter
Fixed parameter: Background
disease.
Adjusted parameters: Infection rate, recovery rate. Immunity loss rate can be
changed from vaccination rate.
Government policy's parameters
Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15
to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social
distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)
Economic's parameters
Fixed parameter: Tourism
Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from
0.3 to 0.5)
Interesting insight
An increased vaccination rate and testing
rate will decrease the number of infected cases and have a little
more negative effect on the economic system. However, the financial system
still needs a long time to recover in both cases.
BMA708_Assignment 3_Nguyen Dang Khoa Vo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Webb. The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Jim Webb POTUS candidate economic policy
Grocery Store Inventory is a stock that
represents the amount of perishable food units available for sale to consumers.
This stock is directly affected by the forces of economics as grocers can only
sell at the level that their produce is demanded. As a result, once this stock exceeds
demand, it will rise as food no longer sold.
Overstock Waste is a stock that is
designed to model the overstock display assumption which states that consumers
have more incentive to purchase foods from fully stocked piles rather than
empty ones. This stock exists and accumulates over time because grocers
purchase excess produce to give buyers incentive.
Ugly Food Stock is the stock that
represent the amount of perfectly nutritious ugly produce neglected by
consumers as they only buy the prettiest clusters from the display. This stock
includes foods such as brown bananas, dented apples, and so forth. These ugly
foods are left behind in addition to the overstock waste.
Education Programs is the stock that contains
the amount of ugly foods delivered to local school districts for educating
students on the significance of ugly food discrimination. These foods are
utilized in various forms of comparative demonstrations to illustrate to
students that ugly foods are just as nutritious as prettier alternatives.
Compost Alternatives is the stock that
depicts the efforts of grocery stores trying to implement a method that allows
them to reduce the amount of waste they send to the landfill. These compost
methods may be in the form on enriched manure given back to the farmers that
supply the produce.
10 Food Units/Resale Output is the variable that
illustrates the amount of food units required to make a product for resale. For
example, it takes 10 units of melons to make an assorted melon platter.
Likewise, a single smoothie for resale will require 5 units of assorted fruits.
