Fig 3.1 from Jorgen Randers book  2052 a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years
Environment Demographics Population Growth

Fig 3.1 from Jorgen Randers book 2052 a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

Clone of Global 2052 Forecast
David
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Felix H.
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Chris S.
This is a basic population estimator. Default values approximate recent data for Ecuador.
Population Demographics
This is a basic population estimator. Default values approximate recent data for Ecuador.
Clone of Population Projection (Ecuador)
Michelle Wieland
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Nikola Schmidt
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Fakhrul Fouad
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W
Sea Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Fish Plants Animals

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Athit Pinthong
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Demographics Environment Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a more environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: Classic World Simulation
shaun savage
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
DerTheo
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W
Fish Services Demographics Weather Environment Health Fertility Politics Ocean Resources Rural Population Growth Jobs Plants Yield Economics Industrial Sea Urban Population Climate Lifetime Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Pollution Engineering Labor Regeneration Land Animals Strategy

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Athit Pinthong
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Julia Cammann
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Christina
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amo
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.


Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
mazais melnais nelietis
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Verena Schultz
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Marilen Henning
This is a basic population estimator. Default values approximate recent data for the United States.
Population Demographics
This is a basic population estimator. Default values approximate recent data for the United States.
Clone of Population Projection (Italy)
Keri Surita
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Environment Demographics Population Growth

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Ecosia
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Solveig Lux
World4 is a predictive model for world population. Population has grown hyper-exponentially in the last millenium, with the doubling time decreasing from 900 years  in 1000 CE to a minimum of ~35 years in 1963 CE. Technology is defined as that which decreases the death rate and/or increases the effe
Environment Population Demographics Limits To Growth
World4 is a predictive model for world population. Population has grown hyper-exponentially in the last millenium, with the doubling time decreasing from 900 years  in 1000 CE to a minimum of ~35 years in 1963 CE. Technology is defined as that which decreases the death rate and/or increases the effective birth rate (i.e. by decreasing infant mortality). Technology grows exponentially, therefore population fits a hyper-exponential (exponent within an exponent). Models for the end of growth are explored using equations that express the ways humans are depleting Earth's biocapacity, the nature of resource depletion, and the relationship between natural resources and human carrying capacity. This simple model, containing just two closed systems, captures the subtle shifts in the population trajectory of the last 50 years. Specifically, hyperexponential growth has given way to subexponential growth. A peak is predicted for the time around 2028.  [Bystroff, C. (2021). Footprints to singularity: A global population model explains late 20th century slow-down and predicts peak within ten years. PloS one, 16(5), e0247214.]
Worl4.6 is a clone of World4.5 for exploring changes. WHat happens if there is a delay in the change of the growth rate? What happens if the fertility rate is a function of resource availability? What happens if climate change causes an increased death rate through catastrophes? What happens if policies are enacted to save wildlife?
World4.6
Christopher Bystroff
2 weeks ago
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amo
Environment Population Growth Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.


Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Victor Silveira
THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION. WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER R
Death Strategy Engineering Technology Science Mortality Energy Failure Climate Economics Weather Politics Fertility Population Population Growth Demographics Environment Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Transport Silicene Graphene Resource Solar Food Nuclear

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2018 OVERPOPULATION LEADS TO POLLUTION based on Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility by Guy Lakeman - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
Laryza Lo-A-Foe
11 months ago
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Environment Demographics

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Clone of Clone of The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster
Laura Schäfer
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST W
Jobs Resources Strategy Engineering Technology Sea Economics Ocean Science Mortality Animals Demographics Rural Industrial Urban Services Labor Land Death Fish Population Growth Population Weather Politics Failure Climate Yield Regeneration Fertility Health Pollution Environment Plants Lifetime

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.
BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. 
CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of 2014 Weather & Climate Extreme Loss of Arable Land and Ocean Fertility - The World3+ Model: Forecaster
BaiYu Chen
7 months ago
The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors. Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amou
Population Growth Demographics Environment

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Clone of (4, Assignment) Copy of "The World3 Model: A Detailed World Forecaster"
Janina Langner