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==edited by Prasiantoro Tusono and Rio Swarawan Putra==

Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured in

https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2020spring/mat375/mathematica/SIRModel-MAA.nb
https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death - based on Andrew E Long

prazi.antoro

Tugas Kelompok Teknik Pemodelan dan Simulasi

SIR Model Covid-19

Danurrizad Ryan Darmoko

13

The model here shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie Tasmania, which has impacted in the local economy. the relationship between COVID-19 and economic situation has been shown in the graph. Based on the susceptible analysis, people who usual go out are might have chance to meet susceptible people and have a high rate to be infected. The period of spreading can be controlled by keeping social distance and Government lockdown policy.

Susceptible can be exposed by go out. resident has a possibility to infect and be infected by others. people who might be die due to the lack of immunity. and others would recover and get the immune.

Beside, the economy situation is proportionate to the recovery rate. If there are more recovery rate from the pandemic, the employment rate will be increased and the economy situation will recover as well.

BMA708 Assignment 3

Yifei MAO

COVID-19 S&F PT1

Morgan Kull

26

Covid-19 in England

Сале

This model is cloned thru an Agent-Based Modeling Simulation of "Covid-19 (ABM)_VHK" Model by Venkata Habiram Koppaka last April 2020 for presenting the Pandemic COVID-19 Disease. This ABM Simulation aims to represent the trend of COVID-19 infection and death rate (dynamics) at Puerto Princesa City, PALAWAN using the June 3, 2021 data of the CESU-PPC.

COVID-19 ABM (SIR) Model of Puerto Princesa City, PALAWAN

Alonzo S. Peralta

5

Santa Maria Covid-19

Paulo Villela

13

ABOUT THE MODEL

This is a dynamic model that shows the correlation between the health-related policies implemented by the Government in response to COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania, and the policies’ impact on the Economic activity of the area.

ASSUMPTIONS

The increase in the number of COVID-19 cases is directly proportional to the increase in the Government policies in the infected region. The Government policies negatively impact the economy of Burnie, Tasmania.

INTERESTING INSIGHTS

1. When the borders are closed by the government, the economy is severely affected by the decrease of revenue generated by the Civil aviation/Migration rate. As the number of COVID-19 cases increase, the number of people allowed to enter Australian borders will also decrease by the government.

2. The Economic activity sharply increases and stays in uniformity.

3. The death rate drastically decreased as we increased test rate by 90%.

COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie Tasmania (Rajaa Sajjad, 538837)