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Ocean Acidification at the Great Barrier Reef
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
INVESTMENT w LOSSES
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Q3 Final Project w/ socio-economic
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Socio-Economic Model (final)
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Final Project Socio-Economic Model
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Final Project
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This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Gilmore's economic policy based on the information at: http://www.gilmoreforamerica.com/jims-growth-code/  The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA) available: ​ http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Jim Gilmore Economic Policy
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Book Fig. 42-43 Economic capital with its reinforcing growth loop constrained by a renewable resource.
6 months ago
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Class Economics
10 months ago
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Economic Human Development Sub Model
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EcoCinco_Deforestation_Land Changes
4 months ago
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Model description:
This model is designed to simulate the outbreak of Covid-19 in Burnie in Tasmania, death cases, the governmental responses and Burnie local economy. 

More importantly, the impact of governmental responses to both Covid-19 infection and to local economy, the impact of death cases to local economy are illustrated. 

The model is based on SIR (Susceptible, Infected and recovered) model. 

Variables:
The simulation takes into account the following variables: 

Variables related to Covid-19: (1): Infection rate. (2): Recovery rate. (3): Death rate. (4): Immunity loss rate. 

Variables related to Governmental policies: (1): Vaccination mandate. (2): Travel restriction to Burnie. (3): Economic support. (4): Gathering restriction.

Variables related to economic growth: Economic growth rate. 

Adjustable variables are listed in the part below, together with the adjusting range.

Assumptions:
(1): Governmental policies are aimed to control(reduce) Covid-19 infections and affect (both reduce and increase) economic growth accordingly.

(2) Governmental policy will only be applied when reported cases are 10 or more. 

(3) The increasing cases will negatively influence Burnie economic growth.

Enlightening insights:
(1) Vaccination mandate, when changing from 80% to 100%, doesn't seem to affect the number of death cases.

(2) Governmental policies are effectively control the growing death cases and limit it to 195. 

Burnie Tasmania Covid - 19 outbreak simulation Model by Yankang Huang 541 277
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Overview of Part D Ch 17 to 19 of Mitchell Wray and Watts Textbook see IM-164967 for book overview
Unemployment and Inflation Theory and Policy
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1 тапсырма
11 months ago
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Do you like travelling? Find out how we can help make it more sustainable!

Images used:
Suitcase: 
http://vignette2.wikia.nocookie.net/animaljam/images/a/ab/Travel-suitcase_(1).png/revision/latest?cb=20140907211051
Fiji: http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/91c1263a2a357b3673af8ff8362c0c8d?width=1024
Hotels:
https://taj.tajhotels.com/content/dam/luxury/hotels/taj-palace-delhi/images/master2/16x7/38849817-H1-Exterior_1-16x7.jpg
Poverty:
http://www.montana.edu/extensionecon/images/povertywordcloud.jpg
Leverage Point
https://image.slidesharecdn.com/genderinintegratedsystemsresearchbycynthiamcdougallseniorscientistgenderequitythemeleader-150311041710-conversion-gate01/95/gender-in-integrated-systems-research-by-cynthia-mcdougall-senior-scientist-gender-equity-theme-leader-25-638.jpg?cb=1426065542

Sources:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/270422/forecast-for-2020-arrivals-of-foreign-tourists-worldwide/

http://www.sustainabletourism.net

Week 10 Lecture- Dr. David Tindall Lecture pdf

https://www.adb.org/countries/fiji/poverty

Economic Impact of Tourism on Fiji's Economy: Empirical Evidence from Computable General Equilibrium Model by Paresh Kumar Narayan

https://www.wttc.org/-/media/files/reports/economic%20impact%20research/countries%202015/fiji2015.pdf

http://sustainabletravel.org/our-work/regional-alliances/pacific/hotel-sustainable-resources-pacific/

http://reusegraywater.com/about-us/

Rubin, K.E., The Valuation of Hotels and Motels for Assessment Purposes, 1984

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage-point_modeling

Meadows, D.H., & Wright, D. (2009). Thinking in systems: a primer, London: Earthscan.






Sustainable Tourism (Final)
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Clone of Lab 13 Base Model
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This version 8B of the CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION model. A net Benefit ROI has been added. The Compare results feature allows comparison of alternative intervention portfolios.  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Relative magnitudes and durations of impact remain in need of further data & adjustment (calibration). In the interests of maintaining steady progress and respecting budget & time constraints, significant simplifying assumptions have been made: assumptions that mitigate both completeness & accuracy of the outputs.  This model meets the criteria for a Capability demonstration model, but should not be taken as complete or realistic in terms of specific magnitudes of effect or sufficient build out of causal dynamics.  Rather, the model demonstrates the interplay of a minimum set of causal forces on a net student progress construct -- as informed and extrapolated from the non-causal research literature.
Provided further interest and funding, this  basic capability model may further developed and built out to: higher provenance levels -- coupled with increased factorization, rigorous causal inclusion and improved parameterization.
Version 8B with story: Calibrated Student-Home-Teachers-Classroom-LEA-Spending
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A better understanding of the interlinkages between Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is key to designing policies which best use synergies between different policy priorities and best avoid trade-offs between the achievement of different policy goals. Although a large number of research projects has been devoted to impact and sustainability assessment, a methodological framework to assess these interlinkages is still missing.
SDG Model - test run
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 Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen. THis can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.

