Our computer model details the change in allele frequency of resistant mosquitoes in Africa when the government began spraying DDT. The few mosquitoes that naturally survived the chemical sprays reproduced, and created a large population of resistant mosquitoes. When DDT was sprayed later to prevent
Our computer model details the change in allele frequency of resistant mosquitoes in Africa when the government began spraying DDT. The few mosquitoes that naturally survived the chemical sprays reproduced, and created a large population of resistant mosquitoes. When DDT was sprayed later to prevent the spread of malaria, the DDT was not as effective because of the large amount of DDT-resistant phenotypes in the population.
See Gene's excellent explication at  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k22rDovFzUE
See Gene's excellent explication at 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k22rDovFzUE
Launchpad for insights related to Systems and Complexity in general and Systems Science for Health in particular. Current key participants are public health researchers, health service managers, clinicians, and mental health policy makers and practitioners
Launchpad for insights related to Systems and Complexity in general and Systems Science for Health in particular. Current key participants are public health researchers, health service managers, clinicians, and mental health policy makers and practitioners
A basic production model showing negative and positive loops, often called a balancing model. Thanks  Gene.
A basic production model showing negative and positive loops, often called a balancing model.
Thanks
Gene.
From Fig 12.2 p317 Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010) Evolution: The Extended Synthesis
From Fig 12.2 p317 Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010) Evolution: The Extended Synthesis
 ​From Fig 1.1 p11  Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010)  Evolution: The Extended Synthesis . This is a shift in emphasis from statistical correlation to mechanistic causation (p12), including the conditions for the origin and innovation of traits (p13). It overcomes the  gradualism, externalism and gen

​From Fig 1.1 p11  Pigliucci M and Muller GB (2010) Evolution: The Extended Synthesis. This is a shift in emphasis from statistical correlation to mechanistic causation (p12), including the conditions for the origin and innovation of traits (p13). It overcomes the gradualism, externalism and gene centrism of the Modern Synthesis. Non-gradual change is a property of complex dynamical systems. EvoDevo processes generate particular forms of change rather than others.Genes are followers in the evolutionary process that capture the emergent interactions among environment, development and inheritance into genetic-epigenetic circuits, which are passed to and elaborated on in subsequent generations (p14).

NICOLE DESARIO   AP BIOLOGY   JUNE 2013   There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle
NICOLE DESARIO 

AP BIOLOGY 

JUNE 2013


There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle; which make them unfixed variables. 

Definition: OSTEOPOROSIS (Also known as degenerative bone disease) - "is a disease of bones that leads to an increased risk of fracture. In osteoporosis, the bone mineral density (BMD) of an individual is reduced, bone micro-architecture deteriorates, and the amount and variety of proteins in bone and variety of proteins in bone are altered. Osteoporosis is defined by the World Health Organization as a bone mineral density of 2.5 standard deviations or more below the mean peak bone mass (average of young healthy adults)."

NON-MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Age: Increased age increases likelihood of developing osteoporosis

Sex: Females are more likely to experience osteoporosis fragility fractures

Race: Osteoporosis is more common in people of European and Asian decent

Frame: Thin-framed individuals do not stress their bones as much as heavier-set individuals, and therefore do not have as "thick" bones, and are more likely to develop fragile bones (osteoporosis) 

Family history: 30 genes are linked to development of osteoporosis, so an individual can be anywhere between 25 and 80% more likely to develop osteoporosis if it exists in the family. (my mother has it, so I am very likely to develop it if I don't actively make the efforts to protect my bones from degenerating over time.)

Insufficient Prenatal Care: During development in the womb if a fetus does not receive appropriate nutrition, it may develop malnutrition-related deficiency diseases.

(POTENTIALLY) MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Smoking/Drinking: Excessive use could lead to increased risk because alcohol use decreases your ability to absorb nutrients. It interferes with the absorption of calcium and Vit D (stomach, pancreas and liver affected). Alcohol also kills osteoblasts, the bone-making cells. It also increases bone-damaging hormones cortisol and parathyroid hormone 

Medication Use: Some medications increase risk of osteoporosis however discontinuing use of said medications is often impossible, and therefore the modifiable risk is non-modifiable at times.

Dietary Habits: Majority of bone development happens before an individual reaches the age of 20, so if dietary requirements of calcium, vitamin D, and phosphorus are insufficient, there will be a greater chance of osteoporosis later in life. 

Hormone Levels: In females, estrogen deficiency following menopause or oophorectomy is correlated with rapid reduction in bone mineral density, while in men, a decrease in testosterone levels has a comparable (but less pronounced) effect.

Sedentary Lifestyle: Staying active and stressing your bones decreases chances of osteoporosis because it encourages osteoblastic activity, if an individual is extremely sedentary, (coupled with a thin frame possibly) they are very susceptible to osteoporosis, and should consider getting active. Also, an individual with more sun exposure absorbs more Vit D.

Fractures: Increased breakage of bones creates weak points where BMD cannot recover to what it was prior to the fracture. Individuals should stay out of fights, reduce falling, and avoid clumsy behavior.
Causal loop diagram illustrating how evolution, in the form of small incremental change (realized through random genetic mutation) paired with natural selection, serves to evolve species.    Additionally, the diagram illustrates the countering effects of genetic drift, which serves to reduce genetic
Causal loop diagram illustrating how evolution, in the form of small incremental change (realized through random genetic mutation) paired with natural selection, serves to evolve species.

Additionally, the diagram illustrates the countering effects of genetic drift, which serves to reduce genetic variation by eliminating beneficial genes.
Radioaktiver Zerfall nach Beispiel des exponentiellen Zerfall-Modells von Gene Bellinger
Radioaktiver Zerfall nach Beispiel des exponentiellen Zerfall-Modells von Gene Bellinger
WIP based mostly on Jan
Toporowski  2013 vol 1  and  2018 vol 2  books on Michal Kalecki: An Intellectual Biography   Layout Consistent with  David Wheat MacroEconomic model CLD Insight  by Gene Bellinger  
WIP based mostly on Jan Toporowski 2013 vol 1 and 2018 vol 2 books on Michal Kalecki: An Intellectual Biography  
Layout Consistent with David Wheat MacroEconomic model CLD Insight by Gene Bellinger  
 Modified from Sterman (2006)  article  and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions  IM-351  by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also  Complex Decision Technologies IM  and  IM-63975

Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

3 6 months ago
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
Level of biological organization linking cell level division and population level evolution
 Adapted from Fig.1.from Ana V Diez Roux (2011)  Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research  Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634  http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Adapted from Fig.1.from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634 http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

 Adapted from Fig 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011)  Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research  Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634   http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Adapted from Fig 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634  http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

  Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the
reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007)  abstract . See also  IM-1010  for unfolding CLD version. This is a cascade of swamping structures see gene's  insig

Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) abstract. See also IM-1010 for unfolding CLD version. This is a cascade of swamping structures see gene's insight with video link
11 months ago
Unfolding WIP of Eric Wolstenholme's explanation of hospital congestion from March 2022 Youtube  video  and online stella  presentation . Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu  version ,   early discharge boundaries IM  for an earlier version and  Generic Archetypes IM  from Gene and  Si
Unfolding WIP of Eric Wolstenholme's explanation of hospital congestion from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene and Simpler Version IM
11 months ago