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The model is built to demonstrates how Burnie Tasmania can deal with a new COVID-19 outbreaks, taking government policies and economic effects into account.
The susceptible people are the local Burnie residents. If residents were infected, they would either recovered or dead. However, even they do recover, there is a chance that they will get infected again if immunity loss occurs.
From the simulation result we can see that with the implementation of local government policies including travel ban and social distancing,  the number of infected people will decrease. The number of recovered people will increase in the first 5 weeks but then experience a decrease.
In addition, with the implementation of local government policy, the economic environment in Burnie will be relatively stable when the number of COVID-19 cases is stable.
How Burnie, Tasmania can deal with a new outbreak of COVID-19
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Economic Systems
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During the 'big recession' many governments have deliberately repressed salaries, usually via structural reforms, in order to gain competitivity. However, repression of salaries increases inequality, social discontent and often has counterintuitive effects. Salaries are a cost for companies, but they are also the basis for the demand for the goods and services they offer: people with little income cannot afford them. Scientific studies have shown repeatedly that economic growth generated via salary increases does not endanger the creation of employment, but rather reinforces it. In most countries, the 'positive effect of salary increases' eclipses any possible negative effects on export competitivity and even any detrimental effect on investment. A good example of such a study is the work of ONARAN and OBST on Wage-led Growth in the EU15 Member States (2016).  This positive dynamic has been highlighted in the model by prominent arrows. The policy implications for governments are clear! 

Dynamik Linking Wage Increases to Higher Growth and Profits
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A system dynamics model to CBA of smart grid project
STATIC_Model_System dynamics approach to Isernia CBA Case
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241004_economic growth model structure_SFD
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Laying out and testing before coupling to main model (which is Final Project)
Socio-Economic Factors
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This model is to show the status of numbers of infected people, recovered people and deaths during COVID-19 in Burnie Australia. It also shows impact on the growth of economy. 

Variables
The infection rate and the percentage of people washing their hands are influencing the infected number of people. Also, there are death rate and recovery rate and immunity lost rate determining the numbers of deaths, recovered and infected-again people.  
for the economy growth, there are several factors, including unemployment rate, infection rate, economic growth rate and government health policy. 

Perspective
After some time, people will recovered, also the economic activities. 
A model of Burnie during COVID-19
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Economics model
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Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.
@LinkedInTwitterYouTube
Why Nations Fail
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A system diagram for the Mojave Desert including example socio-economic factors for an assignment at OSU- RNG 341.
Mojave Desert System Diagram with SES
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The World Socio-Economics model is computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems based on the World3 model by the work of Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth[1].

The World3 model builds by system dynamics theory that is has an approach to understanding the nonlinear behaviour of complex systems over time using stocks, flows, feedback loops, table functions and time delays.

The Limits to Growth concludes that, without substantial changes in resource consumption, "the most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity". 

Since the World3 model was originally created, it has had minor tweaks to get to the World3-91 model used in the book Beyond the Limits[2], later improved to get the World3-03 model used in the book Limits to Growth: the 30 year update[3].

References;
[1] Meadows, Donella H., Meadows, Dennis L., Randers, Jørgen., Behrens III, William W (1972). The Limits to Growth. 

[2] Meadows, Donella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Randers, Jørgen., (1992). Beyond the limits: global collapse or a sustainable future.

[3] Meadows, Dennis., Randers, Jørgen., (2004). The limits to growth: the 30-year update.
World Socio-Economics model 2000-2100
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WIP of Rammelt's 2019 System Dynamics Review Article which has STELLA and Minsky software versions as supplements. Compare with the older IM-2011 version

Simplified Keen Goodwin Minsky Financial Instability model
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Flexible Pollutant Fees
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
Lab 13–Future Emissions
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This model shows the COVID-19 outbreaks in Burnie and the Government intervention to alleviate the crisis and also how is the intervention affect the economy.

It is assumed that the Government intervention is triggered when the COVID-19 case is equal to or more than 10. 

Government intervention - lock down the state, suppress the development of COVID-19 effectively. It is related to most of people stay at home to reduce the exposure in public area.
On the other hand, it also bring the economy of Burnie in the recession, as no tourists, no dining out activities and decrease in money spending in the city.
Burnie COVID-19 outbreaks and economic impacts_Pui Chu Daisy Cheung 524767
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Enunciado do ploblema do projeto: 
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B-QIzc4nqMvKdWJLdEZXSzJMTzA/edit?usp=sharing 
Perquentas  e problemas 
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1-e5AFCR_wXCamHt_JJt_j045YCKeQ-woegZT7y3Fe80/edit

simulador economico
https://projetobiomassa.slack.com/messages/C02FPF8GF/files/F59249AKT/


NOME E DESCRIÇÃO

LINK

TAMANHO

Prova1.Investimento Fixo e Tomada de Decisões Rápidas

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184101

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Prova.2.Investimento método Lang

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184144

32 KB

Prova 3 Investimento Fixo método Chilton

ihttps://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184169


33 KB

Prova4:Custo Fixo

https://canvas.instructure.com/courses/780776/files/folder/provahtml?preview=51184189

32 KB

Prova 5:Custo de mao de obra

customaohtm custo de mao de obra

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Prova 6 Custo de mat,comb e enegia

CustoMat prima , energia

34 KB

Prova 7 Custo total

custo de operacional  de  producao

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Prova 8 Ponto deEquilibrio 

ponto de eqilibrioibrio

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Prova 9:Analise de lucro e beneficios

Fluxo de caixa

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Simulacao e otimizacao economica Miniemporesa
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A framework exploring flood risk management in a developing city, under the old paradigm of control - characterised by narrowly defined goals and an over-reliance on hard-engineered structural solutions.
Urban flood risk (control paradigm)
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Adam Smith's The Invisible Hand: The Feedback Structure of Markets. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p170 Fig 5-26. A price-mediated resource allocation system..

Price control mechanism
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OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

Physics: OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
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WIP Ideas from Science Special Issue May 2014
The Science of Inequality
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Book Summary of The Great Transformation by Karl Polanyi see Wikipedia . See also more Karl Polanyi ideas IM-181325
The Great Transformation
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Initial Stock & Flow of Energy Infrastructure Development, Climate Change Impacts, and Economic Activity
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Ocean/atmosphere/biosphere model tuned for interactive economics-based simulations from Y2k on.
This Scenario has Affluence decreasing due to Anthropogenic climate change
Final Project 3 W/ Socio-Economic Factors - Temperature Degradation
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economic capital has a reinforcing loop (investment of output) governing growth and a balancing loop (depreciation) governing decline.
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