This model is comparing healthy and sick residents in Burnie, Tasmania after the Covid-19 Outbreak in 2020. It will also show how the Burnie economy is effected by the disease, how the Government Health Policies are implemented and how they are enforced.  This model is based on the SIR, Susceptible,
This model is comparing healthy and sick residents in Burnie, Tasmania after the Covid-19 Outbreak in 2020. It will also show how the Burnie economy is effected by the disease, how the Government Health Policies are implemented and how they are enforced.

This model is based on the SIR, Susceptible, Infection, Recovery (or Removed) These are the three possible states related to the members of the Burnie population when a contagious decease spreads.

The Government/Government Health Policy, played a big part in the successful decrease in Covid-19 infections. The Government enforced the following.
- No travel (interstate or international)
- Isolation within the residents homes
- Social distancing by 1.5m
- Quarantine
- Non essential companies to be temporarily closed
- Limitations on public gatherings
- And limits on time and kilometers aloud to travel from ones home within a local community

This resulted in lower reported infection rates of Covid-19 and higher recovery rates.

In my opinion:
When the first case was reported the Government could have been even faster to enforce these rules to decrease the fatality rates further for the Burnie, population.  

Assumption: Government policies were only triggered when 10 cases were recorded.
Also, more cases that had been recorded effected the economic growth during this time.

Interesting Findings: In the simulation it shows as the death rates increases towards the end of the week, the rate of testing goes down. You would think that the government would have enforced a higher testing rate over the duration of this time to decrease the number of infections, exposed which would increase the recovery rates faster and more efficiently.  

Figures have been determined by the population of Burnie being 19,380 at the time of assignment.

A simple stock-flow diagram depicting the development of the number of people with social assistance from 2008 - 2019 in the Netherlands based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics.
A simple stock-flow diagram depicting the development of the number of people with social assistance from 2008 - 2019 in the Netherlands based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics.
Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Current and proposed Structure of CCP and related Models expanding on the details provided in the Project Completion plan  IM-101760
Current and proposed Structure of CCP and related Models expanding on the details provided in the Project Completion plan IM-101760
Do you like travelling? Find out how we can help make it more sustainable!    Images used:   Suitcase:    http://vignette2.wikia.nocookie.net/animaljam/images/a/ab/Travel-suitcase_(1).png/revision/latest?cb=20140907211051   Fiji:  http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/91c1263a2a357b3673af8ff8362c0c8d?w
Do you like travelling? Find out how we can help make it more sustainable!

Images used:
Suitcase: 
http://vignette2.wikia.nocookie.net/animaljam/images/a/ab/Travel-suitcase_(1).png/revision/latest?cb=20140907211051
Fiji: http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/91c1263a2a357b3673af8ff8362c0c8d?width=1024
Hotels:
https://taj.tajhotels.com/content/dam/luxury/hotels/taj-palace-delhi/images/master2/16x7/38849817-H1-Exterior_1-16x7.jpg
Poverty:
http://www.montana.edu/extensionecon/images/povertywordcloud.jpg
Leverage Point
https://image.slidesharecdn.com/genderinintegratedsystemsresearchbycynthiamcdougallseniorscientistgenderequitythemeleader-150311041710-conversion-gate01/95/gender-in-integrated-systems-research-by-cynthia-mcdougall-senior-scientist-gender-equity-theme-leader-25-638.jpg?cb=1426065542

Sources:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/270422/forecast-for-2020-arrivals-of-foreign-tourists-worldwide/

http://www.sustainabletourism.net

Week 10 Lecture- Dr. David Tindall Lecture pdf

https://www.adb.org/countries/fiji/poverty

Economic Impact of Tourism on Fiji's Economy: Empirical Evidence from Computable General Equilibrium Model by Paresh Kumar Narayan

https://www.wttc.org/-/media/files/reports/economic%20impact%20research/countries%202015/fiji2015.pdf

http://sustainabletravel.org/our-work/regional-alliances/pacific/hotel-sustainable-resources-pacific/

http://reusegraywater.com/about-us/

Rubin, K.E., The Valuation of Hotels and Motels for Assessment Purposes, 1984

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage-point_modeling

Meadows, D.H., & Wright, D. (2009). Thinking in systems: a primer, London: Earthscan.






Circular equations WIP for Runy.    Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. 
Circular equations WIP for Runy.

Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. 
WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's  Book  Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy 
WIP Summary of MIchael Hudson's Book Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt destroy the Global Economy