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A model of the relationship among covid-19 outbreak and government policy and economic impacts.

More susceptible people results in more infected people, and then more cases. A greater number of covid-19 cases triggers unemployment and financial crisis.

COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania

ke chang

Самостоятельная работа COVID-19 2023г.

Ali

Covid-19 in England

Сале

Tugas Kelompok Teknik Pemodelan dan Simulasi

SIR Model Covid-19

Danurrizad Ryan Darmoko

13

Model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

This model was designed from SIR model(susceptible, infected, revovered) to find out the effect of covid-19 outbreak into economic outcomes via government policy.

Assumptions

The government policy is triggered when number of infected is more than ten.

The government policies will take negative effect into Covid-19 outbreaks and financial system

Parameters

We set some fixed and adjusted variables.

Covid-19 outbreak's parameter

Fixed parameters: Infection rate, Background disease, recovery rate.

Adjusted parameter: Immunity loss rate can be change from vaccination rate.

Government policy's parameters

Adjusted parameters: Testing rate(from 0.15 to 0.95), vaccination rate(from 0.3 to 1), travel ban(from 0 to 0.9), social distancing(from 0.1 to 0.8), Quarantine(from 0.1 to 0.9)

Economic's parameters

Fixed parameter: Tourism

Adjusted parameter: Economic growth rate(from 0.3 to 0.5)

Interesting insight

Increase vaccination rate and testing rate will decrease the number amount of infected case and a little bit more negative effect to economic system. However economic system still need a long time to recover in both cases.

BMA708_Assignment 3_ndkvo_520272_COVID-19 outbreak and Burnie economy

KV

My Insight 1 covid-19

Кенжебекова Асем

Системная динамика COVID-19

Barabarabara Berebere

12 months ago

ABOUT THE MODEL

This is a dynamic model that shows the correlation between the health-related policies implemented by the Government in response to COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania, and the policies’ impact on the Economic activity of the area.

ASSUMPTIONS

The increase in the number of COVID-19 cases is directly proportional to the increase in the Government policies in the infected region. The Government policies negatively impact the economy of Burnie, Tasmania.

INTERESTING INSIGHTS

1. When the borders are closed by the government, the economy is severely affected by the decrease of revenue generated by the Civil aviation/Migration rate. As the number of COVID-19 cases increase, the number of people allowed to enter Australian borders will also decrease by the government.

2. The Economic activity sharply increases and stays in uniformity.

3. The death rate drastically decreased as we increased test rate by 90%.

COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania (Rajaa Sajjad, 538837)

Rajaa Sajjad

3

COVID-19

ching tung li

COVID-19 in Japan 2020 самостоятельная работа

Samirova Fatima

3

This model is cloned thru an Agent-Based Modeling Simulation of "Covid-19 (ABM)_VHK" Model by Venkata Habiram Koppaka last April 2020 for presenting the Pandemic COVID-19 Disease. This ABM Simulation aims to represent the trend of COVID-19 infection and death rate (dynamics) at Puerto Princesa City, PALAWAN using the June 3, 2021 data of the CESU-PPC.

COVID-19 ABM (SIR) Model of Puerto Princesa City, PALAWAN

Alonzo S. Peralta

5

SIMULASI COVID-19_AUGUSTO DA COSTA DOS SANTOS

Augusto da costa dos santos

Covid-19 in Italy

Bayan Zhirenbayeva

3

COVID-19 SEIR Model (Indonesia values)

Daffa Muhammad Romero

16

Өзіндік жұмыс (3-бөлімге)

Өзіндік жұмыс Агент

anel bahtybek

24

Өзіңдік жұмыс дұрысы

Таир Аубакиров

16

My Insight 2 covid-19

Кенжебекова Асем

Story Telling COVID19

Guillermo Garza

COVID-19 in Brazil

Bayan Orakbay

Explanation of the Model

This is a sample model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania showing how the Government responds by implementing relevant health policy and the effects on the Economy of the area.

Assumptions

Economic growth rate is dependent on the proportion of the population who can be exposed. Number of COVID cases negatively impacts the economy. Govt policy is triggered when COVID-19 cases are 10 or more.

Interesting Insights

1) Exposure to the disease has a positive relationship with economic growth rate because the more people goes out, more business activity takes place, resulting in Economic Growth.

2) Increasing the Testing rate results in:

- Higher cases being detected

- Stricter Govt Policy

- Less Deaths

Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania