Pathways Causal Loop - Health
WIP Overview model structures of Khalid Saeed's 2014 WPI paper Jay
Forrester’s Disruptive Models of Economic Behavior See also General SD and Macroeconomics CLDs IM-168865
Jay Forrester's Disruptive Economic Models
Method with the feedback loops
Dynamic_Model_System dynamics approach to Isernia CBA
Any activity requires the use of energy. Economic activity
is not possible without energy,
especially fossil fuels. An increase in economic activity necessarily
leads to an increase in the use fossil
fuels and greenhouse gas emissions. In addition there will be a commensurate increase in waste products,
pollution and heat. This is dictated by the laws of physics and unavoidable. A problem arise when the cost of this degeneration
caused by continual economic growth surpasses the benefit society derives from it. The ecological economist Professor Herman Daly (2014) explained that
when the impact on the ecosystem is correctly measured, global growth has reached
a point where the total private and social costs of economic growth outweigh
the private and social benefits. In other words, more economic growth is making global society worse off overall - growth has become uneconomic! The model
shows that eventually pressures will build up that counteract the perennial
belief that all social ills can be solved with economic growth.
The dynamic of UNECONOMIC growth
Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen's illustration of Hyman Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis "stability begets instability". This can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.
Minsky Financial Instability Model
Backup: MONEY_People, Experts. Knowledge IPN_Model2_Oscillations_R_0.2.2.B
Shows the development of wealth if betting is according to the Kelly criterion.
Test - Kelly criterion
Investment with depreciation (good/bad economy)
This model also shows the operation of a simple economy. It differs from Model 1 primarily in the representation of all goods in the economy by units of measure of a higher level of abstraction. Thus, the same model can represent economies at different levels.
The simulation demonstrates how differing rates of consumption affect Savings.
Simple Economy: Model 2
Calculating EOQ using classical inventory model
Economic Order Quantity
WIP Exttension of IM-172005 Simulation of Goodwin01 Minsky Model. Compare with Part3 slide 5 of presentation in patreon
Goodwin02 Minsky Simulation Keen Economic Dynamics Aug2019
This model shows the operation of a simple economy. It demonstrates the effect of changes in the fractional rate of consumption (or the converse the fractional rate of saving.)
In summary, lower rates of consumption (based on production) result in higher rates of production and consumption in the long-run.
Simple Economy: Model 8
In a recent report, the World Economic Forum
considered that the use of robots in economic activity will cause far more job
losses in the near future than there will be new ones created. Every economic
sector will be affected. The CLD tries to illustrate the dynamic effects of
replacing human workers with robots. This dynamic indicates that if there is no replacement of
the income forgone by the laid off
workers, then the economy will soon grind to a halt. To avoid disaster, there
must be enough money in circulation, not parked in off-shore investments, to
permit the purchase of all the goods and services produced by robots. The
challenge for the government is to make sure that this is case.
ROBOTS AND A DISATROUS ECONOMIC DYNAMIC
Circular equations WIP for Runy.
Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. Older version cloned at IM-46280
Circularity in Economic models 2
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION
BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)
The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed
The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks
See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)
FORCED GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
CLD ofClimate Change & Economic Activity
Circular equations WIP for Runy.
Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. Older version cloned at IM-46280
Circularity in Economic models including Exports and Imports
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.
THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST.
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED
Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.
2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Coffee Pods ISD Humanities
Estruturas dev miniempresa e balanco de massa de calculadora de consumo paaso1 um de projeto de sintese de fluxogramas visando sintese Gestao de viabilidade tecnologicas via diversos fluxogramasde blocos ,procesos , Analise de fluxo materials de sistemas miniempresa industrial
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1DIYxae_Cgpa3n53KTMrMdj8pBYCmNeJlVM_CB_xpUi4/edit#gid=9
Matches' 275 Equipment Cost Estimates.www.matche.com/equipcost/Default.html
Traduzir esta páginaMatches provides 275 process equipment conceptual capital costs estimates.
Exchanger, Heat · Index of Process Equipment ... · Tank · Vessel
Equipment Costs for Plant Design and Economics for Chemical ...www.mhhe.com/engcs/chemical/peters/data/
Traduzir esta páginaInstructions for file “EQUIPMENT COSTS” accompanying Plant Design and Economics for Chemical ... When entries are complete, CLICK on CALCULATE.
Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers | Cost Estimatorhighered.mheducation.com/sites/.../student.../cost_estimator.html
Traduzir esta páginaMcGraw-Hill Online, Learning Center. Student Center | Instructor Center | Information Center | Home ...Cost Estimator. Please click here to use the Cost Estimator.
Passo 1 Projeto de eng de Estruturas empresa ,Balanco de massa e calculadora de consumos
Test - Kelly vs Fixed bet
Investment with depreciation v1