Minsky Financial Instability Model
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Part 2 of Lab 1
Van Dusen_Energy Economics and Fossil Fuel
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3. PROBLEMAS e  PERGUNTAS SOBRE  projetos de SISTEMA INTEGRADO DE GESTÃO CUSTOS , INVESTIMENTOS BASEADO MODELOS MATEMÁTICOS: veja  https://docs.google.com/document/d/1oGmItBcErhVF0PWuI37AnpP3n8Up3Zu45W7QB1MMbcY/edit?usp=sharing

Projeto  de investimentos , custos   e viabilidade econômico de LCC

A planta foi dimensionada para produzir 9.000 Ton/ano da Resina usando o matéria prima

LCC , operando 24h/dia, durante os três turnos por 300 dias/anuais. O preço do produto de projeto de lcc 

veja  o prova html aula passados 


1. Calcule o investimento em planta (If) usando o método rápido e investimento em

equipamento (Ie) baseado no método de lang. Admita valor de N e f1 de acordo com o fluxograma do processo.

Dados fornecidos: Entrada (alimentação)-sólido; Saída-líquido;

Equipamentos principais da produção: Destilador e fermentador.

2. Calcule o investimento fixo total pelo método chilton através das estimativas dos investimentos fixos diretos: Tubulação, instrumentação, estrutura física, planta de serviço e conexões entre unidades; e investimentos fixos indiretos. Tome como base o investimento em equipamentos.

             veja dados na prova html   simulados sobre fator chiltons , modelos  de lang , decico , chiltons e dados na prova html 


3. Calcule o custo de mão-de- obra direta e indireta baseando-se no fluxograma de processo , atualizando  o valor salário mínimo e nos salários:

Valor do salário mínimo = R$180,00

Engenheiro químico = 10 salários mínimos

Operador industrial = 3 salários mínimos

Administração:

Gerente = 8 salários mínimos

Auxiliar de escritório = 3 salários mínimos

Secretária = 2 salários mínimos

Dados fornecidos: Considere os encargos sociais de 65% sobre o salário base. Mão-de- obra

indireta seja 20% da mão-de- obra direta. O custo de mão-de- obra indireta engloba

manutenção.

4. Calcule os custos fixos abaixo, baseando-se pelo método Sebrae:

Dados 

4.1 Depreciação = 10%If

4.2 Manutenção = 3%If

4.3 Seguro = 1%If

4.4 Imposto = 2%If

5. Calcule o custo de consumo anual de matéria-prima de acordo com os dados  , veja prova html a seguir 

5.2 Calcule o custo unitário de matéria prima sendo 80% do valor do custo total anual da

matéria-prima. , dados  , veja na link enunciados  e prova html 

6. Calcule os custos totais:

6.1 Encargos anuais

6.2 Administração = 0.6 (mão-de- obra direta + mão-de- obra indireta + encargos anuais)

6.3 Suprimentos = 0.15 (Manutenção)

6.4 Calcule os custos fixos

6.5 Calcule os custos variáveis

6.6 Calcule os custos variáveis

* Os custos fixos englobam administração

Custo variável = custo de matéria – prima + custo de utilitários + custo de suprimentos.

Custo de suprimentos é 10% da mão-de- obra direta.

Depreciação = 10% do investimento fixo.

7. Estimar o ponto de equilíbrio em quantidade e em porcentagem baseado em dados obtidos de custo variável unitário) e Custo fixo do problema 06.


8. Estime os itens da análise de investimento:

– Taxa de retorno de engenharia simples

– Tempo de retorno

– % de lucro em relação ao preço de venda

– Lucro após o imposto de renda

– Lucratividade

– Rentabilidade

– Fluxo de caixa

9. Estimar potencial econômico de projeto de perdas devido ao baixo rendimento de operação em nível de 90% de rendimento máximo em vez de 98%.

 

 Dados de  consumos de  materiais e energia obtidos  via uso de calculadora usando    quiz html de modelos já apresentados aula passos





NOME E DESCRIÇÃO

LINK

TAMANHO

Prova1validacao.:Investimento Fixo e Tomada de Decisões Rápidas

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184101

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Prova.2 Validacao .Investimento fixo método Lang

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184144

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Prova 3 :Investimento Fixo método Chilton

ihttps://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184169


33 KB

Prova4:Custo Fixo

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184189

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Prova 5::Custo de mao de obra

customaohtm custo de mao de obra

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Prova 6 Validao : Custo de mat,comb e enegia

CustoMat prima , energia

34 KB

Prova 7 Custo total

custo de operacional  de  producao

33 KB

Prova 8 Ponto deEquilibrio 

ponto de eqilibrioibrio

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Prova 9:Analise de lucro e beneficios

Fluxo de caixa

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gestao economical planta resina fenolicas lcc .Modelos e resultados validados validado via planilhas
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This is a simplification of the Austerity vs Prosperity model in the hope that it will be easier to understand.
@LinkedInTwitterYouTube
Austerity vs Prosperity v0
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http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2014/01/diagrams-dollars-modern-money-illustrated-part-1.html
Economic Systems Thinking
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Wrong Q2 Final Project w/ socio-economic