This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Jim Webb. The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Jim Webb POTUS candidate economic policy
Modern industrial civilisation has created massive
interdependencies which define it and without which it could not function. We all
depend on industrial farming to produce the food we eat, we depend on gasoline
being available at the gas station, on the
availability of electricity and even on the bread supplied by the local baker. Naturally,
we tend to support the institutions that supply the amenities and goods to
which we have become accustomed: if we get our food from the local supermarket,
it is likely that we would be opposed to it’s closure. This means that the economic
system that relies on continuous growth enjoys implicit societal support and that
nothing short of environmental disaster or a shortage of essential raw
materials will impede it’s growing indefinitely. It is not hard to work out the
consequences of this situation!
Clone of The Inescapable Dynamic of Economic Growth (Version 2)
From Jay Forrester 1988 killian lectures youtube video describing system dynamics at MIT. For more detailed biography See Jay Forrester memorial webpage For MIT HIstory see IM-184930 For Applications se IM-185462
This Insight model is the last in a series of models that examine the dynamics of population growth and decline in a simple environment. The first model can be found here. It follows on from a series of three Insights that introduce the basic concepts of Systems Dynamics that can be found here.
The model refines the concept of carrying capacity by introducing dynamic resources that the population depends on to thrive.
The models are based on the activities from an Open University short course that can be accessed here.
Understanding the Environment 101: Activity 5C Overshoot and Collapse
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Martin O'Malley based on the information at: https://martinomalley.com/vision/
The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
Starts from the bathtub model of economics developed by TSSEF.se (see the explanation here). It adds rich and poor and you can change the constraints on the system by moving the sliders (taxes, wages, rates, dividends etc) to see how the economic system functions at national level.
I have tried every combination I can but I think you will agree with me that the system is unstable. OR maybe I forgot something.
Theory of Structural Change for IAMO Research Group
The part-whole paradigm
Examples of
research issues addressed here include the path dependence of farm structures,
regime shifts in land-system change, as well as transitional processes in the
evolution of farm structures and innovation systems. All these issues feature
counter-intuitive systemic properties that could not have been predicted using
standard agricultural economics tools. The key strength of the research group
in regard to the part-whole paradigm is the internationally renowned expertise
in the agent-based modelling of agricultural policy. (More on what happened here until now / is happening now)
The system-environment paradigm
This paradigm is represented by conceptual
research drawing inspiration from Niklas Luhmann’s theory of “complexity-reducing”
and “operationally closed” social systems. The attributes of complexity
reduction and operational closure are shown to generate sustainability
problems, conflicts, social dilemmas, ethical issues, and divergent mental
models. The organizing idea explaining these phenomena is the
complexity-sustainability trade-off, i.e., the tendency of the operationally
closed systems to develop excessive internal complexity that overstrains the
carrying capacity of the environment. Until now, the conceptual work along
these lines has focused on developing the systems-theoretic principles of
ecological degradation and highlighted the sustainability-enhancing role of
nonprofit organizations and corporate social responsibility. Another overarching
topic has been the analysis of connections between Luhmann’s social systems
theory and the evolutionary economics approaches, such as those of Thorstein
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Any activity requires the use of energy. Economic activity
is not possible without energy,
especially fossil fuels. An increase in economic activity necessarily
leads to an increase in the use fossil
fuels and greenhouse gas emissions. In addition there will be a commensurate increase in waste products,
pollution and heat. This is dictated by the laws of physics and unavoidable. A problem arise when the cost of this degeneration
caused by continual economic growth surpasses the benefit society derives from it. The ecological economist Professor Herman Daly (2014) explained that
when the impact on the ecosystem is correctly measured, global growth has reached
a point where the total private and social costs of economic growth outweigh
the private and social benefits. In other words, more economic growth is making global society worse off overall - growth has become uneconomic! The model
shows that eventually pressures will build up that counteract the perennial
belief that all social ills can be solved with economic growth.
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Bernie Sanders. The method used is Integrative Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
This model was designed from the SIR model(susceptible, infected, recovered) to determine the effect of the covid-19 outbreak on economic outcomes via government policy.
Assumptions
The government policy is triggered when the number of infected is more than ten.
The government policies will take a negative effect on Covid-19 outbreaks and the financial system.
Adjusted parameter: Immunity loss rate can be changed from vaccination rate.
Government policy's parameters
Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15 to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)
Economic's parameters
Fixed parameter: Tourism
Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from 0.3 to 0.5)
Interesting insight
An increased vaccination rate and testing rate will decrease the number of infected cases and have a little more negative effect on the economic system. However, the financial system still needs a long time to recover in both cases.
