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Class Economics
12 months ago
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Difficulties with formulae and links
Problems with formulae and links
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State Goverment Fiscal Policy model
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Multiscale view of Combined PH and Economic Views IM 70763  in preparation for integrating with Prevention Investment Framework (private) IM
Multiscale Zoomable Prevention Model View
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Economic Human Development Sub Model
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Summary of UNEP ecosystems services CBA 2011 article by Wegner and Pascual
Value and cost benefit analysis
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Socio-Economic Model (final)
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Final Project Socio-Economic Model
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Lab 13:Base Model
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Private CCP Project  Clone of WIP IM-87444 which is based on Mascia2017 Analyzing conservation strategies article and other mostly private insights. A more detailed form of structure agency IM-1163 
For making a specific intervention type project project framework draft for workshop 2 (Feb)
CCP Intervention Types Mechanisms and Effects
7 months ago
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This model illustrates the current practice and consequences of government spending. Following the direction of the arrows from right to left the model shows the following sequence based on current practice:

Government Spending at a certain point leads to spending in excess of tax receipts. This will automatically lead to the issue of treasuries in the belief that the excess spending must be financed by borrowing (although the government has the capacity to create  money). This in turn will increase the national debt.

 Consequences that follow from this practice:

1) That national debt increases whenever the government spends in excess of tax receipts.

2) That the government must pay interest on the debt issued, which in turn increases and reinforces the need for government spending.

3) That the interest paid on treasuries will increase private sector income.

There is an alternative view, supported by Modern Monetary Theory, of how government spending can proceed. Please see this  Insight: 

https://insightmaker.com/insight/19954

Government Spending (Current Practice)
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Final Project
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This paper aims at describing a case where system dynamics modeling was used to evaluate the effects of information and material supply lead-time variation on sales contributions margins and operating cash conversion cycle of a commodity export business.  An empirical dynamic model, loaded with econometric theory of price effect on competitive demand, was used to describe the input data.  The model simulation outputs proved themselves relevant in analyzing the complex interconnections of multiple variables affecting  the profitability in a commercial routine, supporting the decision process among sales managers.

SDR Case study System dynamic modelling
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Fig 4. The Casual Loop Diagram of the Socio-Political and Economic Subsystems
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This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Gilmore's economic policy based on the information at: http://www.gilmoreforamerica.com/jims-growth-code/  The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA) available: ​ http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Jim Gilmore Economic Policy
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THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

2018 OVERPOPULATION LEADS TO POLLUTION based on Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
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Untitled Insight
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COVID Systemigram
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Lab 13:Scenario 1
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Part 2 of Lab 1
Van Dusen_Energy Economics and Fossil Fuel
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From Jennifer Prah Ruger (2010) Health Capability Conceptualization and Operationalization Am J Public Health 100 p41-49 available from SSRN. Extends Insight 779 with Dahlgren and Whitehead's Sunrise Diagram of Social Determinants of Health added. See also wikipedia Capability Approach
Health Capability and Social Determinants
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WIP Dynamic map from Steve Keen's Minsky at 100 Lecture video and slides and later Emergent Macroeconomics papers
Minsky Instability from Macrodefinitions Keen
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Este modelo es una copia de "Goodwin Business Cycle". Quité al menos una variable y aproximé la relación discreta entre el nivel de empleo y el crecimiento anual del salario con una función basada en la tangente hiperbólica.

Ciclo de conyunctura de Goodwin
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WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's Book Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy 
Killing the Host